本文關(guān)鍵詞：FDI對珠江—西江流域四省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的資本效應(yīng)與溢出效應(yīng)研究　出處：《廣西師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 珠江—西江流域四省 FDI資本效應(yīng) FDI溢出效應(yīng) 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長

【摘要】：改革開放后,在建設(shè)社會主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)體制探索中,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)以年均近10%的增長速度增長。但是在2008年全球金融危機(jī)之后,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入低迷狀態(tài)。我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長速度也大幅下降,進(jìn)入中低速增長階段,即“經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)”階段。2014年的增長速度為7.4%。但是,從微觀層面來看,珠江—西江流域四省經(jīng)濟(jì)增速依然強(qiáng)勁,2014年的增速分別為:廣東9.1%,廣西9%,云南9.3%,貴州15.5%。當(dāng)然,也不能忽略珠江—西江流域四省是一個(gè)跨發(fā)展階段區(qū)域,內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展失衡問題嚴(yán)重,具有典型“東富西貧”特征。2014年珠江—西江流域四省GDP分別為:廣東67792億元,廣西15673億元,云南12814億元,貴州9251億元;在引進(jìn)FDI方面,問題更為突出,截止2014年,廣東吸收FDI1651億元,廣西61億元,云南166億元,貴州127億元。比較之下,可見珠江—西江流域四省內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡嚴(yán)重性。同時(shí)不難發(fā)現(xiàn)FDI吸收量與東道國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的必然聯(lián)系。因此,本文將對FDI對珠江—西江流域四省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的資本效應(yīng)與溢出效應(yīng)進(jìn)行探究,嘗試為珠江—西江流域四省在合理、高效利用FDI的基礎(chǔ)上實(shí)現(xiàn)內(nèi)部發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)與欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)聯(lián)動發(fā)展提出粗淺建議。在研讀中外文獻(xiàn)、書籍基礎(chǔ)上,本文借鑒張建剛、彭齊超、榮巖等學(xué)者研究FDI對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的資本效應(yīng)與溢出效應(yīng)的建模方法,推導(dǎo)出適用于本文的固定效應(yīng)變系數(shù)面板模型。利用珠江—西江流域四省份1978年至2014年相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)FDI對廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的資本效應(yīng)為吸引FDI量每增加1%,產(chǎn)出總量就會增加0.4916%,溢出效應(yīng)為FDI與國內(nèi)投資額的比例每提高1%,則廣東省的產(chǎn)出總量就會提高3.29%。廣西、貴州、云南FDI每增加1%,產(chǎn)出總量依次相應(yīng)提高0.3621%、0.3175%、0.3175%;而溢出效應(yīng)均不顯著。進(jìn)一步,本文參考傅元海教授分析影響FDI效應(yīng)發(fā)揮的影響因素,用東道國人才培養(yǎng)投入、FDI來源地、FDI利用方式、FDI產(chǎn)業(yè)行業(yè)分布等因素解釋廣東FDI資本效應(yīng)、溢出效應(yīng)優(yōu)于其他三個(gè)省份的原因,從而給本文回歸結(jié)果差異找到合理解釋。最后,從中央層面、珠江—西江流域?qū)用妗⒌胤秸畬用嫣岢鼋ㄗh:中央政府作為宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行方向的“掌舵人”,必須要發(fā)揮好“有為政府”作用,從國家層面出發(fā),為借助FDI實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)高效發(fā)展提供優(yōu)質(zhì)服務(wù)。一是將《外商投資產(chǎn)業(yè)指導(dǎo)目錄》調(diào)整常態(tài)化,保證高質(zhì)量FDI流入;二是堅(jiān)持經(jīng)濟(jì)政策頂層設(shè)計(jì)連貫性、一致性;三是成立專業(yè)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作領(lǐng)導(dǎo)小組,為區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)組織間展開合作“穿針引線”。珠江—西江流域四省建設(shè)是一項(xiàng)持續(xù)時(shí)間長、涉及范圍廣、牽動利益大、示范作用強(qiáng)的大工程,四省份長期、高效合作是其建設(shè)效果檢驗(yàn)與效應(yīng)發(fā)揮的根本保障,因此必須建立長期合作機(jī)制。一是成立權(quán)責(zé)分明的珠江—西江流域四省組織架構(gòu);二是珠江—西江流域四省內(nèi)部欠發(fā)達(dá)省份積極承接京津冀地區(qū)、長江三角洲地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)出的FDI;三是疊加四省份優(yōu)勢、合理有序布局FDI;四是堅(jiān)定粵桂黔高鐵經(jīng)濟(jì)帶、粵桂合作特別試驗(yàn)區(qū)建設(shè)方針路線,總結(jié)經(jīng)驗(yàn),發(fā)揮輻射效應(yīng)。各省份作為珠江—西江流域各項(xiàng)計(jì)劃的實(shí)踐主體,為進(jìn)一步借助優(yōu)質(zhì)FDI促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)又好、又快發(fā)展,增強(qiáng)自身吸引力尤為重要。一是加強(qiáng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè);二是加強(qiáng)人力資本投資;三是推進(jìn)市場一體化建設(shè),避免因市場分割造成經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行效率低下問題。
[Abstract]:After the reform and opening up, in the exploration of the construction of socialist market economy, China's economy at an average annual growth rate of nearly 10% growth. But after the 2008 global financial crisis, the global economy into recession. China's economic growth rate also fell sharply, into the low growth stage, namely "economic new normal stage of.2014 years but the growth rate of 7.4%., from the micro level, the Pearl River - West River Basin four province economic growth remains strong, growth in 2014 were: Guangdong 9.1%, Guangxi 9%, Yunnan 9.3%, Guizhou 15.5%., of course, also can not be ignored for the Pearl River - West River basin four provinces is a cross regional development stage, the problem of internal imbalance of economic development seriously, has the typical" East Fusi poor "characteristics in.2014 Pearl River, Xijiang River four GDP respectively: Guangdong 67792 yuan, Guangxi 15673 yuan, Yunnan 12814 yuan, Guizhou 925 billion 100 million yuan; the introduction of FDI That problem is more prominent, as of 2014, Guangdong absorbed FDI1651 billion yuan, Guangxi 6 billion 100 million yuan, Yunnan 16 billion 600 million yuan, 12 billion 700 million yuan in Guizhou. By comparison, the Pearl River - West River Basin four visible internal economic imbalances. At the same time, it is not difficult to find the inevitable contact FDI absorption and the economic growth of the host country. Therefore, this article will explore the FDI on the capital effect of Pearl River, Xijiang River four provinces economic growth and spillover effect, try for the Pearl River, Xijiang River four provinces in the reasonable and efficient use of FDI based on the realization of the internal developed region and undeveloped region joint development puts forward some suggestions. In the study of Chinese and foreign literature, books on the basis of this article from Zhang Jiangang. Peng Qichao, Rong rock scholars such as FDI on the capital economic growth effect and spillover effect modeling method, coefficient panel fixed effect model is derived in this paper. The Pearl River - West River In four provinces from 1978 to 2014 data regression analysis of the data, found that the FDI of capital effect on economic growth in Guangdong to attract the amount of FDI increased 1%, the total output will increase 0.4916%, the spillover effect of FDI and domestic investment ratio increase by 1%, while the total output of Guangdong province will improve the 3.29%. in Guangxi, Guizhou. Every increase in Yunnan FDI 1%, the total output in a corresponding increase of 0.3621%, 0.3175%, 0.3175%; while the spillover effects are not significant. Further, the influence factors of Professor Fu Yuanhai reference to analyze the effect of FDI effect, with the host country personnel training input, FDI source, FDI use, FDI industry distribution and other factors to explain Guangdong FDI capital effect, reason of spillover effect is better than the other three provinces, so as to give the regression results difference to find a reasonable explanation. Finally, from the central level, the Pearl River - West River basin level. Advise party government level: the central government as a macroeconomic direction at the helm, must play a good "for the government", starting from the national level, for the use of FDI to provide quality services to achieve efficient development of the regional economy. One is the "Foreign Investment Industrial Guidance Catalogue adjustment normalization, ensure high quality FDI; two is to adhere to the top-level design of economic policy coherence and consistency; the three is the establishment of regional economic cooperation in the leading group of professional cooperation," act as a go-between "into a regional economic organization. The Pearl River - West River Basin four province construction is a long duration, involving a wide range, affecting the interests of large, large demonstration project the role of a strong, long-term cooperation, four provinces, is the fundamental guarantee to play the effect of inspection and construction effect, so it is necessary to establish long-term cooperation mechanism. One is the establishment of clear responsibilities of the Pearl River - West River Basin four Provincial organization; two is the Pearl River - West River basin within four provinces in the underdeveloped provinces actively undertake the Beijing Tianjin Hebei region, the Yangtze River Delta region to FDI; three is the superposition of four provinces, a reasonable and orderly layout of FDI; four Guangdong Guangxi Guizhou high iron is a strong economic zone, Guangdong and Guangxi cooperation in the construction of special test area course summary experience, play radiation effects. Each province as the subject of practice, Pearl River, Xijiang River Basin of the plan, to further promote economic FDI with high quality and good and fast development, enhance their attractiveness is particularly important. One is to strengthen infrastructure construction; the two is to strengthen the investment of human capital; the three is to promote the integration of the construction market, avoiding market segmentation the operation problem of low efficiency of economy.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 蔣先玲;金e，

本文編號：1433968