本文關(guān)鍵詞：TPP框架下農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易研究　出處：《武漢理工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：20世紀90年代伴隨著經(jīng)濟全球化進程的加快，區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化進入了迅速發(fā)展階段，不僅區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作組織的規(guī)模和數(shù)量增加，組織的內(nèi)容和組織形式也趨于多樣化，近年來區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化趨勢進一步增強，超越地緣界限和追求高標準的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作也有擴展的趨勢，跨太平洋伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)議（Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement，TPP）即是一個超越地緣界限，連接三大洲，橫跨太平洋兩岸的高標準、高質(zhì)量的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定，自美國加入后在全球范圍內(nèi)引起廣泛關(guān)注，許多發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體相繼加入TPP談判。2013年日本加入TPP談判，并在談判中力求將部分農(nóng)產(chǎn)品作為例外產(chǎn)品，使有關(guān)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的議題開始引起關(guān)注，關(guān)于TPP談判中的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的研究日益增多。本文圍繞TPP成員國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易這一主題，進行了深層次、多維度的研究。 首先，本文詳細地介紹了TPP框架下農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的研究背景以及相關(guān)文獻綜述，為研究提供基礎(chǔ)。 其次，文章綜述了TPP的歷史背景、TPP談判進程和談判內(nèi)容以及TPP協(xié)議中農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的相關(guān)談判，并預(yù)測了TPP框架下農(nóng)產(chǎn)品談判的發(fā)展趨勢。 再次，本文主體部分以TPP成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀為基礎(chǔ)，以成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的顯示性比較優(yōu)勢指數(shù)為研究對象，深入探析了TPP成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的總體比較優(yōu)勢以及各成員國具有比較優(yōu)勢的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品種類。 最后，結(jié)合中國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的實際情況，從農(nóng)產(chǎn)品顯示性比較優(yōu)勢、關(guān)稅水平以及貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù)分析TPP對中國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的潛在影響，提出我國應(yīng)對TPP的對策和建議，為減輕TPP對我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易的沖擊提供思路。 通過研究，本文得出的結(jié)論是：（1）TPP現(xiàn)有成員國，無論是發(fā)展中成員國還是發(fā)達成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品對外貿(mào)易依存度均較高，其中發(fā)達成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品對外貿(mào)易依存度均高于發(fā)展中國家（除馬來西亞），但發(fā)展成員國的關(guān)稅水平并不普遍高于發(fā)達成員國，TPP現(xiàn)有成員國中，除墨西哥外，其他發(fā)展中成員國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品關(guān)稅水平低于許多發(fā)達成員國。（2）TPP發(fā)達成員國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易競爭優(yōu)勢呈現(xiàn)兩極分化的現(xiàn)象，新西蘭和澳大利亞具有較強比較優(yōu)勢，文萊、日本、新加坡和美國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易競爭優(yōu)勢微弱，發(fā)展中成員國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易TC指數(shù)則相對集中，均位于0.2到0.3之間，具有微弱競爭優(yōu)勢，僅墨西哥的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品TC指數(shù)小于0，具有競爭劣勢。（3）從農(nóng)產(chǎn)品整體來看，TPP成員國中，新西蘭和智利的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品具有極強的比較優(yōu)勢，，且比較優(yōu)勢日趨增強；澳大利亞、加拿大、越南、秘魯以及馬來西亞的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品具有較強的比較優(yōu)勢，但比較優(yōu)勢均在減弱；美國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品具有一般比較優(yōu)勢，且比較優(yōu)勢逐漸減弱；日本、墨西哥和新加坡的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品無比較優(yōu)勢，但日本的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品比較優(yōu)勢在逐漸增強。（4）TPP現(xiàn)有成員國中，農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口額較多的主要是發(fā)達國家和在某一類農(nóng)產(chǎn)品上具有地域比較優(yōu)勢的發(fā)展中國家，TPP各國在國際農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易中，根據(jù)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品競爭力的不同，已經(jīng)形成了一系列的競爭格局。（5）從TPP的談判目標以及TPP現(xiàn)有成員國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的比較優(yōu)勢分析來看，短期內(nèi)，由于政策的滯后性，TPP對我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進出口貿(mào)易影響不明顯，但在長期內(nèi)，具有比較優(yōu)勢的國外農(nóng)產(chǎn)品會迅速搶占我國出口市場，甚至?xí)绊懕就赁r(nóng)產(chǎn)品在國內(nèi)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In 1990s, along with the accelerated process of economic globalization, regional economic integration has entered a stage of rapid development, not only the scale and quantity of regional economic cooperation organization increased, the content and organization of organization tends to be diversified in recent years, the trend of regional economic integration further enhanced, beyond the border and the pursuit of high standards of regional economic cooperation is expanding trend and the trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, TPP) is a beyond the border, connecting the three continents across the Pacific Ocean to high standards, high quality free trade agreement, attracted wide attention from the United States after joining in the global scope, many developed economies have joined the TPP negotiations in.2013 Japan to join the TPP in the negotiations, and negotiations to put part of agricultural products as an exception, the relevant issues of agricultural products began to attract Concerned about the increasing number of research on agricultural products in the TPP negotiations. This article focuses on the theme of agricultural trade of TPP members, which has conducted a deep and multi-dimensional study.
First of all, this paper gives a detailed introduction to the research background and literature review of agricultural products trade under the framework of TPP, which provides a basis for the research.
Secondly, the article reviews the historical background of TPP, the negotiation process of TPP, the contents of negotiations, and the negotiation of agricultural products trade in the TPP agreement, and predicts the development trend of agricultural products negotiations under the framework of TPP.
Again, the main part of this paper is based on the current situation of the members of TPP members in the trade of agricultural products, agricultural products trade revealed comparative advantage index as the research object, in-depth analysis of the overall TPP members of agricultural products of comparative advantage and each member has a comparative advantage in agricultural products.
Finally, according to the actual situation of Chinese trade of agricultural products, agricultural products from RCA, analysis of the potential effects of TPP on Chinese agricultural trade index with tariffs and trade, our country puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to deal with TPP, and provide new ideas for reducing TPP on China's agricultural products trade impact.
Through the research, this paper draws the following conclusions: (1) the TPP of existing members, whether developing member countries or developed members of agricultural products foreign trade dependence degree is higher, the developed members of agricultural products foreign trade dependence is higher than that of developing countries (except Malaysia), but the development of members of the tariff level is generally higher than that of developed members, TPP existing members, in addition to Mexico, other members of the development of agricultural products tariff level is lower than that of many developed members. (2) the trade competitive advantage of agricultural products TPP developed members showing polarization phenomenon, New Zealand and Australia has a strong comparative advantage, Brunei, Japan, trade competitive advantage of agricultural products Singapore and the United States in the development of weak members of the agricultural product trade TC index is relatively concentrated, were located between 0.2 to 0.3, with a weak competitive advantage, only in rural Mexico TC index is less than 0, have a competitive disadvantage. (3) from agricultural products overall, TPP member countries, Chile and New Zealand agricultural products have extremely strong comparative advantages, and the comparative advantage is enhanced; Australia, Canada, Vietnam, Peru and Malaysia's agricultural products have a strong comparative advantage, but the comparative advantage are in decline; American agricultural products with comparative advantage and comparative advantage gradually weakened; Japan, Mexico and Singapore agricultural products comparative advantage, but the comparative advantage of agricultural products in Japan gradually. (4) TPP existing members, agricultural exports are mainly developed countries and regions have advantage in one category of agricultural products in developing countries, TPP countries in international trade of agricultural products, according to the competitiveness of agricultural products, has formed a series of competition. (5) from the TPP negotiations The comparative advantage and the existing TPP members of agricultural products analysis, in the short term, due to the lag of policy, TPP on import and export of China's agricultural products trade effect is not obvious, but in the long term, with the comparative advantage of foreign agricultural products will quickly seize China's export market, even will affect the local agricultural products in the country's development.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F744;F323.7

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