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新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)益貧式增長(zhǎng)測(cè)度研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-03-15 06:58
【摘要】:隨著新疆經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng),新疆農(nóng)村的經(jīng)濟(jì)也在穩(wěn)步提升,但是新疆農(nóng)村,尤其是南疆三地州和新疆邊境農(nóng)村的居民收入差距在加大,貧困程度也在加大。自2001年起,為了解決新疆農(nóng)村居民的溫飽問(wèn)題,新疆響應(yīng)我國(guó)的扶貧綱要,開(kāi)始全面進(jìn)入了扶貧的階段。新疆作為我國(guó)重點(diǎn)的扶貧地區(qū)之一,中央也決定大力開(kāi)展援疆工作,讓各個(gè)省份幫助新疆貧困地區(qū)的居民盡快地脫貧,盡快地縮小新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)差距,以及新疆農(nóng)村,南北疆之間的收入差距,使得新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)更加有益于貧困的減少;诖,本文對(duì)新疆經(jīng)濟(jì)的益貧式增長(zhǎng)及影響益貧性的原因進(jìn)行研究。本文以研究新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是否益貧,以及影響益貧性的主要因素為目標(biāo),選取新疆2000年到2012年的的新疆年鑒的數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)新疆農(nóng)村貧困現(xiàn)狀,收入差距現(xiàn)狀以及經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進(jìn)行了分析。本文的研究主要分為了四部分:第一部分主要介紹一些益貧式增長(zhǎng)理論和益貧式增長(zhǎng)測(cè)度指標(biāo),以及對(duì)Lorenz曲線和基尼系數(shù)做了介紹。第二部分主要是對(duì)新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,收入差距以及貧困現(xiàn)狀分析。這一部分對(duì)非貧困縣和國(guó)家級(jí)貧困縣的農(nóng)村居民收入以及南北疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行比較分析,并對(duì)新疆農(nóng)村國(guó)民生產(chǎn)總值和我國(guó)的進(jìn)行比較分析。應(yīng)用新疆各縣市的農(nóng)村數(shù)據(jù)做了收入分布的非參數(shù)核密度估計(jì)。第三部分主要是對(duì)新疆農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)益貧式增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析。本部分通過(guò)計(jì)算估計(jì)洛倫茨曲線的參數(shù),然后求基尼系數(shù),FGT指數(shù),以及對(duì)新疆農(nóng)村否益貧進(jìn)行判定,最后再對(duì)FGT指數(shù)進(jìn)行Shapely分解。第四部分主要是對(duì)前面的分析做最后的總結(jié)和提出政策建議。本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn),新疆南北疆以及貧困縣和非貧困縣農(nóng)村近些年的經(jīng)濟(jì)一直在增長(zhǎng),但是貧富差距卻也在加劇。新疆農(nóng)村出現(xiàn)過(guò)幾年的返貧現(xiàn)象。新疆農(nóng)村在2000-2002年和2008-2010年是益貧的,而北疆農(nóng)村在全部所選的年份都是益貧的,南疆在2004-2008年和2010-2012年是益貧的,其他的年份都是不益貧的,而且影響益貧效應(yīng)的主要是由收入分配不均和貧困線變動(dòng)造成的。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of Xinjiang's economy, Xinjiang's rural economy is also steadily improving, but Xinjiang's rural areas, especially the three states of southern Xinjiang and Xinjiang border rural residents' income gap is increasing, the degree of poverty is also increasing. Since 2001, in order to solve the problem of food and clothing of rural residents in Xinjiang, Xinjiang has entered the stage of poverty alleviation in an all-round way in response to the outline of poverty alleviation in China. Xinjiang, as one of the key areas of poverty alleviation in China, the Central Committee has also decided to vigorously carry out the work of supporting Xinjiang, so that various provinces can help the residents of poor areas in Xinjiang get rid of poverty as soon as possible, narrow the economic gap in Xinjiang's rural areas as soon as possible, and the rural areas of Xinjiang The income gap between the north and south of Xinjiang makes the growth of rural economy in Xinjiang more beneficial to the reduction of poverty. Based on this, this paper studies the economic growth of Xinjiang and the causes of its influence. In order to study whether the rural economic growth in Xinjiang is beneficial to poverty and the main factors affecting the poverty, this paper selects the data of Xinjiang Yearbook from 2000 to 2012 to analyze the poverty situation in rural areas of Xinjiang. The current situation of income gap and economic development are analyzed. The research in this paper is divided into four parts: the first part mainly introduces the theory of pro-poor growth and the measure index of pro-poor growth, as well as the Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient. The second part mainly analyzes the situation of rural economic development, income gap and poverty in Xinjiang. This part makes a comparative analysis of the income of rural residents in non-poverty counties and national poverty counties as well as the present situation of rural economic development in the north and south of Xinjiang, and makes a comparative analysis of the gross national product of rural areas in Xinjiang and China. The nonparametric kernel density of income distribution is estimated by using the rural data of every county and city in Xinjiang. The third part is the empirical analysis of the growth of rural economy in Xinjiang. In this part, the parameters of Lorenz curve are estimated, then the Gini coefficient, FGT index and the negative poverty of rural areas in Xinjiang are determined. Finally, the FGT index is decomposed by Shapely. The fourth part is to make a final summary of the previous analysis and put forward policy recommendations. This paper finds that the economy of the north-south Xinjiang and the poor and non-poor counties has been increasing in recent years, but the gap between the rich and the poor is also increasing. Xinjiang countryside has had several years of poverty return phenomenon. Rural areas in Xinjiang have benefited from poverty in 2000-2002 and 2008-2010, while rural areas in northern Xinjiang have benefited from poverty in all selected years, while southern Xinjiang has benefited from poverty in 2004-2008 and 2010-2012, and other years are not. And the effect of increasing poverty is mainly caused by income inequality and the change of poverty line.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:新疆財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F323.8

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