長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率分解研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-01-10 16:36
【摘要】：農(nóng)業(yè)是保障我國(guó)糧食安全和社會(huì)穩(wěn)定的中心問(wèn)題。目前,中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)主要依靠增加物質(zhì)生產(chǎn)資料投入驅(qū)動(dòng),技術(shù)含量較低。隨著需求的增長(zhǎng)和自然資源約束的進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng),粗放式的增長(zhǎng)越來(lái)越不可持續(xù)。全要素生產(chǎn)率,作為評(píng)價(jià)一個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效率的綜合性指標(biāo),可以為經(jīng)濟(jì)平衡發(fā)展提供重要的政策建議,已經(jīng)逐漸引起學(xué)術(shù)界的重視并對(duì)其進(jìn)行了深入的研究。中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)要保持穩(wěn)定可持續(xù)的增長(zhǎng),農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)要進(jìn)一步發(fā)展,必須將農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展方式從物質(zhì)資料投入驅(qū)動(dòng)向全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)驅(qū)動(dòng)轉(zhuǎn)變。在中國(guó),長(zhǎng)江三角洲地區(qū)作為經(jīng)濟(jì)最發(fā)達(dá)、綜合實(shí)力最強(qiáng)的區(qū)域之一,農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展水平同樣應(yīng)該處于絕對(duì)領(lǐng)先地位。但是,目前長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)的農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展并不盡如人意,全要素生產(chǎn)率的年均增長(zhǎng)率不高,并且全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)主要驅(qū)動(dòng)因素是技術(shù)進(jìn)步,技術(shù)效率提高的速度不能與技術(shù)進(jìn)步的速度相適應(yīng),因此技術(shù)效率對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)較少。這種情況的存在導(dǎo)致長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)的效率并不高,沒(méi)有達(dá)到平衡高效發(fā)展的要求。因此,進(jìn)一步對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率和農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率進(jìn)行研究,從而考察長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的內(nèi)在結(jié)構(gòu)和增長(zhǎng)機(jī)理,是非常有必要的。本文通過(guò)實(shí)證分析和規(guī)范分析,定量分析和定性分析相結(jié)合的研究方法,在全要素生產(chǎn)率理論的基礎(chǔ)上,主要使用了數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法和隨機(jī)前沿函數(shù)分析法對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)和構(gòu)成做了全方位的考察,深入研究了農(nóng)業(yè)要素生產(chǎn)率中的農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率部分,并考察了長(zhǎng)三角十六市的農(nóng)業(yè)規(guī)模效率。得到以下兩點(diǎn)結(jié)論：第一、觀察期內(nèi)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率呈波動(dòng)增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì),增長(zhǎng)的主要驅(qū)動(dòng)力是農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)進(jìn)步,農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率的提高相對(duì)較慢,對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)較少；必須重視農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率提高對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的貢獻(xiàn)；第二、長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)各市之間農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率和技術(shù)效率增長(zhǎng)目前差異較大,但考察農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率的收斂性發(fā)現(xiàn),各市的農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率服從σ收斂和絕對(duì)β收斂,長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)各市之間農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)效率的差距趨于縮小,并最終收斂到同一穩(wěn)態(tài)。因此長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)應(yīng)當(dāng)加強(qiáng)農(nóng)業(yè)的合作與交流；第三,長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)整體處于規(guī)模遞減區(qū)間,對(duì)于長(zhǎng)三角大多數(shù)城市而言,應(yīng)當(dāng)減小全市的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模,提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率,推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展。另外,根據(jù)實(shí)證分析結(jié)果,本文提出了重視農(nóng)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)技術(shù)的作用、重視農(nóng)業(yè)前沿技術(shù)的推廣應(yīng)用、推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展、加強(qiáng)農(nóng)業(yè)服務(wù)體系建設(shè)、采取地區(qū)差異化農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展策略和加強(qiáng)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)交流與合作等政策建議。
[Abstract]:Agriculture is the central issue of ensuring food security and social stability in China. At present, the growth of China's agricultural economy is mainly driven by increasing the input of material means of production, and the technical content is relatively low. With the growth of demand and the further strengthening of natural resource constraints, extensive growth is becoming more and more unsustainable. Total factor productivity (TFP), as a comprehensive index to evaluate the economic growth efficiency of an economy, can provide important policy recommendations for the balanced development of the economy, which has gradually attracted the attention of the academic community and been deeply studied. In order to maintain the stable and sustainable growth of Chinese agriculture and the further development of rural economy, it is necessary to change the mode of agricultural development from the input of material data to the growth drive of total factor productivity. In China, the Yangtze River Delta is one of the most developed and comprehensive regions, and the agricultural development level should also be in the absolute leading position. However, the agricultural development in the Yangtze River Delta is not satisfactory at present, the average annual growth rate of total factor productivity is not high, and the main driving factor of total factor productivity growth is technological progress. The technical efficiency can not be improved at the same speed as the technological progress, so the technical efficiency contributes little to the growth of TFP. The existence of this situation leads to the low efficiency of agricultural total factor productivity growth in Yangtze River Delta, which fails to meet the requirements of balanced and efficient development. Therefore, it is necessary to further study the agricultural total factor productivity and agricultural technical efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta region, so as to investigate the internal structure and growth mechanism of the agricultural total factor productivity in the Yangtze River Delta region. Through empirical and normative analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis of the research method, on the basis of total factor productivity theory, Data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier function analysis are used to investigate the growth and composition of agricultural total factor productivity in Yangtze River Delta region, and the agricultural technology efficiency part of agricultural factor productivity is deeply studied. The agricultural scale efficiency of 16 cities in Yangtze River Delta is also investigated. The main conclusions are as follows: first, the total factor productivity of agriculture in the Yangtze River Delta region has fluctuated growth trend during the observation period, the main driving force of the growth is the progress of agricultural technology, and the improvement of agricultural technology efficiency is relatively slow. Less contribution to the growth of agricultural total factor productivity; We must pay attention to the contribution of agricultural technical efficiency to agricultural total factor productivity; Second, the growth of agricultural total factor productivity and technical efficiency among cities in the Yangtze River Delta region is quite different at present. However, after examining the convergence of agricultural technical efficiency, it is found that the agricultural technical efficiency of each city converges from 蟽 convergence to absolute 尾 convergence, and in the long run, The gap between cities in Yangtze River Delta tends to narrow and eventually converge to the same steady state. Therefore, the Yangtze River Delta region should strengthen agricultural cooperation and exchange; Thirdly, the whole agriculture of Yangtze River Delta is in the decreasing range of scale. For most cities in the Yangtze River Delta, the scale of agricultural production should be reduced, the efficiency of agricultural production should be improved, and the development of agricultural industrialization should be promoted. In addition, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward to attach importance to the role of agricultural basic technology, to attach importance to the extension and application of agricultural frontier technology, to promote the development of agricultural industrialization, and to strengthen the construction of agricultural service system. Adopting regional differentiated agricultural development strategy and strengthening agricultural exchange and cooperation in Yangtze River Delta and other policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F327
本文編號(hào)：2406542
[Abstract]:Agriculture is the central issue of ensuring food security and social stability in China. At present, the growth of China's agricultural economy is mainly driven by increasing the input of material means of production, and the technical content is relatively low. With the growth of demand and the further strengthening of natural resource constraints, extensive growth is becoming more and more unsustainable. Total factor productivity (TFP), as a comprehensive index to evaluate the economic growth efficiency of an economy, can provide important policy recommendations for the balanced development of the economy, which has gradually attracted the attention of the academic community and been deeply studied. In order to maintain the stable and sustainable growth of Chinese agriculture and the further development of rural economy, it is necessary to change the mode of agricultural development from the input of material data to the growth drive of total factor productivity. In China, the Yangtze River Delta is one of the most developed and comprehensive regions, and the agricultural development level should also be in the absolute leading position. However, the agricultural development in the Yangtze River Delta is not satisfactory at present, the average annual growth rate of total factor productivity is not high, and the main driving factor of total factor productivity growth is technological progress. The technical efficiency can not be improved at the same speed as the technological progress, so the technical efficiency contributes little to the growth of TFP. The existence of this situation leads to the low efficiency of agricultural total factor productivity growth in Yangtze River Delta, which fails to meet the requirements of balanced and efficient development. Therefore, it is necessary to further study the agricultural total factor productivity and agricultural technical efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta region, so as to investigate the internal structure and growth mechanism of the agricultural total factor productivity in the Yangtze River Delta region. Through empirical and normative analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis of the research method, on the basis of total factor productivity theory, Data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier function analysis are used to investigate the growth and composition of agricultural total factor productivity in Yangtze River Delta region, and the agricultural technology efficiency part of agricultural factor productivity is deeply studied. The agricultural scale efficiency of 16 cities in Yangtze River Delta is also investigated. The main conclusions are as follows: first, the total factor productivity of agriculture in the Yangtze River Delta region has fluctuated growth trend during the observation period, the main driving force of the growth is the progress of agricultural technology, and the improvement of agricultural technology efficiency is relatively slow. Less contribution to the growth of agricultural total factor productivity; We must pay attention to the contribution of agricultural technical efficiency to agricultural total factor productivity; Second, the growth of agricultural total factor productivity and technical efficiency among cities in the Yangtze River Delta region is quite different at present. However, after examining the convergence of agricultural technical efficiency, it is found that the agricultural technical efficiency of each city converges from 蟽 convergence to absolute 尾 convergence, and in the long run, The gap between cities in Yangtze River Delta tends to narrow and eventually converge to the same steady state. Therefore, the Yangtze River Delta region should strengthen agricultural cooperation and exchange; Thirdly, the whole agriculture of Yangtze River Delta is in the decreasing range of scale. For most cities in the Yangtze River Delta, the scale of agricultural production should be reduced, the efficiency of agricultural production should be improved, and the development of agricultural industrialization should be promoted. In addition, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward to attach importance to the role of agricultural basic technology, to attach importance to the extension and application of agricultural frontier technology, to promote the development of agricultural industrialization, and to strengthen the construction of agricultural service system. Adopting regional differentiated agricultural development strategy and strengthening agricultural exchange and cooperation in Yangtze River Delta and other policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F327
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條
1 陳衛(wèi)平;;中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)、技術(shù)進(jìn)步與效率變化:1990~2003年[J];中國(guó)農(nóng)村觀察;2006年01期
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