【摘要】：現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)是農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)量和品質(zhì)提高的引擎,是農(nóng)民收入進(jìn)一步提高的源泉。甘肅省武威市涼州區(qū)以農(nóng)業(yè)為主要產(chǎn)業(yè),但近年來農(nóng)民的經(jīng)濟(jì)收入增長乏力。為推動(dòng)當(dāng)?shù)剞r(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,以期找出應(yīng)對(duì)措施,本論文調(diào)查了該區(qū)河?xùn)|村、王莊村等9個(gè)行政村的450個(gè)村民對(duì)現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)推廣需求的狀況,采用Logistic回歸模型分析了主要決定因素。主要獲得如下主要結(jié)果:1、共回收問卷433份,回收率96.22%,所有回收問卷中有效問卷共有413份,樣本的有效回收率為91.78%。男性占調(diào)查對(duì)象的77%,女性占23%;已婚人員占比為81.36%,未婚人員僅占18.64%;25歲以下、26-35歲之間、36-45歲和46歲以上的人數(shù)分別占9.2%、16.22%、29.3%和45.28%;高中以及以上文化、初中文化、小學(xué)文化、文盲和半文盲占比分別為14.77%、32.93%、39%和13.08%;農(nóng)戶家庭人口在5人以上、3-5人和3人以下的分別占46.97%、42.62%和10.41%。2、在調(diào)查農(nóng)戶中,34.87%的農(nóng)戶需求畜牧養(yǎng)殖技術(shù),9.93%農(nóng)戶需求新品種,32.69%的農(nóng)戶需求農(nóng)作物栽培技術(shù),19.61%的農(nóng)戶需求植物保護(hù)技術(shù),4.84%的農(nóng)戶滿足目前已掌握的技術(shù)。3、在農(nóng)戶自身特性、在技術(shù)誘導(dǎo)因素、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素和信息來源4類15個(gè)因素的Logistic分析中,農(nóng)戶自身特性中年齡和身體狀況2個(gè)指標(biāo),在技術(shù)誘導(dǎo)因素中耕地面積、收入水平和養(yǎng)殖規(guī)模3個(gè)指標(biāo),在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素中復(fù)種指數(shù)1個(gè)指標(biāo)均與對(duì)現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)的需求呈顯著正相關(guān)(P0.05),而以上三類中的性別、教育程度、婚姻狀況、非農(nóng)勞動(dòng)力比例、養(yǎng)殖種類,以及信息來源中農(nóng)業(yè)電視節(jié)目等4個(gè)指標(biāo)均無明顯相關(guān)性。建議加強(qiáng)農(nóng)村醫(yī)療服務(wù),增強(qiáng)勞動(dòng)力體質(zhì),促進(jìn)土地流轉(zhuǎn),增大生產(chǎn)規(guī)模等方式推動(dòng)當(dāng)?shù)剞r(nóng)戶掌握和應(yīng)用現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)的積極性與主動(dòng)性。
[Abstract]:Modern agricultural technology is the engine of improving agricultural output and quality, and the source of further improvement of farmers' income. Agriculture is the main industry in Liangzhou District, Wuwei City, Gansu Province. In order to promote the development of local agricultural economy and find out the countermeasures, this paper investigates the demand of 450 villagers in 9 administrative villages, such as Hedong Village and Wangzhuang Village, for the extension of modern agricultural technology. The main determinants were analyzed by Logistic regression model. The main results are as follows: 1. 433 questionnaires were collected and the recovery rate was 96.222.There were 413 valid questionnaires and the effective recovery rate of the samples was 91.78. The proportion of married persons was 81.36, and that of unmarried persons was 18.64. The number of people under 25 years old, 26-35 years old, 36-45 years old and over 46 years old accounted for 9.2% and 45.28% respectively; The percentages of high school and above culture, junior middle school culture, primary school culture, illiteracy and semi-illiteracy were 14.7772.93% and 13.08% respectively. The household population was above 5, 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively, with 3-5 and less than 3. 34.87% of the households were in need of livestock farming technology, and 9.93% of the farmers needed new varieties, while the population of farmers was more than 5, and that of those with less than 3 was 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively. 32.69% of farmers need crop cultivation techniques, 19.61% of farmers need plant protection techniques, 4.84% of farmers meet the needs of the techniques they have mastered. 3. In the Logistic analysis of 15 factors of 4 categories of risk factors and information sources, there were two indexes of age and physical condition of farmers' own characteristics, and three indexes of cultivated land area, income level and scale of farming among the factors of technology inducement. Among the risk factors, one index of multiple cropping was positively correlated with the demand for modern agricultural technology (P0.05), while the gender, education level, marital status, non-farm labor force ratio, and breed type in the above three groups were significantly positive (P0.05). There was no significant correlation among the four indicators of agricultural TV programs. It is suggested to strengthen the rural medical service, strengthen the constitution of the labor force, promote the circulation of land, increase the scale of production, and promote the enthusiasm and initiative of local farmers in mastering and applying modern agricultural technology.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F323.3

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