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基于Probit-ISM模型的稻農(nóng)農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)采用影響因素分析——以湖北省320戶稻農(nóng)為例

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-11 21:37

  本文選題:農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)采用 + 影響因素。 參考:《數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)與管理》2016年01期


【摘要】:稻農(nóng)對(duì)不同農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)的采用能夠促進(jìn)其推廣應(yīng)用;诤蔽迨320戶稻農(nóng)的調(diào)研數(shù)據(jù),利用二元Probit模型和ISM模型,分別探討了稻農(nóng)采用新品種技術(shù)、病蟲(chóng)害防治技術(shù)、機(jī)械化技術(shù)的影響因素及其層次結(jié)構(gòu)。研究結(jié)果表明:是否參加農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)、國(guó)家糧食補(bǔ)貼金額、水稻種植規(guī)模、家庭人均年收入、種糧積極性、家庭人口數(shù)量顯著影響稻農(nóng)采用新品種技術(shù)。其中,種糧積極性和家庭人口數(shù)量是深層根源因素;水稻種植規(guī)模、對(duì)糧補(bǔ)政策態(tài)度、國(guó)家糧食補(bǔ)貼金額、年齡、家庭人口數(shù)量、家庭人均年收入顯著影響其病蟲(chóng)害技術(shù)采用。其中,年齡、家庭人口數(shù)量和家庭人均年收入是深層根源因素;國(guó)家糧食補(bǔ)貼金額、水稻種植規(guī)模、性別、健康狀況、農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)、是否兼業(yè)顯著影響其機(jī)械化技術(shù)采用。其中,性別、健康狀況、是否兼業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)是深層根源因素。
[Abstract]:The adoption of different agricultural techniques by rice farmers can promote their popularization and application. Based on the investigation data of 320 rice farmers in five cities of Hubei Province, the influence factors and hierarchical structure of rice farmers adopting new variety technology, pest and disease control technology and mechanization technology were discussed by using binary Probit model and ISM model. The results showed that the participation of agricultural insurance, the amount of state grain subsidy, the scale of rice planting, the average annual income of the family, the enthusiasm of growing grain, and the number of the family population significantly affected the rice farmers to adopt the new variety technology. Among them, the enthusiasm of grain planting and the number of family population are the deep root factors, the scale of rice planting, the attitude towards grain supplement policy, the amount of national grain subsidy, age, the number of family population, and the annual income of family per capita significantly affect the adoption of diseases and insect pests. Among them, age, the number of family population and the average annual income of the family are the deep-rooted factors; the amount of national grain subsidy, rice planting scale, sex, health status, agricultural insurance, whether or not the concurrent industry significantly affect the mechanization technology adoption. Among them, gender, health status, whether concurrent employment and agricultural insurance are the underlying root factors.
【作者單位】: 華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;湖北農(nóng)村發(fā)展研究中心;
【基金】:國(guó)家社科重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(11AZD107) 國(guó)家科技計(jì)劃支撐項(xiàng)目(2012BAD04B12) 比爾·梅琳達(dá)蓋茨基金項(xiàng)目(51587-3) 中央高;究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)專(zhuān)項(xiàng)資金資助(2012MBDX001)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:S511;F326.11
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本文編號(hào):1875733

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