【摘要】：目前國(guó)內(nèi)外旅游業(yè)急劇成長(zhǎng)，，國(guó)家和城市愈來(lái)愈關(guān)注旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展。最近幾年，入境旅游業(yè)和國(guó)內(nèi)旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展越來(lái)越快，城市旅游是區(qū)域旅游業(yè)的重要組成部分。本文選取深圳、北京、上海、廣州和杭州等五大城市，針對(duì)有關(guān)旅游消費(fèi)的2000-2011年12年間的年度數(shù)據(jù)，利用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分析人均GDP、國(guó)內(nèi)游客人數(shù)、外國(guó)游客人數(shù)、香港游客人數(shù)和港幣匯率以及典型特殊事件對(duì)城市旅游業(yè)的影響。本文選擇國(guó)內(nèi)旅游收入(DS)、旅游外匯收入(FS)和國(guó)內(nèi)旅游收入/旅游外匯收入(DFS)作為因變量，代表旅游業(yè)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。 2003年非典事件對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)和入境旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展都起到重大阻礙作用，而2008年的世界金融危機(jī)雖然在一定程度上阻礙了國(guó)內(nèi)旅游收入和旅游外匯收入的增長(zhǎng)速度，但國(guó)內(nèi)旅游收入和旅游外匯收入總值還是保持上升，尤其還在一定程度上促進(jìn)旅游外匯收入的增加。這是因?yàn)橹袊?guó)金融市場(chǎng)開(kāi)放度相對(duì)保守，2008年的金融危機(jī)對(duì)中國(guó)沖擊較小。香港游客和外國(guó)游客，外國(guó)游客和國(guó)內(nèi)游客，它們?nèi)咧g相互影響，外國(guó)游客的增加同時(shí)導(dǎo)致國(guó)內(nèi)游客的增加，說(shuō)明城市的知名度不僅對(duì)發(fā)展城市入境旅游業(yè)具有非常重要的影響，對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)旅游業(yè)的作用也是非常明顯的。研究結(jié)果表明，香港游客人數(shù)對(duì)城市旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展影響不顯著，香港游客人數(shù)的增多并沒(méi)有直接影響到旅游外匯收入的增加；港幣匯率逐漸下降，直接降低香港游客旅游消費(fèi)。
[Abstract]:At present, tourism at home and abroad has grown rapidly, and countries and cities pay more and more attention to the development of tourism. In recent years, the development of inbound tourism and domestic tourism is getting faster and faster. Urban tourism is an important part of regional tourism. In this paper, five major cities, Shenzhen, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Hangzhou, are selected to analyze the number of domestic tourists per capita and the number of foreign tourists in accordance with the annual data from 2000 to 2011 on tourism consumption. The impact of Hong Kong tourist numbers and Hong Kong dollar exchange rates and typical special events on urban tourism. In this paper, domestic tourism income (DS), tourism foreign exchange income (FS) and domestic tourism income / tourism foreign exchange income (DFS) are selected as dependent variables to represent the development of tourism. The 2003 SARS incident played a major role in hindering the development of domestic and inbound tourism, while the 2008 world financial crisis hindered to some extent the growth rate of domestic tourism earnings and tourism foreign exchange earnings. However, the total value of domestic tourism income and tourism foreign exchange income still keeps rising, especially to a certain extent, it also promotes the increase of tourism foreign exchange income. This is because China's financial market openness is relatively conservative, the 2008 financial crisis on China less impact. Hong Kong tourists and foreign tourists, foreign tourists and domestic tourists, they interact with each other, the increase in foreign tourists at the same time lead to an increase in domestic tourists. It shows that the popularity of the city not only has a very important impact on the development of urban inbound tourism, but also plays a very obvious role in domestic tourism. The results show that the number of tourists in Hong Kong has no significant impact on the development of urban tourism, the increase in the number of tourists in Hong Kong has not directly affected the increase of tourism foreign exchange earnings, and the exchange rate of Hong Kong dollars has gradually declined, directly reducing the tourism consumption of Hong Kong tourists.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F299.2;F592;F224

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