本文關(guān)鍵詞：居民消費(fèi)支出與可支配收入的長(zhǎng)期均衡及短期波動(dòng)關(guān)系研究——對(duì)韶關(guān)城區(qū)居民家庭生活抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

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短期波動(dòng)

    A Research on the Long-term Equilibrium and Short-term Fluctuation between Service Trade Openness and the Economic Growth in China

    中國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易開(kāi)放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期均衡與短期波動(dòng)研究

短句來(lái)源

    Study on long-term stability and short-term fluctuation of Gansu's economy

    甘肅經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定和短期波動(dòng)研究

短句來(lái)源

    Based on co-integration theory and error correction model,this paper studies the determinants of power demand,constructs a power demand function,and tests the long-run equilibrium relationship and short-term fluctuation relationship between aggregate power demand and the main economic variables,such as GDP,price,economic structure and efficiency.

    本文采用協(xié)整與誤差修正模型技術(shù)研究了上海市電力需求的決定因素,建立了上海電力需求函數(shù),檢驗(yàn)了電力需求與國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值、電力價(jià)格、經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、電力使用效率之間的長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系及短期波動(dòng)關(guān)系。

短句來(lái)源

    According to cointegration theory and Granger causality theory, this assay carries a positive analysis on the association of industrial structure and economic growth with the time series data from 1978 to 2002. The conclusion indicates that there exists only dynamic equilibrium or cointegration relationship between the industrial structure and economic growth. The short-term fluctuation and long-term equilibrium of industrial structure and economic growth exist in Vector Error Correction Model based on cointegration equation.

    根據(jù)協(xié)整理論和格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)理論,利用1978~2003年的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,表明我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間存在惟一的動(dòng)態(tài)均衡關(guān)系即協(xié)整關(guān)系,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間短期波動(dòng)與長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系存在于根據(jù)協(xié)整方程建立的向量誤差修正模型之中。

短句來(lái)源

    An error correction model based on integration and Johansen-Juselius cointegration test finding was constructed to describe the adjustment process of the freight turnover quantity from a short-term fluctuation to a long-term equilibrium.

    應(yīng)用協(xié)整方法分析、檢驗(yàn)了我國(guó)貨運(yùn)規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的協(xié)整關(guān)系,定量分析了主要相關(guān)因素對(duì)貨運(yùn)發(fā)展的影響,建立了描述貨運(yùn)周轉(zhuǎn)量由短期波動(dòng)向長(zhǎng)期均衡調(diào)整的動(dòng)態(tài)過(guò)程的誤差修正模型。

短句來(lái)源

    Relations between Residents' Consuming Expenditure and Disposable Income: Long-term Equilibrium and Short-term Fluctuation --Economic analysis on the sample surveying data of living standard of Shaoguan people

    居民消費(fèi)支出與可支配收入的長(zhǎng)期均衡及短期波動(dòng)關(guān)系研究——對(duì)韶關(guān)城區(qū)居民家庭生活抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析

短句來(lái)源

    5) Finally, based on theory of supply and demand, by using the dynamic method of econometric model, the long-term correlative model and short-term fluctuant model for aggregate fruit, apple and grape are established, and then the stability of long-term correlation and characteristics of short-term fluctuant between fruits supply-demand and their affecting factors are analyzed.

    5) 以供求關(guān)系理論和經(jīng)濟(jì)行為規(guī)律的認(rèn)識(shí)為基礎(chǔ),基于動(dòng)態(tài)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的協(xié)整與誤差修正理論,分別以水果總量、蘋(píng)果和葡萄為例,構(gòu)建了中國(guó)水果供給、需求和價(jià)格與其影響因素之間的長(zhǎng)期相關(guān)與短期波動(dòng)模型,分析了中國(guó)水果供求與其主要影響因素長(zhǎng)期相關(guān)的穩(wěn)定性和短期波動(dòng)的特征。

短句來(lái)源

    So we the efficiency of our domestic banks is measured and tested in the paper using multiple models and methods from different aspects.

    其次,利用非參數(shù)法DEA模型測(cè)度出商業(yè)銀行效率的短期波動(dòng)結(jié)果,這種經(jīng)驗(yàn)結(jié)果為商業(yè)銀行的短期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)監(jiān)測(cè)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理提供了決策依據(jù);

短句來(lái)源

    In the end, "Nominal Economy" became the consensus of opinion and the relationship between the nominal economy and the real economy arises people's attention.

    其次，通過(guò)判斷貨幣變量與產(chǎn)出變量之間的關(guān)聯(lián)，描述貨幣與產(chǎn)出之間的短期波動(dòng)模式和長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系，建立名義經(jīng)濟(jì)向?qū)嶓w經(jīng)濟(jì)傳導(dǎo)和作用渠道，檢驗(yàn)了貨幣政策的有效性和靈敏性；

短句來(lái)源

    Theresults imply that there are long-run equilibrium relationships of the real effectiveexchange rate and international oil prices respectively with GDP and the governmentfiscal revenues. In addition, the short-run fluctuations of international oil prices andthe real effective exchange rate also significantly influence GDP and the governmentfiscal revenues.

    通過(guò)研究發(fā)現(xiàn),實(shí)際有效匯率、國(guó)際石油價(jià)格分別和GDP及政府財(cái)政收入存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系,同時(shí)實(shí)際有效匯率和國(guó)際石油價(jià)格的短期波動(dòng)也會(huì)對(duì)GDP及政府財(cái)政收入產(chǎn)生顯著影響。

短句來(lái)源

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  short-term fluctuation

The remaining variability was mainly due to short-term fluctuation of eye torsion over seconds.

"Short-term fluctuation" provides information about the reliability of the results as well as about possible early damage.

There was also a tendency toward an increase in false-negative responses in catch trials, an increase in the number of stimuli presentations required, and higher short-term fluctuation.

The neuroretinal-rim area was best correlated with short-term fluctuation, but was also very significantly correlated with mean damage and corrected loss variance.

We found a mean short-term fluctuation of 2.37 dB, a long-term heterogeneous fluctuation of 5.28 dB, and a long-term homogeneous fluctuation of 1.10 dB.

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Based on integration and Johansen Juselius cointegration test findings, this paper constructs an error correction model(ECM), which describes non linear adjustment process of renminbi(RMB) against the U.S dollar bilateral exchange rate to long term equilibrium under new exchange rate arrangement in China. The empirical analysis results suggest that all parameters estimated are of the expected sign, and that the single long run relationship exists estimated are of the expected sign, and that the single long run...

Based on integration and Johansen Juselius cointegration test findings, this paper constructs an error correction model(ECM), which describes non linear adjustment process of renminbi(RMB) against the U.S dollar bilateral exchange rate to long term equilibrium under new exchange rate arrangement in China. The empirical analysis results suggest that all parameters estimated are of the expected sign, and that the single long run relationship exists estimated are of the expected sign, and that the single long run relationship exits among RMB against US$ exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves, and changes in international foreign exchange markets, e.g., Japanese Yen against the U.S.dollar bilateral exchange rate. The ECM model shows that non linear dynamic adjustment process of RMB against the U.S. dollar exchange rate maintains stable and significant relationships to foreign exchange reserves, imports, and Japanese Yen against the U.S. dollar bilateral exchange rate.

首先應(yīng)用協(xié)整方法檢驗(yàn)人民幣匯率、外匯儲(chǔ)備、進(jìn)出口及國(guó)際外匯市場(chǎng)的匯率（日元對(duì)美元的雙邊匯率）變化的可積性和變量之間的協(xié)整關(guān)系，進(jìn)而建立用來(lái)描述人民幣匯率由短期波動(dòng)向長(zhǎng)期均衡非線性調(diào)整的動(dòng)態(tài)過(guò)程的誤差修正模型．實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明，模型的所有估計(jì)系數(shù)具有我們建模時(shí)設(shè)定的符號(hào)；并且人民幣匯率、外匯儲(chǔ)備及美元／日元匯率之間存在唯一的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系，即協(xié)整關(guān)系；短期預(yù)測(cè)模型不僅具有令人滿意的擬合效果和預(yù)測(cè)能力，而且具有結(jié)構(gòu)穩(wěn)定性

In order to apply the model built to analysis the trend in exports of China in the reform period(1978 to 1996), the Hsiao procedure is used to choose optical macroeconomic variables,which are constructed by the theoretical model.Based on integration and Johansen Juselius cointegration test findings,this paper constructs an error correction model(ECM),which describes the mechanism of adjustment to long term equilibrium.It is found that exists a unique longrun relationship among the varibales included in the...

In order to apply the model built to analysis the trend in exports of China in the reform period(1978 to 1996), the Hsiao procedure is used to choose optical macroeconomic variables,which are constructed by the theoretical model.Based on integration and Johansen Juselius cointegration test findings,this paper constructs an error correction model(ECM),which describes the mechanism of adjustment to long term equilibrium.It is found that exists a unique longrun relationship among the varibales included in the model over the period 1978 to 1996,and that all parameters estimated are of the expected sign.The error correction model not only fits the actual well,but also maintains overall stability.

應(yīng)用已建立的出口模型對(duì)中國(guó)改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)（１９７８－ １９９６）的出口增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析．在運(yùn)用 Ｈｓｉａｏ 程序選出最優(yōu)解釋變量的基礎(chǔ)上；應(yīng)用協(xié)整方法檢驗(yàn)變量間的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系，即協(xié)整關(guān)系；進(jìn)而建立用來(lái)描述中國(guó)出口增長(zhǎng)由短期波動(dòng)向長(zhǎng)期均衡調(diào)整的動(dòng)態(tài)過(guò)程的誤差修正模型．實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明，所有解釋變量的估計(jì)系數(shù)具有我們建模時(shí)設(shè)定的符號(hào)；并且變量之間存在唯一的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系．短期動(dòng)態(tài)模型不僅具有令人滿意的擬合效果，，而且具有結(jié)構(gòu)穩(wěn)定性．

This article makes a quantitative analysis on the relationship between construction investment and economic growth in China, and develops an econometrical “error correction model” to demonstrate the long term balance and short term fluctuations of them. From this model, the construction investment elasticities of GDP are calculated and it seems that they are all much higher than their shares in GDP. So a conclusion could be drawn that construction investment plays an important role in national economy and...

This article makes a quantitative analysis on the relationship between construction investment and economic growth in China, and develops an econometrical “error correction model” to demonstrate the long term balance and short term fluctuations of them. From this model, the construction investment elasticities of GDP are calculated and it seems that they are all much higher than their shares in GDP. So a conclusion could be drawn that construction investment plays an important role in national economy and can greatly stimulate the increase of GDP.

文章對(duì)我國(guó)建設(shè)投資和國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了定量的分析 ,建立了能反映二者之間長(zhǎng)期均衡和短期波動(dòng)關(guān)系的誤差修正模型 ,從而得到近階段國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)我國(guó)建設(shè)投資的彈性系數(shù) ,反映了建設(shè)投資對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)水平。從模型分析的結(jié)果顯示 ,無(wú)論是固定資產(chǎn)投資 ,還是建筑安裝投資 ,GDP對(duì)它們的彈性系數(shù)都大大超過(guò)它們各自在 GDP中所占的比重。這表明建設(shè)投資能夠高效率地拉動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng) ,是刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)的重要手段之一。

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：居民消費(fèi)支出與可支配收入的長(zhǎng)期均衡及短期波動(dòng)關(guān)系研究——對(duì)韶關(guān)城區(qū)居民家庭生活抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。