本文選題：腐敗 + 公共支出�。� 參考：《湖南大學》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放三十年來,中國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)保持高速增長,同時公共支出也迅速增長,并且在我國國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值中所占的比重也越來越大,但同時中國較為嚴重的腐敗問題也漸漸成為整個社會關(guān)注的焦點。一般來講,腐敗發(fā)生于公共支出領(lǐng)域,經(jīng)濟水平較發(fā)達的地區(qū)腐敗程度相對較低。中國卻出現(xiàn)了高腐敗與高經(jīng)濟增長的現(xiàn)象。本文的主要內(nèi)容是研究腐敗如何通過公共支出途徑來作用于我國經(jīng)濟增長的。本文首先深入分析我國腐敗和公共支出的現(xiàn)狀、特點,從理論上分析了我國腐敗通過公共支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響機制,在此基礎上構(gòu)建計量模型,探求我國腐敗通過公共支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響。其次,本文的實證分析采用我國31個省份1994-2012年的數(shù)據(jù),通過兩步實證研究來驗證理論假設。第一步,經(jīng)過豪斯曼檢驗后,采用固定相應回歸來驗證腐敗對公共支出的影響,得出腐敗擴大了公共支出規(guī)模,扭曲公共支出結(jié)構(gòu)即腐敗擴大了經(jīng)濟建設支出和行政管理支出,減少了教科文衛(wèi)支出和國防支出的計量結(jié)果,基本上與理論機理相符。第二部,在Barro的經(jīng)典內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟增長模型中嵌入腐敗這一變量,并采用Hansen的門檻回歸的計量方法進行回歸。計量結(jié)果表明,公共支出規(guī)模和各類公共支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響均存在腐敗的門檻效應：公共支出規(guī)模對經(jīng)濟增長的影響存在腐敗的雙重門檻,隨著腐敗程度的加劇,公共支出規(guī)模對經(jīng)濟增長作用由促進作用變?yōu)椴伙@著再變?yōu)橐种谱饔�；�?jīng)濟建設支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響存在腐敗的單一門檻,當腐敗程度較低是,經(jīng)濟建設支出促進經(jīng)濟增長,當腐敗程度較高時,經(jīng)濟建設支出對經(jīng)濟增長影響不顯著；教科文衛(wèi)支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響存在腐敗的雙重門檻,隨著腐敗程度的加劇,教科文衛(wèi)支出對經(jīng)濟增長的作用由促進作用變?yōu)椴伙@著再變?yōu)橐种谱饔茫粐乐С鰧?jīng)濟增長的影響存在腐敗的單一門檻,當腐敗程度較低時,國防支出促進經(jīng)濟增長,當腐敗程度較高時,國防支出對經(jīng)濟增長影響不顯著。行政管理支出對經(jīng)濟增長的影響存在腐敗的單一門檻,當腐敗程度較低時,行政管理支出對經(jīng)濟增長影響不顯著,當腐敗程度較高時,行政管理支出抑制經(jīng)濟增長。最后,在理論和實證分析的基礎上,針對腐敗通過公共支作用于經(jīng)濟增長,提出相應的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Over the past 30 years of reform and opening up, China's economy has maintained rapid growth, while public expenditure has also increased rapidly, and it also accounts for an increasingly large proportion of China's gross domestic product. But at the same time, the more serious corruption in China has gradually become the focus of the whole society. Generally speaking, corruption occurs in the field of public expenditure, and the degree of corruption is relatively low in economically developed areas. However, China has a high level of corruption and high economic growth. The main content of this paper is to study how corruption acts on China's economic growth through the way of public expenditure. Firstly, this paper analyzes the current situation and characteristics of corruption and public expenditure in China, and theoretically analyzes the mechanism of the influence of corruption on economic growth through public expenditure, on the basis of which a measurement model is constructed. To explore the impact of corruption on economic growth through public expenditure. Secondly, the empirical analysis of this paper uses the data from 1994 to 2012 from 31 provinces in China, and verifies the theoretical hypothesis through two-step empirical research. The first step, after the Hausmann test, uses fixed regression to verify the influence of corruption on public expenditure. It is concluded that corruption expands the scale of public expenditure, and distorts the structure of public expenditure, that is, corruption expands economic construction expenditure and administrative expenditure. The results of reducing the expenditure of education, science, culture and health and national defense are basically consistent with the theory and mechanism. In the second part, the variable of corruption is embedded in Barro's classical endogenous economic growth model, and Hansen's threshold regression method is used for regression. The results show that both the scale of public expenditure and the influence of all kinds of public expenditure on economic growth have the threshold effect of corruption: the impact of scale of public expenditure on economic growth has a double threshold of corruption, and with the increase of the degree of corruption, The influence of economic construction expenditure on economic growth has a single threshold of corruption. When the degree of corruption is low, economic construction expenditure promotes economic growth. When the degree of corruption is high, the influence of economic construction expenditure on economic growth is not significant, and the impact of education, science, culture and health expenditure on economic growth has a double threshold of corruption, as the degree of corruption intensifies, The effect of education, science, culture and health expenditure on economic growth has changed from promoting function to not significant effect to restraining effect. There is a single threshold of corruption in the influence of national defense expenditure on economic growth. When the degree of corruption is low, national defense expenditure promotes economic growth. When corruption is high, defense spending has no significant impact on economic growth. There is a single threshold of corruption in the influence of administrative expenditure on economic growth. When the degree of corruption is low, the impact of administrative expenditure on economic growth is not significant, and when the degree of corruption is high, administrative expenditure inhibits economic growth. Finally, on the basis of theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations on corruption acting on economic growth through public branches.
【學位授予單位】：湖南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F812.45
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本文編號：2043987