本文選題：居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu) + ELES模型�。� 參考：《云南大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng),中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入新常態(tài)已成為不爭(zhēng)的事實(shí),居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)也發(fā)生了巨大的改變。居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的變化在很大程度上能夠顯示居民主要購(gòu)買力的方向,更進(jìn)一步地顯示在不同經(jīng)濟(jì)水平和社會(huì)發(fā)展階段上的產(chǎn)業(yè)、產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu),從而直接影響社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)。但現(xiàn)如今,市場(chǎng)上存在一系列的問題,如消費(fèi)品供過于求、市場(chǎng)有效供給率不足、產(chǎn)能過剩等,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的市場(chǎng)制約日益增強(qiáng)。因此,研究當(dāng)前居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀和變化趨勢(shì),不僅有助于掌握居民消費(fèi)需求的熱點(diǎn)和新方向,也利于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整升級(jí),進(jìn)而推動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速平穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)。本文針對(duì)《2015年中國(guó)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒》中1993-2014年的城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)數(shù)據(jù),利用ELES模型對(duì)縱向時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)和城鎮(zhèn)的橫截面數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行數(shù)量實(shí)證分析。為了全面刻畫城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)特征,本文還考慮了橫截面數(shù)據(jù)的主成分分析和聚類分析,從而了解不同地區(qū)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的大致差異。而后,在實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上,給出相應(yīng)的對(duì)策建議。研究結(jié)果表明,城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)已經(jīng)由生存型轉(zhuǎn)向享受服務(wù)型,盡管居民消費(fèi)的主要方向仍為食品消費(fèi),但對(duì)交通通信和居住的邊際消費(fèi)傾向越來(lái)越高；各省份城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)雖然大致相同,但不同省份的消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)存在地區(qū)差異。
[Abstract]:With the sustained and steady growth of the national economy, it has become an indisputable fact that China's economy has entered the new normal, and the consumption structure of the residents has also undergone tremendous changes. To a great extent, the change of the consumption structure of residents can show the direction of the main purchasing power of the residents, and further show the industrial and product structure in different economic levels and stages of social development, thus directly affecting the social and economic activities. But nowadays, there are a series of problems in the market, such as oversupply of consumer goods, insufficient effective supply rate of market, overcapacity and so on. Therefore, studying the current situation and changing trend of resident's consumption structure is not only helpful to grasp the hot spot and new direction of resident's consumption demand, but also conducive to the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure and product structure, thus promoting the rapid and steady growth of national economy. Based on the consumption structure data of urban residents in the Statistical Yearbook of China in 2015 from 1993 to 2014, this paper makes a quantitative empirical analysis of the longitudinal time series data and the cross-sectional data of cities and towns by using ELES model. In order to describe the characteristics of the consumption structure of urban residents, this paper also considers the principal component analysis and cluster analysis of cross-section data, so as to understand the difference of consumption structure in different regions. Then, on the basis of empirical analysis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are given. The results show that the consumption structure of urban residents has changed from survival type to enjoying service type. Although the main direction of residents' consumption is still food consumption, the marginal consumption tendency to traffic communication and residence is becoming higher and higher. Although the consumption structure of urban residents in different provinces is roughly the same, there are regional differences in consumption structure among different provinces.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F126.1
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本文編號(hào)：1898683