本文選題：農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù) + 農(nóng)戶行為��； 參考：《西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：我國(guó)水資源相對(duì)貧乏,人均占有量較少,水資源短缺不僅加劇了生態(tài)環(huán)境的脆弱性,也限制了農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展。農(nóng)業(yè)用水是我國(guó)水資源利用中的重要組成部分,70%左右的社會(huì)用水用于農(nóng)業(yè)。農(nóng)業(yè)用水中,農(nóng)田灌溉水的使用占90%以上,2015年水資源公報(bào)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示,農(nóng)田灌溉用水有效利用系數(shù)為0.536,說明我國(guó)水資源不僅短缺而且存在大量浪費(fèi)。想要解決這一問題,緩解農(nóng)業(yè)用水壓力,保證水資源可持續(xù)利用,促進(jìn)我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,必須鼓勵(lì)農(nóng)戶采用有效的農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)。甘肅省地處干旱的西北地區(qū),降水稀少且分布不勻,水資源十分貧瘠。同時(shí),甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平較低,對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)的依賴性較高,在當(dāng)?shù)卮罅ν茝V農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù),提高農(nóng)戶的高效節(jié)水技術(shù)采用率,可以緩解當(dāng)?shù)赜盟?增加農(nóng)戶收入,保護(hù)當(dāng)?shù)丨h(huán)境,提升當(dāng)?shù)鼐用裆钏�。本文基于“理性人”假設(shè),以甘肅省作為研究區(qū)域,圍繞農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù),將農(nóng)戶技術(shù)采用行為作為研究標(biāo)的,運(yùn)用logistic模型擬合甘肅省五個(gè)市285個(gè)樣本農(nóng)戶的節(jié)水行為,深入探討影響農(nóng)戶采用節(jié)水技術(shù)的各類因素。具體地,首先,通過梳理國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)和學(xué)習(xí)相應(yīng)理論知識(shí),提出了本文的理論分析框架,一方面通過農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)誘導(dǎo)理論分析了節(jié)水技術(shù)出現(xiàn)和擴(kuò)散的原因,另一方面,基于“理性人”假設(shè),通過理性選擇理論和集體行動(dòng)理論探討了農(nóng)戶的行為,再通過邊際分析法、農(nóng)戶生產(chǎn)函數(shù)等研究了農(nóng)戶對(duì)技術(shù)的采用行為。其次,利用統(tǒng)計(jì)資料,研究了甘肅省的自然條件和節(jié)水發(fā)展概況,在自然條件方面主要調(diào)查了甘肅省的自然概況、農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展概況和水資源概況,在節(jié)水發(fā)展方面主要調(diào)查了各種節(jié)水技術(shù)的采用程度和水資源利用中存在的問題。再次,通過問卷設(shè)計(jì)和實(shí)際調(diào)研獲取了本文的研究數(shù)據(jù),在實(shí)證分析時(shí),將影響農(nóng)戶節(jié)水技術(shù)采用的因素分為了五個(gè)部分:戶主個(gè)人特征、家庭生產(chǎn)特征、政策制度特征、水資源特征和技術(shù)認(rèn)知特征。在對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行預(yù)處理時(shí),發(fā)現(xiàn)家庭生產(chǎn)特征中變量之間的相關(guān)性較大,所以先用因子分析法將家庭生產(chǎn)特征中的變量進(jìn)行降維,得到互不相關(guān)的幾個(gè)主要因子,再將所得因子和其余變量代入二元logistic回歸方程,得到回歸結(jié)果。最后,解釋回歸結(jié)果,分析農(nóng)戶節(jié)水技術(shù)采用的影響因素,基于研究結(jié)論提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。本文的研究結(jié)論有:甘肅省節(jié)水灌溉面積占比小、不同節(jié)水技術(shù)采用差異較大、節(jié)水技術(shù)培訓(xùn)力度較弱、農(nóng)戶對(duì)節(jié)水缺乏正確認(rèn)知�；貧w結(jié)果表明,收入因子、種植因子、政府節(jié)水補(bǔ)貼、節(jié)水技術(shù)示范村、水資源短缺程度、水資源價(jià)格認(rèn)知、節(jié)水技術(shù)認(rèn)知程度均對(duì)農(nóng)戶節(jié)水技術(shù)的采用存在顯著影響�；谝陨涎芯拷Y(jié)論,本文提出了以下政策建議:多引導(dǎo)農(nóng)戶種植效益較高的經(jīng)濟(jì)作物、加快土地流轉(zhuǎn),促進(jìn)規(guī)模經(jīng)營(yíng)、健全農(nóng)戶技術(shù)培訓(xùn)機(jī)制、加大政府扶持力度及建立合理的水價(jià)調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制。
[Abstract]:The water resources in China are relatively poor and the per capita possession is small. The shortage of water resources not only intensifies the fragility of ecological environment, but also restricts the development of agriculture. Agricultural water use is an important part of water resources utilization in China, about 70% of social water is used in agriculture. Agricultural irrigation water use accounts for more than 90% of agricultural water use. The statistical data of 2015 Water Resources Bulletin show that the effective utilization coefficient of farmland irrigation water is 0.536, which indicates that water resources in China are not only short but also wasteful. In order to solve this problem, to relieve the pressure of agricultural water use, to ensure the sustainable utilization of water resources and to promote the sustainable development of agriculture in China, it is necessary to encourage farmers to adopt effective agricultural water-saving techniques. Gansu Province is located in arid northwest region, precipitation is rare and uneven distribution, water resources are very poor. At the same time, the level of economic development in Gansu Province is relatively low, and the dependence on agriculture is high. Popularizing agricultural water-saving technology in the local areas and increasing the adoption rate of high-efficiency water-saving technologies for farmers can alleviate the contradiction of local water use and increase the income of farmers. To protect the local environment and improve the living standards of local residents. Based on the hypothesis of "rational man", this paper takes Gansu Province as the research area, takes the behavior of farmers' technology adoption as the research object, and applies logistic model to fit the water-saving behavior of 285 sample farmers in five cities of Gansu Province. This paper probes into various factors influencing farmers' adoption of water-saving technology. Specifically, first of all, by combing the relevant literature at home and abroad and studying the corresponding theoretical knowledge, this paper puts forward the theoretical analysis framework of this paper. On the one hand, it analyzes the reasons for the emergence and diffusion of water-saving technology through agricultural technology induction theory, on the other hand, Based on the hypothesis of "rational man", this paper discusses the behavior of farmers through rational choice theory and collective action theory, and then studies the behavior of adopting technology by means of marginal analysis, production function of farmers and so on. Secondly, the natural conditions and water-saving development situation of Gansu Province are studied by using statistical data, and the natural situation, agricultural development and water resources situation of Gansu Province are mainly investigated in terms of natural conditions. In the aspect of water-saving development, the application degree of various water-saving technologies and the problems existing in the utilization of water resources are investigated. Thirdly, through the questionnaire design and actual investigation to obtain the research data of this paper, in the empirical analysis, the factors that affect the farmers' water-saving technology are divided into five parts: the personal characteristics of household head, the characteristics of household production, the characteristics of policy and system. Characteristics of water resources and technical cognition. When the data is preprocessed, it is found that there is a great correlation between the variables in the family production characteristics, so the variables in the family production characteristics are reduced by factor analysis method, and several main factors which are not related to each other are obtained. Then the obtained factors and other variables are substituted into the binary logistic regression equation and the regression results are obtained. Finally, the paper explains the regression results, analyzes the influencing factors of farmers' water-saving technology, and puts forward corresponding policy recommendations based on the conclusions of the research. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: the proportion of water-saving irrigation area in Gansu Province is small, the different water-saving techniques are different, the training intensity of water-saving technology is weak, and farmers lack correct understanding of water-saving. The regression results showed that income factor, planting factor, government water-saving subsidy, water-saving technology demonstration village, water shortage degree, water resources price cognition and water-saving technology cognition had significant influence on the adoption of water-saving technology by farmers. Based on the above research conclusions, this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations: to guide farmers to grow more efficient cash crops, to speed up land transfer, to promote scale management, to improve farmers' technical training mechanism. Increase government support and establish a reasonable water price regulation mechanism.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F323.3

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 張恒銘;;甘肅省高效節(jié)水灌溉發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、需求分析及效益評(píng)價(jià)[J];甘肅水利水電技術(shù);2016年09期

2 馮穎;;寧夏干旱半干旱地區(qū)農(nóng)戶采用農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)意愿的影響因素分析[J];中國(guó)農(nóng)村水利水電;2016年05期

3 楊寧;;農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)應(yīng)用問題探析[J];資源節(jié)約與環(huán)保;2015年08期

4 韓一軍;李雪;付文閣;;麥農(nóng)采用農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)的影響因素分析——基于北方干旱缺水地區(qū)的調(diào)查[J];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2015年04期

5 聶英;董娜;孔祥露;;基于Logistic模型的農(nóng)戶節(jié)水技術(shù)選擇行為研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2015年10期

6 李名威;尉京紅;;農(nóng)戶對(duì)經(jīng)營(yíng)性節(jié)水灌溉項(xiàng)目的需求意愿及影響因素分析——基于河北省2類地區(qū)農(nóng)戶的調(diào)查[J];中國(guó)農(nóng)村水利水電;2015年02期

7 景曉汀;;天水市高效節(jié)水灌溉發(fā)展問題分析及對(duì)策探討[J];甘肅科技縱橫;2014年09期

8 周玉璽;周霞;宋欣;;影響農(nóng)戶農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)采用水平差異的因素分析——基于山東省17市333個(gè)農(nóng)戶的問卷調(diào)查[J];干旱區(qū)資源與環(huán)境;2014年03期

9 蔣俊光;;農(nóng)戶節(jié)水灌溉技術(shù)選擇行為的研究[J];黑龍江水利科技;2013年11期

10 許朗;劉金金;;農(nóng)戶節(jié)水灌溉技術(shù)選擇行為的影響因素分析——基于山東省蒙陰縣的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)[J];中國(guó)農(nóng)村觀察;2013年06期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 孫偉;中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水技術(shù)推廣關(guān)鍵影響因素研究[D];東北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2012年

2 國(guó)亮;農(nóng)業(yè)節(jié)水灌溉技術(shù)擴(kuò)散研究[D];西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué);2011年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 劉金金;農(nóng)戶節(jié)水灌溉技術(shù)選擇行為及其影響因素的分析[D];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2014年

2 劉黎黎;黃土高原農(nóng)戶高效節(jié)水灌溉技術(shù)選擇行為研究[D];中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)院;2014年

，

本文編號(hào)：1822752