本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) + 投入產(chǎn)出表��； 參考：《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文以云南省為例,基于云南省歷年統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒,深入剖析自1978年以來(lái)云南省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變規(guī)律和特點(diǎn);以2002年、2007年、2012年投入產(chǎn)出表的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)為依據(jù),采用關(guān)鍵部門(mén)分析法和SDA結(jié)構(gòu)分解法,以產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和部門(mén)發(fā)展為出發(fā)點(diǎn),對(duì)云南省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行測(cè)度,尋找云南省國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)、基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè)、瓶頸產(chǎn)業(yè)等,從量的角度研究產(chǎn)業(yè)之間投入與產(chǎn)出的數(shù)量比例關(guān)系,考慮各產(chǎn)業(yè)部門(mén)之間的關(guān)聯(lián)特征及相應(yīng)的“結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)”。得出的結(jié)論可以對(duì)云南省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的制定提供量化參考。首先,對(duì)云南省三次產(chǎn)業(yè)從經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)度和就業(yè)吸納力度兩個(gè)角度進(jìn)行分析,得出如下結(jié)論:云南省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)已形成“二、三、一”協(xié)同發(fā)展的基本格局,并在此基礎(chǔ)上向“三、二、一”逐步過(guò)渡。第一產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展緩慢,但基礎(chǔ)性地位仍不可動(dòng)搖;第二產(chǎn)業(yè)在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中處于支柱地位,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響也逐漸趨于穩(wěn)定,但是輕重工業(yè)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)基本脫節(jié)狀態(tài);總體布局和投入在向第三產(chǎn)業(yè)偏移,但是潛力未被充分挖掘。從吸納就業(yè)人員角度看,作為農(nóng)業(yè)大省,第一產(chǎn)業(yè)仍居于主力地位,某種程度上成為限制經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的阻力;第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人員吸納能力保持穩(wěn)定上升;第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人數(shù)持續(xù)增高,這表明第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展?jié)摿薮?將逐步成為吸納云南省勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)的潛力股。其次,以云南省各產(chǎn)業(yè)部門(mén)的關(guān)聯(lián)度和結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)為切入點(diǎn),得出以下重要結(jié)論:第二產(chǎn)業(yè)是拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè);農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)有不可替代的基礎(chǔ)性地位,但是在經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展期,又極有可能成為限制經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的瓶頸;第三產(chǎn)業(yè)已成為拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的潛力產(chǎn)業(yè),但其輻射推動(dòng)效應(yīng)還未得到有效的開(kāi)發(fā)利用,云南省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)仍舊趨于傳統(tǒng),創(chuàng)新能力有待提高。對(duì)云南省各產(chǎn)業(yè)部門(mén)的總產(chǎn)出變動(dòng)進(jìn)行因素分解發(fā)現(xiàn)居民消費(fèi)、政府消費(fèi)、資本形成、凈流出等幾大因素在不同的產(chǎn)業(yè)部門(mén)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響程度各有不同。
[Abstract]:Taking Yunnan Province as an example, based on the statistical yearbooks of Yunnan Province over the years, this paper deeply analyzes the evolution law and characteristics of Yunnan's industrial structure since 1978, based on the relevant data of the input-output table in 2002, 2007 and 2012.By using the key sector analysis method and the SDA structure decomposition method, this paper measures the economic growth effect of the evolution of the industrial structure in Yunnan Province by taking the industrial structure and the development of the department as the starting point, and looks for the leading industry and basic industry in the development of the national economy of Yunnan Province.From the angle of quantity, the relationship between input and output is studied, and the related characteristics and the corresponding "structure effect" among industrial departments are considered.The conclusion can provide quantitative reference for the adjustment of industrial structure and the formulation of economic policy in Yunnan Province.First of all, the paper analyzes the three industries in Yunnan Province from the angle of economic contribution and employment absorption, and draws the following conclusions: the industrial structure of Yunnan Province has formed the basic pattern of "two, three, and one" coordinated development, and on this basis,Two, one "step by step transition."The development of the primary industry is slow, but the basic position is still unshakable, the secondary industry is in the pillar position in the development of the national economy, and the influence on the economic development tends to be stable gradually, but the development of light and heavy industry is basically disjointed.Overall layout and investment in the third industry shift, but the potential has not been fully exploited.From the angle of absorbing employed personnel, as a big agricultural province, the primary industry still occupies the main position, to some extent, it has become the resistance to restrict the economic development, the ability of absorbing the employment personnel of the second industry keeps steady rise;The employment of the tertiary industry continues to increase, which indicates that the development of the tertiary industry has great potential and will gradually become the potential stock to absorb the employment of the labor force in Yunnan Province.Secondly, based on the related degree and structural effect of the various industrial departments in Yunnan Province, the following important conclusions are drawn: the secondary industry is the pillar industry to stimulate economic growth, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry has an irreplaceable basic position.However, in the period of rapid economic development, it is very likely to become a bottleneck restricting economic growth. The tertiary industry has become a potential industry to stimulate economic growth, but its radiation promotion effect has not been effectively exploited and utilized.The industrial structure of Yunnan Province still tends to tradition, innovation ability needs to be improved.The factor decomposition of the total output change of the various industrial departments in Yunnan Province shows that the factors such as resident consumption, government consumption, capital formation and net outflow have different influences on the national economy in different industrial sectors.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127

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