本文關鍵詞： 經濟文獻 文本挖掘 經濟分析方法 指標運用 數據質量　出處：《廣東財經大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以后,中國經濟研究取得了長足的發(fā)展,積累了大量經濟文獻成果。然而,從基本理論發(fā)展層面來看,無論是微觀經濟理論,還是宏觀經濟分析,都毫無疑問地越來越向數量化、模型化的方向發(fā)展,經濟學在此大趨勢中也逐漸演變成為一個龐大的“公理化”的“現代經濟學理論體系”,與此同時卻忽視了假設的現實合理性、指標基本性質適用性、數據準確性等基礎性的問題,由此造成大量論文研究成果與現實經濟的脫節(jié),經濟研究中許多不足之處,需要我們回過頭總結與反思。本文以1979年到2016年的收錄于中國知網的中國學術期刊網絡出版總庫中的8,973,710篇經濟學術期刊論文為研究對象,綜合的運用文獻計量學、文本挖掘技術、統(tǒng)計學方法進行了定量分析和定性分析。從論文數量、年代分布、期刊來源、基金項目概況、關鍵詞等多方面進行了計量分析,在此研究基礎上,以經濟方法、指標選擇、數據質量為切入點,著重分析實證論文普遍忽視的基礎性問題。研究得出的主要結論:(1)我國經濟領域論文數量呈逐年遞增的趨勢,但具有階段性的特征,而這種階段性特征與經濟學科的發(fā)展以及現實經濟的發(fā)展密切相關。另外,經濟領域高質量的期刊占比較少,論文整體質量偏低,基金論文量逐年增加,但有96%來自于各級政府機構資助,其他基金項目占比偏少。(2)經濟分析方法更多的是建立在對解釋對象量化的基礎之上,通過“抽象化”方式,運用經濟模型對復雜的經濟現實進行模擬,且經濟模型有越建越復雜趨勢,而例如“理論分析”“統(tǒng)計分析”這類基礎的方法則淪為復雜分析方法的輔助工具。(3)經濟學界對指標運用問題并沒有足夠的重視,指標運用整體水平偏低,學者們普遍缺乏對指標性質及應用范圍的理解,由此造成了指標“誤用”、“濫用”以及“少數指標打天下”等的指標運用現狀。(4)各政府部門提供的數據“相互打架”或者提供“虛假數據”的現象層出不窮,企業(yè)部門“問題數據”也屢禁不止,從而使得部分研究成果失去現實意義。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economic research has made great progress and accumulated a lot of economic literature. However, from the perspective of basic theory development, whether microeconomic theory or macroeconomic analysis. There is no doubt that more and more quantitative, modelled development of economics in this general trend has gradually evolved into a huge "axiomatic" "modern economic theory system". At the same time, it ignores the basic problems such as the rationality of the hypothesis, the applicability of the basic properties of the indicators, the accuracy of the data, and so on, which leads to the disconnection between the research results of a large number of papers and the real economy. There are many shortcomings in economic research, which need to be summarized and reconsidered. This paper uses 8,973 of the China academic Journals published online from 1979 to 2016 in the General Library of Chinese academic Journals. 710 papers of economic academic journals were analyzed quantitatively and qualitatively by means of bibliometrics, text mining and statistical methods. Fund project overview, key words and other aspects of econometric analysis, on the basis of this research, with economic methods, index selection, data quality as the entry point. The main conclusion of the study is that the number of papers in the economic field of our country is increasing year by year, but it has the characteristic of stage. In addition, the high quality periodicals in the economic field account for less, the overall quality of papers is low, and the number of fund papers is increasing year by year. However, 96% are funded by government agencies at all levels, and other funds account for less. 2) the economic analysis method is more based on the quantification of the explanatory objects through the way of "abstraction". The economic model is used to simulate the complicated economic reality, and the economic model tends to be more and more complex. For example, the basic methods of "theoretical analysis" and "statistical analysis" are reduced to the auxiliary tools of complex analytical methods.) the economists do not pay enough attention to the use of indicators. The overall level of the use of indicators is on the low side, and scholars generally lack the understanding of the nature and scope of application of indicators, resulting in the "misuse" of indicators. "abuse" and "a few indicators to fight the world" and other indicators use the status quo. 4) the data provided by various government departments "fight each other" or provide "false data" phenomenon in endlessly. Enterprise sector "problem data" also repeatedly prohibited, so that some of the research results lost practical significance.
【學位授予單位】：廣東財經大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：G353.1;F124

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本文編號：1453977