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加勒比共同體對(duì)東亞市場(chǎng)出口潛力研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2021-03-01 02:22
  加勒比共同體國(guó)家一直面臨著資源有限,債務(wù)水平上升,融資渠道受限,貿(mào)易赤字升高等一系列傳統(tǒng)問(wèn)題。伴隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境疲軟的現(xiàn)狀,加勒比共同體國(guó)家的可持續(xù)發(fā)展之路困難重重。雖然一些基于傳統(tǒng)歷史因素的貿(mào)易關(guān)系已經(jīng)不能再為加勒比共同體國(guó)家貢獻(xiàn)更多發(fā)展機(jī)遇,但是,這一由地理因素結(jié)合而成的經(jīng)濟(jì)共同體依然忽視了一些可以“簡(jiǎn)單”且有效提升該地區(qū)收入水平的措施。世界貿(mào)易組織推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化使得更多貿(mào)易伙伴被納入全球經(jīng)濟(jì)體系且極大得增加了各國(guó)的貿(mào)易收入,然而加勒比共同體國(guó)家依然主要關(guān)注于與西方國(guó)家的現(xiàn)有關(guān)系,忽視了超越現(xiàn)有關(guān)系的可能性——全球至少有60%的市場(chǎng)被加勒比共同體地區(qū)的所忽視。主要問(wèn)題為:從統(tǒng)計(jì)分析的角度,加勒比國(guó)家對(duì)東亞國(guó)家出口的增加是否應(yīng)該安排更更多的貿(mào)易談判?如果擴(kuò)大加勒比共同體的可利用收入的潛力,從國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的角度分析,該地區(qū)會(huì)有哪些變化?在現(xiàn)實(shí)的情況下,加勒比共同體的出口潛力的預(yù)估值是多少?研究表明,EA13是加勒比共同體的天然出口市場(chǎng),擴(kuò)大市場(chǎng)選擇將消除該地區(qū)出口誤解,并證明非傳統(tǒng)市場(chǎng)同樣具有未開(kāi)發(fā)的出口潛力。受 Anderson(1979),Melitz(2003),Baier and... 

【文章來(lái)源】:東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)遼寧省

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】:218 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士

【文章目錄】:
ABSTRACT
摘要
1 Introduction
    1.1 Background of the study
        1.1.1 Area of Concern
        1.1.2 Purpose of Research
        1.1.3 Major Research Prepositions
        1.1.4 Why East Asia
        1.1.5 The Caribbean Common Market
        1.1.6 CARICOM-East Asian Connection
    1.2 Significance of Investigation
    1.3 Research Model
        1.3.1 Model Selection
        1.3.2 Why Structured Gravity
        1.3.3 Potential Estimation Equation
    1.4 Research Structure
    1.5 Research Innovation and Weakness
        1.5.1 Innovation
        1.5.2 Core Weakness
2 Literature Review
    2.1 CARICOM and Trade
        2.1.1 Trade with Major Countries
        2.1.2 Competitiveness
        2.1.3 Integration Efforts
    2.2 Trade Integration with Asia
    2.3 Methodology
        2.3.1 International Trade Theories-Previous and Present
        2.3.2 Effects of Diversity
        2.3.3 Theory of Gravity
    2.4 Summary
    2.5 Research Contribution
3 CARICOM Export Market
    3.1 Overview-CARICOM's Export Patterns
    3.2 The Degree of CARICOM's Trade Integration
    3.3 CARICOM's Declining Rate of Exports
    3.4 Merchandise Trade Trends
    3.5 Outlook for CARICOM Exports
    3.6 The Impact of Diversity on Exports
        3.6.1 Method
        3.6.2 Results and Discussion
    3.7 Summary
4 Market Competitiveness-CARICOM Industries' Position
    4.1 Overview
    4.2 Factors affecting competitiveness
    4.3 The Infant-Industry Argument
    4.4 Variations in Measurement
    4.5 CARICOM's Export-Competitiveness
        4.5.1 Aggregated Competitive Performance
        4.5.2 Disaggregated performance of Competitiveness elements
    4.6 Summary
5 Trade Intensity, Complementarity, and Advantages:CARICOM-EA13Indicators
    5.1 Trade Complementarity and Intensity Indices
        5.1.1 Export Intensity Index
        5.1.2 Trade Complementarity Index for Export Commodities
    5.2 Revealed Comparative Advantages
        5.2.1 Balassa Index
        5.2.2 CARICOM Industries with RCA vis-a-vis EA13
    5.3 Challenges Unaccounted by Export Indicators
    5.4 Summary
6 CARICOM's Export Potential within EA13-Macro Analysis
    6.1 Background
    6.2 Recent Export Trends
        6.2.1 CARICOM-EA13 Bilateral Activity
        6.2.2 Leading EA13 Markets for the Region's Commodities
    6.3 Estimation Framework
        6.3.1 Gravity Equation
        6.3.2 Data Sources
        6.3.3 Potential Measurement
    6.4 Results and Discussion
        6.4.1 Results on Bilateral Effects
        6.4.2 Robustness Checks
        6.4.3 Results on Two-stage Unilateral Effects
        6.4.4 Estimated EA13 Market Potential for CARICOM Exporters
        6.4.5 Export Potentials after a CARICOM-EA13 FTA
    6.5 Summary
7 CARICOM's Export Potential within EA13-Industry Analysis
    7.1 Background
    7.2 Tariffs on CARICOM exports
    7.3 Estimation Framework
        7.3.1 Gravity Equation
        7.3.2 Data Sources
    7.4 Results and Discussion
        7.4.1 Result of Bilateral Effects and Industries Potential
        7.4.2 EA13 Market Potential for CARICOM Exporters by Industry
        7.4.3 Unilateral Effects from Trade Agreements
    7.5 Summary
8 Conclusion and Recommendation
    8.1 Conclusion
    8.2 Recommendations
APPENDICES
REFERENCES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT



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