【摘要】：近年來,推動世界經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的新引擎——新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體廣受社會各界關(guān)注。對于堅(jiān)持?jǐn)U大對外開放戰(zhàn)略的中國來說,拓展新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體市場將成為中國促進(jìn)外貿(mào)發(fā)展的重要路徑,因此,加強(qiáng)對國際金融危機(jī)后新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體的進(jìn)口需求結(jié)構(gòu)的變化研究具有重要意義。本文從結(jié)構(gòu)的角度探尋新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體的商品進(jìn)口需求結(jié)構(gòu)變化,并進(jìn)一步分析其與中國出口的關(guān)系。本文首先以資源、勞動、資本、和技術(shù)密集型四類產(chǎn)品為基礎(chǔ),描述性分析了2001~2013年新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體商品進(jìn)口需求結(jié)構(gòu)以及中國出口結(jié)構(gòu)情況,并運(yùn)用Moore結(jié)構(gòu)指數(shù)來衡量進(jìn)出口結(jié)構(gòu)變動程度。分析發(fā)現(xiàn),新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體進(jìn)口需求結(jié)構(gòu)和中國出口結(jié)構(gòu)中的資本密集型產(chǎn)品占比均為最高,勞動密集型產(chǎn)品占比總體上呈下降趨勢;新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體進(jìn)口需求中資源密集型產(chǎn)品占比大幅提升,對技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品需求占比下降,而中國對新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體出口中資源密集型產(chǎn)品占比下降,但近年來資本和勞動密集型產(chǎn)品出口占比有所提升,技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品占比下降。本文最后運(yùn)用CMS模型對中國對新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體的商品出口的影響效應(yīng)進(jìn)行分解,發(fā)現(xiàn)在總體出口增長中競爭力效應(yīng)的貢獻(xiàn)占主導(dǎo)作用,中國出口新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體增長中的商品結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)潛力有待發(fā)掘。本文建議中國應(yīng)當(dāng)充分挖掘商品結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與升級對促進(jìn)中國出口新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體的潛力,并從認(rèn)識新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體市場進(jìn)口需求特點(diǎn),保持和提高產(chǎn)品出口競爭力,發(fā)揚(yáng)傳統(tǒng)比較優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)業(yè),開拓更多的出口空間等方面入手,進(jìn)一步挖掘產(chǎn)品出口結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整帶來的對中國出口增長的貢獻(xiàn)作用。
[Abstract]:In recent years, emerging economies, the new engine of world economic growth, have attracted widespread attention. For China, which adheres to the strategy of opening wider to the outside world, expanding the markets of emerging economies will become an important path for China to promote the development of foreign trade. It is of great significance to study the changes of import demand structure in emerging economies after the international financial crisis. This paper explores the structural changes of commodity import demand in emerging economies and further analyzes its relationship with China's exports. Based on four types of products, resources, labor, capital, and technology intensive, this paper first analyzes the structure of commodity import demand in emerging economies from 2001 to 2013 and the export structure of China. And use Moore structure index to measure the change degree of import and export structure. It is found that the proportion of capital-intensive products in the import demand structure of emerging economies and the export structure of China is the highest, while the proportion of labor-intensive products is on the whole declining. The share of resource-intensive products in the import demand of emerging economies has increased significantly, and the proportion of demand for technology-intensive products has declined, while the share of resource-intensive products in China's exports to emerging economies has declined. But in recent years, the share of capital and labor-intensive products exports has increased, technology-intensive products accounted for a decline. In the end, we use CMS model to decompose the effect of China on the commodity export of emerging economies, and find that the contribution of competitiveness effect plays a leading role in the overall export growth. The potential of commodity structure effect in the growth of China's export emerging economies remains to be explored. This paper suggests that China should fully tap the potential of commodity restructuring and upgrading to promote China's exports to emerging economies, and to maintain and improve the competitiveness of product exports by recognizing the characteristics of import demand in emerging economies. Carry forward the traditional comparative advantage industry, open up more export space and so on, further excavate the contribution of product export structure adjustment to China's export growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.6

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