發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-07-03 13:33

  本文選題：新型城鎮(zhèn)化 + 現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)��； 參考：《吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：在城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展這一主題上,國內(nèi)外學(xué)者幾乎達(dá)成了共識(shí),即城鎮(zhèn)化是經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的必然趨勢。換個(gè)角度來說,研究城鎮(zhèn)化這個(gè)主題,永不過時(shí)。中華上下五千年,曾有著輝煌的歷史,但是在19世紀(jì),中國跌進(jìn)了一個(gè)低谷,直到新中國成立。在此一百多年間,以美英為首的歐美國家,通過工業(yè)革命,迅速發(fā)展,城市化早已開始起步,而新中國成立之初,國家的首要任務(wù)是解決人民的溫飽,相比之下,城市化進(jìn)程落后歐美兩個(gè)世紀(jì)之多。改革開放之后,中國發(fā)生了翻天覆地的變化,隨著工業(yè)化腳步的加快,城鎮(zhèn)化也開始進(jìn)入迅速發(fā)展,此時(shí),第二產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)揮著決定性作用。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)之后,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)開始迅速發(fā)展,隨著互聯(lián)網(wǎng)的普及,以高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)為首的現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展更如脫韁的野馬,一發(fā)不可收拾。傳統(tǒng)的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)面臨重新洗牌,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的驅(qū)動(dòng)力開始從第二產(chǎn)業(yè)向第三產(chǎn)業(yè)過渡�！笆濉睍r(shí)期國家提出推進(jìn)“三化”協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,“十八大”又提出實(shí)現(xiàn)“四化”同步,隨著現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的飛速崛起,有學(xué)者提出了“五化”的概念,即在“四化”的基礎(chǔ)上增加了“服務(wù)化”,這也說明了現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展已經(jīng)成為城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的主力軍。大力推進(jìn)現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展,是加快城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展進(jìn)程的重要戰(zhàn)略舉措。吉林省是傳統(tǒng)的農(nóng)業(yè)大省,同時(shí)也是重工業(yè)基地,在建國之初為國家的起步發(fā)展做出了不可磨滅的貢獻(xiàn)。改革開放后,國家發(fā)展重心向東部沿海轉(zhuǎn)移,受政策性因素影響,吉林省發(fā)展開始走下坡路,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)性矛盾開始慢慢體現(xiàn)。新世紀(jì)后,隨著吉林省新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的發(fā)展,各種弊端積重難返,三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平低下、人才流失嚴(yán)重等問題制約著吉林省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。隨著社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的產(chǎn)值與勞動(dòng)力吸納能力在逐年穩(wěn)健增長,與此同時(shí),新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程也在不斷推進(jìn)。在吉林省新型城鎮(zhèn)化的進(jìn)程當(dāng)中,現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展起著怎樣的作用,成為了當(dāng)前研究的一個(gè)熱點(diǎn),具有良好的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文選取2000年-2014年的數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用因子分析與層次分析相結(jié)合的方法,對(duì)吉林省新型城鎮(zhèn)化和現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)兩個(gè)系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),并通過建立VECM模型去揭示吉林省現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)與新型城鎮(zhèn)化兩個(gè)系統(tǒng)之間的關(guān)系,并依據(jù)結(jié)論,提出相應(yīng)的政策建議,旨在促進(jìn)吉林省現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展,加快吉林省新型城鎮(zhèn)化的腳步。主要結(jié)論有:吉林省現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)水平呈逐年增長態(tài)勢、吉林省新型城鎮(zhèn)化水平呈先降后升態(tài)勢、吉林省現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)與新型城鎮(zhèn)化存在長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系、吉林省現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)是新型城鎮(zhèn)化的單向格蘭杰原因。得到的主要對(duì)策建議有:通過空間聚集的方式促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展、全面統(tǒng)籌區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、優(yōu)化服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提升服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展質(zhì)量。
[Abstract]:On the subject of urbanization development, scholars at home and abroad almost reached a consensus that urbanization is the inevitable trend of economic and social development. In other words, studying the subject of urbanization will never be out of date. China had a glorious history of five thousand years, but in the 19 th century, China fell into a trough until the founding of New China. In the past 100 years or so, the European and American countries, led by the United States and Britain, have developed rapidly through the industrial revolution, and urbanization has already begun to start. At the beginning of the founding of New China, the country's primary task was to solve the problem of food and clothing for its people. The process of urbanization is as much as two centuries behind Europe and the United States. After the reform and opening up, China has undergone earth-shaking changes, with the pace of industrialization accelerated, urbanization began to enter into a rapid development, at this time, the secondary industry plays a decisive role. After entering the 21st century, the tertiary industry began to develop rapidly. With the popularization of the Internet, the development of modern service industry, led by high-tech industries, is more like a runaway Mustang. The traditional tertiary industrial structure is facing a reshuffle, and the driving force of economic development begins to transition from the secondary industry to the tertiary industry. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the state proposed to promote the coordinated development of the "three modernizations", and the 18th National Congress proposed to realize the "four modernizations" synchronously. With the rapid rise of the modern service industry, some scholars put forward the concept of "five modernizations". That is, on the basis of "four modernizations" added "service", which also shows that the development of modern service industry has become the main force of urbanization construction. Vigorously promoting the development of modern services is an important strategic measure to speed up the development of urbanization. Jilin Province is a traditional agricultural province and also a heavy industrial base. It made an indelible contribution to the initial development of the country at the beginning of the founding of the people's Republic of China. After the reform and opening up, the center of national development shifted to the eastern coast, affected by policy factors, Jilin Province began to decline in development, industrial structural contradictions began to slowly reflect. After the new century, with the development of the new urbanization process in Jilin Province, the long-term accumulation of various drawbacks is not easy to solve, the third industrial structure is unreasonable, the development level of traditional service industry is low, the brain drain is serious and so on, which restricts the economic development of Jilin Province. With the development of social economy, the output value of modern service industry and the ability of absorbing labor are increasing steadily year by year. At the same time, the process of new urbanization is advancing constantly. In the process of new urbanization in Jilin Province, the development of modern service industry has become a hot spot of current research and has a good practical significance. Based on the data from 2000 to 2014, this paper evaluates the two systems of new urbanization and modern service industry in Jilin Province by using the method of factor analysis and hierarchical analysis. Through the establishment of VECM model to reveal the relationship between the modern service industry and the new urbanization system in Jilin Province, and based on the conclusions, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward to promote the development of modern service industry in Jilin Province. Speed up the pace of new urbanization in Jilin Province. The main conclusions are as follows: the level of modern service industry in Jilin Province is increasing year by year, the level of new urbanization in Jilin Province is decreasing first and then rising, and there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between modern service industry and new urbanization in Jilin Province. Modern service industry in Jilin Province is the one-way Granger cause of new urbanization. The main countermeasures and suggestions are as follows: promoting the development of urbanization through spatial agglomeration, coordinating the development of inter-regional economy, optimizing the industrial structure of service industry and improving the quality of service industry development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F719;F299.27

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