本文選題：外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu) + 投入產(chǎn)出分析��； 參考：《貴州財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自我國加入世界貿(mào)易組織以來,中國的進出口貨物貿(mào)易規(guī)模呈現(xiàn)出基數(shù)級的增長態(tài)勢,同時中國在貿(mào)易質(zhì)量和效益方面也取得了一定的成績,對外貿(mào)易的長足發(fā)展已經(jīng)成為中國社會主義經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的主要推動力。截止到2015年12月,中國對外貿(mào)易進出口貨物總額已經(jīng)達到4萬億美元。但我們也應(yīng)該注意到,毋庸置疑的事實是中國對外貿(mào)易的快速發(fā)展基于“貿(mào)易規(guī)�！�,貿(mào)易質(zhì)量與效益存在諸多問題,比如出口商品多集中于勞動密集型商品、對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)不盡優(yōu)化、對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)不盡合理等問題�，F(xiàn)如今,中國要想在新一期的國際分工中占據(jù)有利地位,必須盡快的調(diào)整對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展思路,首當(dāng)其沖要優(yōu)化布局產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),大力發(fā)展高精尖產(chǎn)業(yè)使其具有競爭優(yōu)勢,進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)要與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)同步匹配使其盡可能的得到調(diào)整優(yōu)化,貴州也不例外。2010~2015年間,貴州雖說在對外貿(mào)易總額上呈現(xiàn)逐年上升的趨勢,但對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展質(zhì)量尤其是外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)亟待優(yōu)化。本文從貴州外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化視角出發(fā),重點分析貴州在2010年到2015年間的貨物貿(mào)易進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和變動軌跡;通過構(gòu)建投入產(chǎn)出模型,利用2012年貴州投入產(chǎn)出表(42部門的價值型投入產(chǎn)出表),借鑒劉啟運(2012)關(guān)于改進傳統(tǒng)影響力系數(shù)和感應(yīng)度系數(shù)的方法思想,測算貴州42個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門修正后的影響力系數(shù)和感應(yīng)度系數(shù),根據(jù)外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)合理度指數(shù)從而計算貴州42個出口產(chǎn)業(yè)部門和進口產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的影響力和推動力;再根據(jù)實證檢驗結(jié)果分析貴州外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)合理度的現(xiàn)實狀況;最后要根據(jù)上文的貴州外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀分析和實證分析提出相關(guān)的對策建議,以期更好的引導(dǎo)貴州盡可能的優(yōu)化自身外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu),認(rèn)為貴州政府要給予支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)以政策傾斜,具體來說,對于制約貴州整個國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的瓶頸產(chǎn)業(yè)的進口部門應(yīng)該盡可能的加強扶持力度,最大限度的支持支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的出口,同時要積極引進國外前沿科技技術(shù),加快模仿創(chuàng)新和自主創(chuàng)新進程,更好的轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式等措施調(diào)整和優(yōu)化升級貴州對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)。通過本文的研究發(fā)現(xiàn),貴州的進口商品結(jié)構(gòu)要明顯好于出口商品結(jié)構(gòu),貴州外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和優(yōu)化存在較大的空間,貴州應(yīng)借助于發(fā)展內(nèi)陸型經(jīng)濟開放區(qū)的契機,盡快的調(diào)整和優(yōu)化升級外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu),以促進貴州整個國民經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO), the scale of China's import and export trade in goods has shown a growth trend at the base level, and China has also made certain achievements in terms of trade quality and efficiency. The rapid development of foreign trade has become the main driving force of China's socialist economic development. By December 2015, China's foreign trade imports and exports had reached US $4 trillion. However, we should also note that there is no doubt that the rapid development of China's foreign trade is based on the "scale of trade", and there are many problems in the quality and efficiency of trade, such as the concentration of export commodities on labor-intensive commodities. Foreign trade structure is not optimized, foreign trade commodity structure is unreasonable and so on. Nowadays, if China wants to occupy a favorable position in the new issue of international division of labor, it must adjust its thinking of foreign trade development as soon as possible, bear the brunt of optimizing the industrial structure of the layout, and vigorously develop sophisticated industries so that it has a competitive advantage. The structure of import and export commodities should be synchronized with the industrial structure so that it can be adjusted and optimized as far as possible. Guizhou is no exception. During the period of 20102015, although the total volume of foreign trade in Guizhou has been increasing year by year, However, the quality of foreign trade development, especially the structure of foreign trade commodities needs to be optimized. From the perspective of optimizing the commodity structure of Guizhou's foreign trade, this paper focuses on the analysis of the current situation and the changing track of the commodity structure of Guizhou's import and export in goods trade from 2010 to 2015, and constructs the input-output model. Using the value input-output table of Guizhou input-output table No. 42 in 2012 to learn from Liu Qiyun's ideas on improving traditional influence coefficient and sensitivity coefficient, According to the rationality index of foreign trade commodity structure, the influence and driving force of 42 export and import industrial departments in Guizhou are calculated according to the revised influence coefficient and sensitivity coefficient of 42 industrial departments in Guizhou. Then according to the empirical test results to analyze the real situation of Guizhou foreign trade commodity structure rationality; finally, according to the above Guizhou foreign trade commodity structure analysis and empirical analysis to put forward the relevant countermeasures and suggestions. In order to better guide Guizhou to optimize its foreign trade commodity structure as much as possible, it is believed that the Guizhou government should give policy preference to the pillar industries, specifically, The import departments of the bottleneck industries that restrict the development of the entire national economy in Guizhou should, as far as possible, strengthen their support, maximize the support for the export of the pillar industries, and at the same time actively introduce foreign cutting-edge science and technology. Speed up the process of imitation innovation and independent innovation, better change the mode of economic development and other measures to adjust and upgrade Guizhou's foreign trade commodity structure. Through the study of this paper, it is found that the structure of Guizhou's import commodities is obviously better than the structure of export commodities, and there is much room for readjustment and optimization of Guizhou's foreign trade commodity structure. Guizhou should resort to the opportunity of developing inland open economic areas. Adjust and optimize the structure of foreign trade commodities as soon as possible to promote the development of the whole national economy of Guizhou.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.8

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 劉艷;王詔怡;黃蘋;;中國出口商品的技術(shù)結(jié)構(gòu)與貿(mào)易競爭力研究——對1995-2012年10類商品MS、RCA、TC和IIT的綜合評價[J];西部論壇;2015年01期

2 路麗;;北京市進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的變動及合理度分析[J];對外經(jīng)貿(mào);2013年12期

3 楊麗華;;中國外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)合理性實證研究[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟與管理;2013年11期

4 胡劍波;周葵;安丹;;基于投入產(chǎn)出模型的中國對外貿(mào)易產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)合理性研究[J];貴州財經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報;2013年05期

5 張麗瓊;何婷婷;;安徽省出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的實證分析[J];西南農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(社會科學(xué)版);2012年10期

6 王賀光;盛月;;調(diào)整進口結(jié)構(gòu) 促進產(chǎn)業(yè)升級[J];宏觀經(jīng)濟管理;2012年09期

7 曹旭平;張國平;;基于投入產(chǎn)出理論的江蘇省進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)合理度評價[J];華東經(jīng)濟管理;2012年05期

8 涂遠芬;;我國進口商品結(jié)構(gòu)變動及其優(yōu)化[J];江西社會科學(xué);2011年09期

9 馬濤;劉仕國;;產(chǎn)品內(nèi)分工下中國進口結(jié)構(gòu)與增長的二元邊際——基于引力模型的動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)分析[J];南開經(jīng)濟研究;2010年04期

10 凌艷平;萬欣;;我國標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化與進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的實證研究[J];求索;2009年12期

，

本文編號：2048476