發(fā)布時間：2018-04-27 18:31

  本文選題：一帶一路 + 比較優(yōu)勢��； 參考：《延邊大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：2013年9月和10月,隨著習(xí)近平主席對中亞和東南亞的訪問,"一帶一路"戰(zhàn)略應(yīng)運而生,"五通"作為其重點合作領(lǐng)域,是今后各國努力的發(fā)展方向,而其中起步最早、不涉及政治和安全等敏感問題的"貿(mào)易暢通"或?qū)⒊蔀樽钜讓崿F(xiàn)的領(lǐng)域,但對于涵蓋人口過半、涉及國別最多的區(qū)域合作平臺來說,要實現(xiàn)中國與其間的"貿(mào)易暢通"目標(biāo)并非易事,必須先對其間的競爭性與互補性進(jìn)行研究,以為中國與"一帶一路"國家的貿(mào)易發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)�；诖�,本文采用了定量與定性分析法、比較分析法和歸納法,著重分析了中國與"一帶一路"主要國家貿(mào)易的競合關(guān)系。開篇之處,筆者一是對選題背景、目的及意義,國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀,研究方法、內(nèi)容及結(jié)構(gòu),本文的創(chuàng)新和不足之處進(jìn)行了闡述;二是對比較優(yōu)勢理論、要素稟賦理論、國家競爭優(yōu)勢理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論等進(jìn)行了簡述。篇中部分為本文的實證分析部分,也是本文的重中之重,在對中國與"一帶一路"主要國家的貿(mào)易規(guī)模、雙邊貿(mào)易地位、商品結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行研究的基礎(chǔ)上,分別從RTA指數(shù)、TC指數(shù)、ESI指數(shù)和貿(mào)易互補性指數(shù)、產(chǎn)業(yè)間和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易互補指數(shù)等視域?qū)χ袊c這15個國家間貿(mào)易的競爭性與互補性進(jìn)行了測算和解析,分析結(jié)果顯示:從雙邊貿(mào)易來看,馬來西亞、俄羅斯、新加坡、印度、泰國在中國外貿(mào)中的地位最高,且貿(mào)易額大體上以增長為主,而與歐洲五國的貿(mào)易額相對較小,各國的商品結(jié)構(gòu)則以其優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)品為主;受自然要素稟賦和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的影響,中國的比較優(yōu)勢和占據(jù)競爭力優(yōu)勢的行業(yè)主要集中在制成品SITC6+7+8上,而15國則集中在初級產(chǎn)品SITC2+3+4上,總體上中國的優(yōu)勢和競爭力要高于各國;在出口相似度上,中國與東南亞三國(馬來西亞、新加坡、泰國)、中歐波蘭和捷克、南歐的羅馬尼亞和斯洛文尼亞的產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)十分相似,競爭性較高,而與其余國家則不存在嚴(yán)重的利益沖突;在貿(mào)易互補關(guān)系上,除印度、新加坡、烏克蘭和埃及外,中國與其余11國的互補性均較強,且各國與中國在初級產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易上以產(chǎn)業(yè)間貿(mào)易為主,而在工業(yè)制成品上以產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易為主,總體上來說,產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易占據(jù)中國與各國貿(mào)易的主導(dǎo)模式地位�；谏鲜鼋Y(jié)果,在篇末之處本文得出了五點推動中國與"一帶一路"國家間貿(mào)易的政策性啟示,即:有選擇、有重點、分階段地推進(jìn)與各區(qū)各國的貿(mào)易發(fā)展;趨利避害,提升國內(nèi)外貿(mào)易互補性;借助于構(gòu)建高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的自貿(mào)區(qū)來提高貿(mào)易的便利化和自由化;構(gòu)建以人民幣為主導(dǎo)幣種的"絲綢之路"貨幣區(qū),推動貿(mào)易和投資便利化、自由化;通過加強對設(shè)施聯(lián)通、資金融通、政策溝通和民心相通的建設(shè)來間接地實現(xiàn)"貿(mào)易暢通"目標(biāo)。
[Abstract]:In September and October 2013, with President Belt and Road's visit to Central and Southeast Asia, the "Belt and Road" strategy emerged as the times require. As its key area of cooperation, the "five links" are the development direction of the future efforts of various countries, among which the earliest is the beginning. "Open trade", which does not address sensitive issues such as politics and security, may be the most achievable area, but for regional cooperation platforms that cover more than half of the population and involve the largest number of countries, It is not easy to realize the goal of "smooth trade" between China and China. It is necessary to study the competition and complementarity between China and "Belt and Road" so as to provide a theoretical basis for the development of trade between China and "Belt and Road" countries. Based on this, this paper uses quantitative and qualitative analysis, comparative analysis and induction to analyze the competing relationship between China and Belt and Road. At the beginning, the author expounds the background, purpose and significance of the topic, the present research situation, research methods, content and structure of this paper, the innovation and deficiency of this paper, the theory of comparative advantage, the theory of factor endowment, the theory of comparative advantage, the theory of factor endowment, the theory of comparative advantage and the theory of factor endowment. The theory of national competitive advantage and the theory of intra-industry trade are briefly described. The part of this paper is the empirical analysis part, which is also the most important part of this paper. On the basis of the research on the trade scale, bilateral trade status and commodity structure between China and the main countries of Belt and Road, The competitiveness and complementarities of trade between China and these 15 countries are measured and analyzed from the perspectives of RTA index, trade complementarity index, inter-industry and intra-industry trade complementarity index, etc. The results show that Malaysia, Russia, Singapore, India and Thailand have the highest position in China's foreign trade from the perspective of bilateral trade, and the trade volume is mainly increased, while the trade volume with the five European countries is relatively small. Affected by natural factor endowment and economic development level, China's comparative advantage and the industry with competitive advantage are mainly concentrated on manufactured SITC6 78. On the other hand, the 15 countries are concentrated on the primary product SITC2 34, and China's advantages and competitiveness are generally higher than those of other countries. In terms of export similarity, China and the three Southeast Asian countries (Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Central Europe, Poland and the Czech Republic), Romania and Slovenia in southern Europe have very similar product structures and are highly competitive, while there is no serious conflict of interest with the rest of the world; in terms of trade complementarities, except India, Singapore, Ukraine and Egypt, The complementarity between China and the other 11 countries is relatively strong, and the primary commodity trade between China and China is dominated by inter-industry trade, while the intra-industry trade on manufactured goods is the main trade. In general, Intra-industry trade occupies the dominant mode of trade between China and other countries. Based on the above results, at the end of the paper, the paper draws five policy implications for promoting trade between China and "Belt and Road" countries, that is, selective, focused and phased trade development with all countries in various regions; To promote the complementarity of domestic and foreign trade, to improve trade facilitation and liberalization by establishing a high standard free trade zone, to construct a "Silk Road" currency area with RMB as the dominant currency, to promote trade and investment facilitation, and to liberalize trade; The goal of "unimpeded trade" can be indirectly realized by strengthening the construction of facilities connectivity, financing, policy communication and the mutual understanding of the people.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：延邊大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.7
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本文編號：1811829