本文選題：中國與東盟 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭性　； 參考：《上海海洋大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：中國與東盟都是全球范圍內(nèi)重要的新興經(jīng)濟體,且互為彼此重要的貿(mào)易伙伴,雙方經(jīng)貿(mào)聯(lián)系自2000年以來都十分緊密。2002年11月,中國與東盟簽署《中國-東盟全面經(jīng)濟合作框架協(xié)議》,正式啟動了中國與東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(CAFTA)的談判和建設,雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)進入了“快車道”。2003年10月,中國與東盟國家簽署《中國—東盟面向和平與繁榮的戰(zhàn)略伙伴關(guān)系聯(lián)合宣言》,更是成為了雙方經(jīng)貿(mào)合作“黃金十年”的起點。2010年1月,CAFTA正式建成,成為了中國與其他國家所建立的第一個自由貿(mào)易區(qū)。在此期間,中國成為東盟第一大貿(mào)易伙伴和第四大外資來源地,而東盟也成為了中國第三大貿(mào)易伙伴和第三大外資來源地。近幾年,中國與東盟更是不斷夯實和深化雙邊合作。2013年10月,習近平主席在訪問印尼時,首次提出“愿與東盟國家共同建設21世紀海上絲綢之路”的倡議,得到了東盟國家的積極響應;2015年11月,中國與東盟正式簽訂CAFTA升級版議定書。因此,中國與東盟之間的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作對于中國對外貿(mào)易的增長,甚至是國民經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展都有著不可忽視的重要影響。目前,世界經(jīng)濟形勢依然嚴峻,依然面臨許多不穩(wěn)定因素,復蘇艱難,歐美等主要進口國的市場需求依然低迷,以出口導向型為主的中國與東盟在經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中面臨諸多結(jié)構(gòu)性問題,從而致力于調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展。在此背景下,產(chǎn)業(yè)合作在中國與東盟經(jīng)濟合作中必將發(fā)揮重要的作用。鑒于此,從對外貿(mào)易角度出發(fā),研究中國與東盟的產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭性和互補性具有十分重要的實際意義,有利于中國通過區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作而調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),也為中國與東盟進一步深化產(chǎn)業(yè)合作提供了參考價值。本文首先在緒論中闡述了論文的研究背景和意義、研究內(nèi)容與技術(shù)路線、研究方法和可行性分析以及主要創(chuàng)新點和不足。第二章文獻綜述,對國內(nèi)外關(guān)于中國與東盟貿(mào)易問題的研究成果進行了梳理和評論,主要包括中國與東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)貿(mào)易問題的研究、中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易問題的研究、中國與東盟農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易競爭性和互補性的研究、綜述小結(jié)。第三章為中國與東盟貿(mào)易發(fā)展概況,主要包括中國對外貿(mào)易概況、東盟對外貿(mào)易概況、中國與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易概況。第四章為中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭性分析,本文采用初步競爭性分析、出口相似度指數(shù)分析、貿(mào)易競爭指數(shù)分析對中國與東盟整體、新加坡、馬泰印(尼)菲、越老緬柬的農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、機電儀器類、化學礦物類、紡織衣帽類、玩具家具類及木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)的競爭性進行研究。第五章為中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)互補性分析,本文通過初步互補性分析、雙邊貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù)分析和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù)分析對中國與東盟七類產(chǎn)業(yè)的互補性進行研究。第六章為總結(jié)和政策性建議。主要研究結(jié)論如下:(1)中國與東盟機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類及玩具家具類產(chǎn)業(yè)上存在較強的競爭性,主要是資本密集型、技術(shù)密集型和勞動密集型產(chǎn)業(yè),而在資源密集型的農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、化礦金屬類和木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)上的競爭性較弱;中國與東盟在機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類和木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)上具有較強的互補性,而在農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、化礦金屬類及玩具家具類產(chǎn)業(yè)上具有較弱的互補性;(2)中國與東盟中經(jīng)濟發(fā)展相對發(fā)達的新加坡的機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類產(chǎn)業(yè)存在較強的競爭性,機電儀器類、化礦金屬類、橡塑皮革類產(chǎn)業(yè)存在較強的互補性;(3)中國與東盟中經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中等水平的泰印(尼)菲這類國家的機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類、玩具家具類和木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)存在較強的競爭性,農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類和木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)上存在較強的互補性;(4)中國與東盟中經(jīng)濟發(fā)展相對落后的越老緬柬在農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類、玩具家具類產(chǎn)業(yè)具有較強的競爭性,在農(nóng)食產(chǎn)品類、機電儀器類、紡織衣帽類、橡塑皮革類和木材紙張非金屬類產(chǎn)業(yè)上具有較強的互補性。(5)中國與東盟的產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭性和互補性狀況同中國與東盟經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中等水平的馬泰印(尼)菲這類國家的產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭性和互補性狀況非常相似,說明東盟整體的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與馬泰印(尼)菲這類國家組合更為相似;(6)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易成為中國與東盟主要貿(mào)易形式。最后,本文從三個方面給出政策性建議:第一,促進基礎設施互聯(lián)互通,加強貿(mào)易便利化合作,推動區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化;第二,明確產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭互補關(guān)系,深化產(chǎn)業(yè)合作,建立區(qū)域生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡;第三,加大研發(fā)投入,加強自主創(chuàng)新,提高產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力。
[Abstract]:Both China and ASEAN are important emerging economies around the world, and they are mutually important trading partners. The economic and trade ties between China and ASEAN have been very close since 2000 in November. China and ASEAN signed the China ASEAN comprehensive economic cooperation framework agreement, which formally initiated the negotiations and construction of the Sino ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA). Bilateral trade and trade entered the "fast lane" in October.2003, China and ASEAN countries signed the joint declaration of strategic partnership between China and ASEAN for peace and prosperity. It became the starting point of "gold ten years" in January and CAFTA was formally completed in January. It became the first freedom established by China and other countries. During this period, China became the largest trade partner of ASEAN and the fourth largest source of foreign capital, and ASEAN has also become China's third largest trading partner and the third largest source of foreign investment. In recent years, China and ASEAN have continued to consolidate and deepen bilateral cooperation in October. President Xi Jinping first proposed a "wish" when he visited Indonesia. The initiative of ASEAN countries to jointly build the maritime Silk Road in twenty-first Century has been actively responded to by the ASEAN countries. In November 2015, China and ASEAN signed the CAFTA upgrade protocol. Therefore, the economic and trade cooperation between China and ASEAN has no negligible importance to the growth of China's foreign trade and the development of the national economy. At present, the world economic situation is still grim, still faces many unstable factors, the recovery is difficult, the market demand of the main importing countries, such as Europe and America is still low, and the export oriented China and ASEAN are facing many structural problems in the economic development, so they are committed to adjusting the industrial structure and promoting the economic transformation and development. In this context, industrial cooperation will play an important role in the economic cooperation between China and ASEAN. In view of this, from the perspective of foreign trade, it is of great practical significance to study the competitiveness and complementarity of China and ASEAN. It is beneficial for China to adjust its industrial structure through regional economic cooperation, and also for China and ASEAN. In this paper, the background and significance of the research, the research content and technical route, the research method and feasibility analysis, and the main innovation points and shortcomings are introduced in the introduction, and the second chapters are reviewed, and the research results about China and the East league are reviewed and reviewed at home and abroad. The study mainly includes the research on trade between China and ASEAN Free Trade Area, the research on intra industry trade between China and ASEAN, the research on the competitiveness and complementarity of China and ASEAN trade in agricultural products. The third chapter is the general situation of trade development between China and ASEAN, including the general situation of China's foreign trade and the general situation of ASEAN's foreign trade. An overview of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN. The fourth chapter is the competitive analysis of China and ASEAN. This article adopts the preliminary competitive analysis, the analysis of the export similarity index, the analysis of the trade competition index on the agricultural products of China and ASEAN, Singapore, Ma Tai seal (NEI) Philippines, and the older Burmese Cambodia. The competitiveness of toy furniture and wood and paper non metal industry is studied. The fifth chapter is the analysis of China and ASEAN industry complementarity. This paper studies the complementarity of China and the ASEAN seven industries through the preliminary complementarity analysis, the bilateral trade union index analysis and the intra industry trade index analysis. The sixth chapter is the summary and the policy. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) there are strong competitive characteristics between China and ASEAN mechanical and electrical instruments, textile clothing and caps, rubber and plastic leather and toy furniture industries, mainly capital intensive, technology intensive and labor-intensive industries, and resource intensive agricultural and food products, mineral metals and wood paper nonmetal. The competitiveness of class industries is weak; China and ASEAN have strong complementarity in the non-metallic industries of mechanical and electrical equipment, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper, but have weak complementarity in agricultural products, mineral metals and toys and furniture industries; (2) the new development of China and ASEAN is relatively developed. The mechanical and mechanical equipment, textile and caps, and the rubber and leather industries have strong competitiveness. There is a strong complementarity between the mechanical and electrical instruments, the mineral metals and the rubber and leather industries. (3) the mechanical and electrical instruments, textile, clothing and leather, rubber and leather, and toy houses in the countries of middle level of China and ASEAN economic development. There is a strong competition in non-metallic industries with class and wood paper. There are strong complementarities in agricultural food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper. (4) the older Burmese Cambodia, which are relatively backward in the development of China and ASEAN, are in the category of agricultural food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile clothing and caps, Rubber and leather, toys and furniture industries have strong competitiveness. They have strong complementarity in agricultural and food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper. (5) the competitive and complementary characteristics of China and ASEAN are at the middle level of the Chinese and ASEAN Economic Development. The industrial competitiveness and complementarity of such countries are very similar, indicating that the industrial structure of the ASEAN as a whole is more similar to that of the Ma Tai India (Ni) Philippines, and (6) intra industry trade has become the main form of trade between China and ASEAN. Finally, this article gives policy suggestions from three aspects: first, to promote the interconnection and interoperability of infrastructure, Strengthen trade facilitation cooperation and promote regional economic integration; second, clarify the complementary relationship between industrial competition, deepen industrial cooperation and establish regional production networks; third, increase investment in R & D, strengthen independent innovation, and improve the international competitiveness of industry.

【學位授予單位】：上海海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F742

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