本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城鎮(zhèn)化 第三產(chǎn)業(yè) 協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度 耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型　出處：《上海師范大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：一個國家或地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的重要標(biāo)志是城鎮(zhèn)化水平的高低。城鎮(zhèn)化的進(jìn)程就是第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)不斷聚集的過程,隨著發(fā)達(dá)國家工業(yè)現(xiàn)代化的實現(xiàn),第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對城鎮(zhèn)化的促進(jìn)作用減弱,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)對城鎮(zhèn)化的促進(jìn)作用不斷增強(qiáng)。安徽省的城鎮(zhèn)化水平目前正處于加速發(fā)展的階段,因此研究安徽省城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)是否協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,制約二者協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的因素,對政府部門制定協(xié)調(diào)二者發(fā)展的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策有直接參考意義。本文以安徽省的城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展關(guān)系為研究對象。首先根據(jù)1 9 9 0一2 0 1 3年的相關(guān)歷史數(shù)據(jù),直觀清晰地描述安徽省的城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程,以及它們在此時間范圍內(nèi)的現(xiàn)狀特征,并與鄰近省份的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行對比。然后運(yùn)用耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型計算2 0 0 0—2 0 1 3年安徽身城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合發(fā)展水平的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度。安徽省城鎮(zhèn)化水平1 9 9 0年到2 0 1 3年間處于加速時期,一直在逐年增加,但是始終低于全國平均城鎮(zhèn)化率,且人均生產(chǎn)總值與全國水平相比差距逐漸拉大,增長速度低于全國平均水平,發(fā)展水平低于鄰近省份且城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展不平衡,城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高主要表現(xiàn)在經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長、城鎮(zhèn)人口增加及第一產(chǎn)業(yè)和第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口的增加,而基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和居民生活水平方面還有待提高;第三產(chǎn)業(yè)方面,目前安徽省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)還處于“二、三、一”的階段,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值占地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的比重依舊遠(yuǎn)低于第二產(chǎn)業(yè),發(fā)展依然集中在傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)。與鄰近省份相比,發(fā)展較落后。運(yùn)用耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型計算2 0 0 0—2 0 1 3年安徽身城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合發(fā)展水平的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度,通過實證分析得到,在協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展方面,安徽省城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展從2 0 0 7年開始才勉強(qiáng)進(jìn)入?yún)f(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展類,2 0 0 7年以前一直屬于失調(diào)、瀕臨失調(diào)狀態(tài),城鎮(zhèn)化水平發(fā)展滯后。隨著耦合協(xié)調(diào)度的提高,城鎮(zhèn)化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展進(jìn)入中級協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展階段,但城鎮(zhèn)化綜合發(fā)展水平依然低于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)。因此得到結(jié)論:安徽省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展滯后于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,二者在發(fā)展過程中沒有很好的起到相互推動的作用。政府應(yīng)采取相應(yīng)措施來提高城鎮(zhèn)化水平,如深化戶籍改革,實施靈活的人口遷移政策,實現(xiàn)人口有序向城鎮(zhèn)聚集;加強(qiáng)安徽省地區(qū)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)建設(shè),拉動城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展;建設(shè)有規(guī)模高質(zhì)量的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,例如道路交通、郵電通訊等關(guān)乎國計民生的大事,促進(jìn)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:An important sign of a country's or a region's economic development level is the level of urbanization. The process of urbanization is a process of continuous agglomeration of secondary and tertiary industries. With the realization of industrial modernization in developed countries, The role of the secondary industry in promoting urbanization has weakened, while the role of the tertiary industry in promoting urbanization has been continuously strengthened. At present, the level of urbanization in Anhui Province is at a stage of accelerated development. Therefore, to study the coordinated development of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province, and the factors restricting their coordinated development, It is of direct reference significance for government departments to formulate economic policies to coordinate their development. This paper takes the coordinated development of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province as the research object. Firstly, according to the relevant historical data of 190-203, The development course of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province is described intuitively and clearly, as well as their current characteristics in this time range. By comparing with the current situation of neighboring provinces, the paper calculates the coordinated development of Anhui urbanization and tertiary industry from 2000 to 2003 by using the coupling coordination degree model. The urbanization level of Anhui Province is 1. Between 1990 and 2010, the period was accelerated. It has been increasing year by year, but it is always lower than the national average urbanization rate, and the gap between the per capita GDP and the national level is gradually widening, the growth rate is lower than the national average, the level of development is lower than that of the neighboring provinces and the development of urbanization is not balanced. The increase in the level of urbanization is mainly reflected in the growth of the economy, the increase in the urban population and the increase in the number of employed people in the primary and secondary industries, and the need to improve the infrastructure and living standards of the residents; in the third industry, At present, the industrial structure of Anhui Province is still in the stage of "two, three, one". The proportion of the output value of the tertiary industry in the region's gross domestic product is still far lower than that of the secondary industry, and the development is still concentrated in the traditional service industry. Compared with the neighboring provinces, The coupling coordination degree model is used to calculate the coordinated development degree of Anhui's urbanization and tertiary industry from 2000 to 2003. Through the empirical analysis, it is concluded that, in the aspect of coordinated development, Since 2007, the development of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province has only reluctantly entered the category of coordinated development before 2007. It has been on the verge of maladjustment, and the level of urbanization has lagged behind. With the increase of coupling and coordination degree, the development of urbanization level is lagging behind. The development of urbanization and tertiary industry has entered the stage of intermediate and coordinated development, but the level of comprehensive development of urbanization is still lower than that of tertiary industry. Therefore, it is concluded that the development of urbanization in Anhui Province lags behind the development of tertiary industry. The government should take corresponding measures to improve the level of urbanization, such as deepening the reform of household registration, implementing flexible policy of population migration, and realizing population gathering to cities and towns in an orderly manner. Strengthening the construction of the tertiary industry in Anhui Province, promoting the development of urbanization, building a high quality infrastructure, such as road traffic, post and telecommunications, and other important issues related to the national economy and people's livelihood, to promote the development of regional economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F299.27;F719

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