本文關(guān)鍵詞： 中韓FTA 農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易 服務(wù)貿(mào)易 GTAP　出處：《中國海洋大學》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：自由貿(mào)易區(qū)已經(jīng)成為當今世界經(jīng)濟一體化合作最主要的形式,一直以來中韓兩國社會各界對建立中韓FTA的呼聲就很高。2012年5月中韓FTA談判正式開始,并于2015年2月正式簽署了FTA文本協(xié)議,這標志著中韓FTA談判實質(zhì)性的結(jié)束。本文以中韓FTA談判為背景,選取中韓FTA談判中比較受關(guān)注的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易和服務(wù)貿(mào)易作為研究對象,對中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)降稅模式進行模擬,從農(nóng)產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)貿(mào)易兩個方面分析中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)的關(guān)稅取消前后的經(jīng)濟效應(yīng)變化,并就中國企業(yè)如何應(yīng)利用好中韓FTA提出對策建議中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)是中國目前涉及范圍最廣、綜合水平最高、實現(xiàn)雙方利益大體平衡的高水平自由貿(mào)易區(qū)。中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)談判共涉及貨物貿(mào)易、服務(wù)貿(mào)易、投資和規(guī)則共17個領(lǐng)域。在中韓貨物貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易一直都是比較敏感的話題,中國是農(nóng)業(yè)大國,韓國從中國進口的產(chǎn)品中農(nóng)產(chǎn)品比重一直保持在80%以上,由于韓國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品對外依賴度和對內(nèi)保護程度都很高,中國出口到韓國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品面臨著關(guān)稅和非關(guān)稅性貿(mào)易壁壘等諸多門檻限制,中國韓國最大的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進口國,但是韓國并不是中國最大的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口國,在兩國雙邊農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域中國處于長順差。服務(wù)業(yè)作為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在各國經(jīng)濟中發(fā)揮的作用越來越重要,也越來越受到各國的重視,在服務(wù)貿(mào)易方面,中韓的發(fā)展水平都不高,兩國部門結(jié)構(gòu)都主要以運輸、旅游、建筑、商業(yè)服務(wù)等傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)行業(yè)為主；韓國在新興金融、保險等服務(wù)貿(mào)易行業(yè)的發(fā)展水平比中國高,但中國服務(wù)業(yè)總體發(fā)展速度高于韓國,兩國的服務(wù)貿(mào)易產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)都呈現(xiàn)出新興行業(yè)所占比重不斷上升與傳統(tǒng)行業(yè)比重不斷下降的不斷優(yōu)化趨勢�；趦蓢r(nóng)產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和商品地域結(jié)構(gòu)分析,可知中韓兩國未來在農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的服務(wù)貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域具有很大的合作空間。通過中韓農(nóng)產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)貿(mào)易互補性分析得出,中國在世界農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域占有比較優(yōu)勢,同時中韓兩國在農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域涉及的75%以上的商品存在明顯互補性：在服務(wù)貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域,中韓兩國在各自的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)存在較強互補性。中韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立能為雙邊產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易和服務(wù)貿(mào)易存在和合作機遇提供良好的發(fā)展空間和環(huán)境。中韓FTA談判立足于兩國利益平衡,允許對各自敏感行業(yè)進行適度保護的原則,本著把中韓FTA建成全面、高水平自貿(mào)區(qū)的目標經(jīng)過歷時兩年的談判與2015年11月10結(jié)束實質(zhì)性談判。中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)協(xié)議規(guī)定取消除農(nóng)產(chǎn)品除大米、辣椒和打算三個種類外90%以上產(chǎn)品的全部關(guān)稅,本文運用全球貿(mào)易分析模型(GTAP)建立包含17個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門,六個國家和地區(qū)的(17×6 GTAP)模型對FTA下這一關(guān)稅政策效果進行預(yù)測。模型運行結(jié)果顯示中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)正式運作后除稻米、蔬菜和水產(chǎn)品這三個行業(yè)外其他商品關(guān)稅完全取消情況下,從中韓農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)上看,韓國從中國進口的產(chǎn)品中在糧食作物和肉類的進口額變化比率最大,韓國的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進口區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)表現(xiàn)為從世界其他國家和地區(qū)進口比例總體下降,從中國進口比率明顯增加；服務(wù)貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域中韓雙邊貿(mào)易受這一政策影響變化較小,在中韓雙邊服務(wù)出口貿(mào)易中,中國對韓國的出口增加比率明顯低于韓國對中國的出口增加比率。中韓FTA協(xié)議有望于2015年下半年正式生效,中國企業(yè)應(yīng)利用好中韓自貿(mào)區(qū)這個大市場和公平的競爭機制,充分發(fā)揮創(chuàng)造才能和企業(yè)家精神,在韓方市場贏得更多的份額。
[Abstract]:The free trade zone has become the main form of economic integration and cooperation between China and South Korea, has been the social from all walks of life to establish China Korea FTA voice is high in.2012 in May and South Korea FTA negotiations started in February 2015 and officially signed the FTA agreement text, marking the end of China ROK FTA negotiations. This paper in China and South Korea FTA the negotiations as the background, select the China ROK FTA negotiations more attention in the trade of agricultural products and trade in services as the research object, the China ROK FTA tariff reduction mode simulation, changes in the economic effect of tariff abolition and from the two aspects of trade in agricultural products and services of China ROK FTA, and China how enterprises should make good use of China Korea FTA put forward countermeasures and suggestions China China ROK FTA is currently involved in the widest range, the highest level of comprehensive free trade zone, to achieve a high level of balance in the interests of both sides. South Korea FTA negotiations involving trade in goods, trade in services, a total of 17 areas of investment and rules. China and South Korea in the field of trade in goods trade in agricultural products has always been a sensitive topic, Chinese is a large agricultural country, South Korea imports of agricultural products from the Chinese proportion has remained above 80%, the national agricultural product foreign dependence on and on in the degree of protection is very high, China exports to South Korea's agricultural products are facing tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade such as threshold limit, China South Korea's largest importer of agricultural products, but not Chinese South Korea's largest exporter of agricultural products, agricultural products in Changshun difference in bilateral trade between the two countries. More and Chinese field service industry as the third industry in the national economy plays a more important role, but also more and more attention all over the world, in terms of trade in services, the level of development of China and South Korea are not high, the two country department node Construction mainly in transportation, tourism, construction, business services and other traditional service industries; South Korea in the new financial services trade, the development level of insurance industry than Chinese high, but China service industry overall growth rate higher than that of South Korea, trade in services industry structure in both countries is to optimize the proportion of emerging industry trend with the rise of traditional industries dropunceasingly. Analysis of the agricultural products and service trade development status and regional commodity structure based on the China and South Korea in the future of agricultural products trade in services has great cooperation. Through the China Korea agricultural product and service trade complementarity analysis, China has comparative advantage in the field of export trade of agricultural products in the world at the same time, more involved in the field of agricultural trade between China and South Korea's 75% commodity has obvious complementary: in the field of service trade between China and South Korea. In memory of pillar industry in their strong complementarity. The establishment of China South Korea free trade area can provide a good development environment for existing products and bilateral trade and service trade and cooperation opportunities. China ROK FTA negotiations based on the balance of interests, allow appropriate protection principles of their respective sensitive industries, the spirit of the China Korea FTA completed a comprehensive. The high level of FTA negotiations with the target through November 2015 two years ending in 10 substantive negotiations. China ROK FTA agreement in addition to cancel the agricultural products in addition to rice, pepper and tariffs on all three species to more than 90% products, the global trade analysis model (GTAP) includes the establishment of 17 industrial sectors, six countries and regions the (17 x 6 GTAP) model to predict the effect of the tariff policy under FTA model. The result shows that the China ROK FTA after the formal operation in addition to rice, vegetables and The three industry of aquatic products and other goods tariffs completely cancel the case, from the agricultural trade between China and South Korea from the commodity structure, China imports imports change ratio in grain and meat, imports of agricultural products in South Korea imported regional structure shows the proportion of the overall world from other countries and regions decreased obviously, the ratio of imports increased from China; South Korea bilateral trade service trade by this policy changes little in the bilateral service trade, China exports to South Korea increased ratio was significantly lower than that of South Korea's exports to Chinese. The increasing ratio of FTA between China and South Korea agreement is expected in the second half of 2015 came into effect, China enterprises should make good use of China and South Korea Free Trade Area of the market and fair competition mechanism, give full play to creativity and entrepreneurship, win more share in the market of South Korea.

【學位授予單位】：中國海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.7;F753.126

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