西部十二省金融與礦業(yè)發(fā)展的因果關系研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-05-29 21:11
【摘要】：礦產(chǎn)資源是人類物質(zhì)生產(chǎn)的重要基礎，礦業(yè)為國民經(jīng)濟各個行業(yè)提供了最基礎的動力和原材料。礦業(yè)具有風險高、資金需求大、投資回收期長等特征，因此現(xiàn)代礦業(yè)的發(fā)展離不開金融的支持。這使得礦業(yè)發(fā)展與金融發(fā)展之間的關系成為一個重要的問題。 我國的礦產(chǎn)資源主要來自西部地區(qū)。西部地區(qū)成礦地質(zhì)條件優(yōu)越，天然氣、煤、銅、磷、鉛、稀土等27種礦產(chǎn)的探明儲量占全國的50%以上。為定量研究西部十二省金融發(fā)展與礦業(yè)發(fā)展之間的關系，本文以西部十二省為研究對象，1997年—2011年為研究期，對這些地區(qū)金融的發(fā)展與當?shù)孛禾块_采和洗選業(yè)、石油和天然氣開采業(yè)、黑色金屬礦采選業(yè)、有色金屬礦采選業(yè)與非金屬礦采選業(yè)發(fā)展的關系進行了實證研究。 本文思路如下：（1）收集西部十二省金融業(yè)增加值及礦業(yè)各產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)值數(shù)據(jù)，分析各地區(qū)金融發(fā)展與礦業(yè)發(fā)展在趨勢上的差異。（2）構造金融發(fā)展變量和礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展變量并進行單位根檢驗和協(xié)整檢驗，確定金融發(fā)展與礦業(yè)發(fā)展之間是否存在長期均衡關系。（3）構建誤差修正模型來檢驗西部十二省金融發(fā)展與礦業(yè)各產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展之間的長期因果關系。（4）通過格蘭杰因果檢驗確定西部十二省金融與五個礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的短期因果關系。（5）總結(jié)各地區(qū)、各礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與當?shù)亟鹑诎l(fā)展之間的長期因果關系和短期因果關系的規(guī)律，并分析產(chǎn)生這些規(guī)律的原因，最后提出政策建議。 本文有三個創(chuàng)新點：（1）發(fā)現(xiàn)了西部地區(qū)金融與礦業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢的三種類型。（2）分地區(qū)、分產(chǎn)業(yè)進行了實證研究，通過大量詳實的數(shù)據(jù)，，從空間、時間、產(chǎn)業(yè)三個維度上挖掘了金融與礦業(yè)之間的關系。（3）總結(jié)了西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展與礦業(yè)發(fā)展長期因果關系和短期因果關系的規(guī)律。 實證結(jié)果顯示：西部十二個地區(qū)金融與礦業(yè)發(fā)展存在三種不同的情況：貴州、西藏和陜西的金融與礦業(yè)協(xié)同發(fā)展，內(nèi)蒙古、云南、甘肅、青海、寧夏、新疆的金融先發(fā)展礦業(yè)滯后發(fā)展，廣西、重慶、四川的礦業(yè)先發(fā)展金融滯后發(fā)展。長期來看，西部各地區(qū)金融發(fā)展對絕大多數(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展有顯著促進作用。礦業(yè)發(fā)展對金融發(fā)展的推動作用不如金融發(fā)展對礦業(yè)發(fā)展的推動作用普遍。西部礦業(yè)發(fā)展與金融發(fā)展之間的一些長期因果關系在短期內(nèi)不會顯現(xiàn)。 西部大開發(fā)戰(zhàn)略實施以來，當?shù)氐慕煌�、水利、能源、通信取得了較大的進步，為西部經(jīng)濟的進一步發(fā)展奠定了基礎。西部豐富的資源稟賦決定了礦業(yè)依然是未來的發(fā)展動力。根據(jù)本文的研究結(jié)果，未來一段時期內(nèi)西部各省市應因地制宜，結(jié)合當?shù)刭Y源特征，以切實的措施促進的西部地區(qū)金融的發(fā)展，比如拓寬礦業(yè)融資渠道、促進證券業(yè)發(fā)展等，以金融的快速健康發(fā)展獲得礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的長期繁榮。
[Abstract]:Mineral resources are an important basis for human material production, mining provides the most basic power and raw materials for various industries of the national economy. Mining industry has the characteristics of high risk, large capital demand, long payback period and so on, so the development of modern mining industry can not be separated from the support of finance. This makes the relationship between mining development and financial development an important issue. The mineral resources of our country mainly come from the western region. The metallogenic geological conditions in the western region are superior, and the proven reserves of 27 kinds of minerals, such as natural gas, coal, copper, phosphorus, lead and rare earth, account for more than 50% of the country. In order to quantitatively study the relationship between financial development and mining development in the 12 western provinces, this paper takes the western 12 provinces as the research object, 1997-2011 as the research period, and the financial development in these areas and the local coal mining and washing industry. The relationship between oil and natural gas mining, ferrous metal mining and separation, non-ferrous metal mining and separation and the development of non-metal mining and separation industry is empirically studied. The ideas of this paper are as follows: (1) collect the data of the added value of the financial industry and the output value of the mining industries in the 12 western provinces. The differences in the trend of financial development and mining development in different regions are analyzed. (2) the financial development variables and mining industry development variables are constructed and the unit root test and cointegration test are carried out. To determine whether there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between financial development and mining development. (3) to build an error correction model to test the long-term causality between financial development and mining industry development in the 12 western provinces. (4) by using the error correction model, we can test the long-term causality between financial development and mining industry development in the 12 western provinces. Granger causality test determines the short-term causality between finance and five mining industries in the 12 western provinces. (5) summing up the regions, The long-term causality and short-term causality between the development of mining industry and local finance are analyzed, and the causes of these laws are analyzed, and finally the policy suggestions are put forward. There are three innovations in this paper: (1) three types of financial and mining development trends in the western region are found. (2) empirical research is carried out in different regions and industries, and through a large number of detailed data, from space and time, The relationship between finance and mining industry is excavated in three dimensions of industry. (3) the laws of long-term causality and short-term causality between financial development and mining development in western China are summarized. The empirical results show that there are three different situations in the development of finance and mining industry in the 12 regions of western China: Guizhou, Tibet and Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan, Gansu, Qinghai and Ningxia. The development of finance in Xinjiang lags behind the development of mining industry, while the development of mining industry in Guangxi, Chongqing and Sichuan lags behind the development of finance. In the long run, the financial development of the western regions plays a significant role in promoting the development of most industries. The promoting effect of mining development on financial development is not as common as that of financial development on mining development. Some long-term causality between mining development and financial development in western China will not appear in the short term. Since the implementation of the strategy of developing the western region, great progress has been made in local transportation, water conservancy, energy and communication, which has laid the foundation for the further development of the western economy. The rich resource endowment in the west determines that mining is still the driving force of development in the future. According to the research results of this paper, in the future, the western provinces and cities should take measures according to local conditions, combined with the characteristics of local resources, and take practical measures to promote the development of finance in the western region, such as widening the financing channels of mining industry, promoting the development of securities industry, and so on. With the rapid and healthy development of finance to obtain the long-term prosperity of the mining industry.
【學位授予單位】：中國地質(zhì)大學（北京）
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.7;F426.1
本文編號：2488232
[Abstract]:Mineral resources are an important basis for human material production, mining provides the most basic power and raw materials for various industries of the national economy. Mining industry has the characteristics of high risk, large capital demand, long payback period and so on, so the development of modern mining industry can not be separated from the support of finance. This makes the relationship between mining development and financial development an important issue. The mineral resources of our country mainly come from the western region. The metallogenic geological conditions in the western region are superior, and the proven reserves of 27 kinds of minerals, such as natural gas, coal, copper, phosphorus, lead and rare earth, account for more than 50% of the country. In order to quantitatively study the relationship between financial development and mining development in the 12 western provinces, this paper takes the western 12 provinces as the research object, 1997-2011 as the research period, and the financial development in these areas and the local coal mining and washing industry. The relationship between oil and natural gas mining, ferrous metal mining and separation, non-ferrous metal mining and separation and the development of non-metal mining and separation industry is empirically studied. The ideas of this paper are as follows: (1) collect the data of the added value of the financial industry and the output value of the mining industries in the 12 western provinces. The differences in the trend of financial development and mining development in different regions are analyzed. (2) the financial development variables and mining industry development variables are constructed and the unit root test and cointegration test are carried out. To determine whether there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between financial development and mining development. (3) to build an error correction model to test the long-term causality between financial development and mining industry development in the 12 western provinces. (4) by using the error correction model, we can test the long-term causality between financial development and mining industry development in the 12 western provinces. Granger causality test determines the short-term causality between finance and five mining industries in the 12 western provinces. (5) summing up the regions, The long-term causality and short-term causality between the development of mining industry and local finance are analyzed, and the causes of these laws are analyzed, and finally the policy suggestions are put forward. There are three innovations in this paper: (1) three types of financial and mining development trends in the western region are found. (2) empirical research is carried out in different regions and industries, and through a large number of detailed data, from space and time, The relationship between finance and mining industry is excavated in three dimensions of industry. (3) the laws of long-term causality and short-term causality between financial development and mining development in western China are summarized. The empirical results show that there are three different situations in the development of finance and mining industry in the 12 regions of western China: Guizhou, Tibet and Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan, Gansu, Qinghai and Ningxia. The development of finance in Xinjiang lags behind the development of mining industry, while the development of mining industry in Guangxi, Chongqing and Sichuan lags behind the development of finance. In the long run, the financial development of the western regions plays a significant role in promoting the development of most industries. The promoting effect of mining development on financial development is not as common as that of financial development on mining development. Some long-term causality between mining development and financial development in western China will not appear in the short term. Since the implementation of the strategy of developing the western region, great progress has been made in local transportation, water conservancy, energy and communication, which has laid the foundation for the further development of the western economy. The rich resource endowment in the west determines that mining is still the driving force of development in the future. According to the research results of this paper, in the future, the western provinces and cities should take measures according to local conditions, combined with the characteristics of local resources, and take practical measures to promote the development of finance in the western region, such as widening the financing channels of mining industry, promoting the development of securities industry, and so on. With the rapid and healthy development of finance to obtain the long-term prosperity of the mining industry.
【學位授予單位】：中國地質(zhì)大學（北京）
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.7;F426.1
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