中國兩岸區(qū)域貨幣單位“中元”的構(gòu)建與分析
發(fā)布時間:2019-01-10 12:39
【摘要】:金融危機(jī)的發(fā)生暴露出當(dāng)前我國一國四幣的貨幣體系存在的弊端,加強(qiáng)兩岸區(qū)域間貨幣合作,并最終實現(xiàn)貨幣一體化是未來發(fā)展的必然趨勢。借鑒歐元和特別提款權(quán)的構(gòu)造思想和發(fā)展經(jīng)驗,構(gòu)建了以人民幣、港元、澳元和新臺幣為基礎(chǔ)的區(qū)域貨幣單位"中元"。根據(jù)美元和歐元構(gòu)成的參照貨幣籃子計算了"中元"的匯率,并以此為基礎(chǔ)計算了名義偏差指數(shù)和實際偏差指數(shù),從匯率穩(wěn)定性角度分析區(qū)域貨幣單位"中元"的穩(wěn)定性與監(jiān)管的可能性。最終得出依據(jù)貿(mào)易額和購買力平價計算的GDP的算術(shù)平均數(shù)計算得出的"中元"最為穩(wěn)定,兩種指數(shù)均應(yīng)予以測算并報告。
[Abstract]:The occurrence of the financial crisis exposed the shortcomings of the monetary system of one country and four dollars in our country at present. It is the inevitable trend of the future development to strengthen the monetary cooperation between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and finally realize the monetary integration. Based on the structural ideas and development experiences of the euro and SDR, a regional monetary unit, the Chinese dollar, based on RMB, Hong Kong dollar, Australian dollar and Taiwan dollar, was constructed. The exchange rate of the "Chinese dollar" has been calculated on the basis of the reference basket of the United States dollar and the euro, on which the nominal deviation index and the actual deviation index have been calculated. From the angle of exchange rate stability, this paper analyzes the stability of regional monetary unit Zhongyuan and the possibility of supervision. Finally, it is concluded that the arithmetic average of GDP calculated on the basis of trade volume and purchasing power parity is the most stable, and both indices should be measured and reported.
【作者單位】: 中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金一般項目“行為宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)波動理論和政策中的應(yīng)用研究”(11BJL018) 中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院研究生科研創(chuàng)新基金項目
【分類號】:F822.1
[Abstract]:The occurrence of the financial crisis exposed the shortcomings of the monetary system of one country and four dollars in our country at present. It is the inevitable trend of the future development to strengthen the monetary cooperation between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and finally realize the monetary integration. Based on the structural ideas and development experiences of the euro and SDR, a regional monetary unit, the Chinese dollar, based on RMB, Hong Kong dollar, Australian dollar and Taiwan dollar, was constructed. The exchange rate of the "Chinese dollar" has been calculated on the basis of the reference basket of the United States dollar and the euro, on which the nominal deviation index and the actual deviation index have been calculated. From the angle of exchange rate stability, this paper analyzes the stability of regional monetary unit Zhongyuan and the possibility of supervision. Finally, it is concluded that the arithmetic average of GDP calculated on the basis of trade volume and purchasing power parity is the most stable, and both indices should be measured and reported.
【作者單位】: 中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金一般項目“行為宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)波動理論和政策中的應(yīng)用研究”(11BJL018) 中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院研究生科研創(chuàng)新基金項目
【分類號】:F822.1
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