人民幣內(nèi)貶外升對我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-11 15:05
【摘要】：對內(nèi)價值與對外價值是一個國家貨幣價值的兩種不同表現(xiàn)形式,其中貨幣在國內(nèi)的購買力大小是對內(nèi)價值的體現(xiàn),而購買力大小取決于單位貨幣能夠購買的商品和勞務(wù)的多少；本國貨幣與外國貨幣的交換比例是對外價值的體現(xiàn),交換比率被稱作“匯率”。購買力平價下,一國貨幣的對外價值可以通過該國貨幣的對內(nèi)價值與他國貨幣的對內(nèi)價值相折算得到。因此,貨幣的對內(nèi)價值與對外價值通常應(yīng)該保持一致,至少保持變動方向一致,即要么同時升值,要么同時貶值。然而,對人民幣近幾年對內(nèi)價值、對外價值進行分析后發(fā)現(xiàn)：人民幣存在對外升值的同時對內(nèi)卻呈現(xiàn)出貶值的貨幣現(xiàn)象,偏離傳統(tǒng)理論。人民幣內(nèi)外價值偏離涉及匯率問題,涉及國內(nèi)物價穩(wěn)定問題,這些都是我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的大問題。因此,該現(xiàn)象引發(fā)學(xué)者們的廣泛關(guān)注。為了深入分析該現(xiàn)象給我國經(jīng)濟帶來的負面影響及如何規(guī)避這些影響,文章首先展開了對該現(xiàn)象產(chǎn)生原因的分析梳理,指出經(jīng)濟增長、國際收支雙順差、貨幣供給等因素直接作用于人民幣價值變化,而經(jīng)濟體制不均衡、內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不均衡則是人民幣價值變化的深層原因。完成原因梳理后,文章展開分析了該現(xiàn)象對我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展可能的影響,發(fā)現(xiàn)該現(xiàn)象的存在將限制我國貨幣政策操作空間、惡化出口型企業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境、削弱我國對外投資吸引力,最終影響我國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長。針對該現(xiàn)象產(chǎn)生的負面影響,文章最后從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、擴大人民幣波動幅度、擴大內(nèi)需等方面著眼提出了若干建議,并在結(jié)尾指出：只要采取積極措施,最終人民幣內(nèi)外價值定將實現(xiàn)變動趨勢的一致性,削弱并最終消除內(nèi)貶外升現(xiàn)象對我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展所產(chǎn)生的不良影響。
[Abstract]:The internal value and the external value are two different forms of the monetary value of a country, in which the purchasing power of the money in the domestic is the embodiment of the internal value, and the purchasing power depends on the number of goods and services that the unit currency can buy; The exchange ratio between domestic currency and foreign currency is the embodiment of external value, and the exchange rate is called "exchange rate". Under purchasing power parity, the external value of a country's currency can be obtained by converting the internal value of the country's currency to the internal value of another's currency. Therefore, the internal and external value of the currency should always be consistent, at least in the same direction, that is, appreciation or depreciation at the same time. However, after analyzing the internal value and external value of RMB in recent years, it is found that the RMB is devaluating at the same time, which deviates from the traditional theory. The internal and external value deviation of RMB is related to the exchange rate and the domestic price stability, which are the major problems in the economic development of our country. Therefore, this phenomenon has aroused the widespread concern of scholars. In order to deeply analyze the negative effects of this phenomenon on our country's economy and how to avoid these effects, the article first analyzes the causes of this phenomenon, and points out that economic growth, balance of payments and double surplus. Money supply and other factors directly affect the change of RMB value, while the imbalance of economic system and internal and external economic development is the deep reason for the change of RMB value. After combing the reasons, the paper analyzes the possible impact of this phenomenon on China's economic development, and finds that the existence of this phenomenon will limit the operational space of China's monetary policy, worsen the development environment of export-oriented enterprises, and weaken the attraction of China's foreign investment. The final impact on China's sustained economic growth. In view of the negative effects of this phenomenon, the article finally puts forward some suggestions from the aspects of industrial structure adjustment, increasing the fluctuation range of RMB, expanding domestic demand and so on, and points out at the end: as long as positive measures are taken, In the end, the internal and external value of RMB will realize the consistency of the changing trend, weaken and eliminate the negative influence of the phenomenon of internal devaluation and excursion on the economic development of our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6
[Abstract]:The internal value and the external value are two different forms of the monetary value of a country, in which the purchasing power of the money in the domestic is the embodiment of the internal value, and the purchasing power depends on the number of goods and services that the unit currency can buy; The exchange ratio between domestic currency and foreign currency is the embodiment of external value, and the exchange rate is called "exchange rate". Under purchasing power parity, the external value of a country's currency can be obtained by converting the internal value of the country's currency to the internal value of another's currency. Therefore, the internal and external value of the currency should always be consistent, at least in the same direction, that is, appreciation or depreciation at the same time. However, after analyzing the internal value and external value of RMB in recent years, it is found that the RMB is devaluating at the same time, which deviates from the traditional theory. The internal and external value deviation of RMB is related to the exchange rate and the domestic price stability, which are the major problems in the economic development of our country. Therefore, this phenomenon has aroused the widespread concern of scholars. In order to deeply analyze the negative effects of this phenomenon on our country's economy and how to avoid these effects, the article first analyzes the causes of this phenomenon, and points out that economic growth, balance of payments and double surplus. Money supply and other factors directly affect the change of RMB value, while the imbalance of economic system and internal and external economic development is the deep reason for the change of RMB value. After combing the reasons, the paper analyzes the possible impact of this phenomenon on China's economic development, and finds that the existence of this phenomenon will limit the operational space of China's monetary policy, worsen the development environment of export-oriented enterprises, and weaken the attraction of China's foreign investment. The final impact on China's sustained economic growth. In view of the negative effects of this phenomenon, the article finally puts forward some suggestions from the aspects of industrial structure adjustment, increasing the fluctuation range of RMB, expanding domestic demand and so on, and points out at the end: as long as positive measures are taken, In the end, the internal and external value of RMB will realize the consistency of the changing trend, weaken and eliminate the negative influence of the phenomenon of internal devaluation and excursion on the economic development of our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6
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