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人民幣內(nèi)貶外升對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-10-11 15:05
【摘要】:對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值與對(duì)外價(jià)值是一個(gè)國(guó)家貨幣價(jià)值的兩種不同表現(xiàn)形式,其中貨幣在國(guó)內(nèi)的購買力大小是對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值的體現(xiàn),而購買力大小取決于單位貨幣能夠購買的商品和勞務(wù)的多少;本國(guó)貨幣與外國(guó)貨幣的交換比例是對(duì)外價(jià)值的體現(xiàn),交換比率被稱作“匯率”。購買力平價(jià)下,一國(guó)貨幣的對(duì)外價(jià)值可以通過該國(guó)貨幣的對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值與他國(guó)貨幣的對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值相折算得到。因此,貨幣的對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值與對(duì)外價(jià)值通常應(yīng)該保持一致,至少保持變動(dòng)方向一致,即要么同時(shí)升值,要么同時(shí)貶值。然而,對(duì)人民幣近幾年對(duì)內(nèi)價(jià)值、對(duì)外價(jià)值進(jìn)行分析后發(fā)現(xiàn):人民幣存在對(duì)外升值的同時(shí)對(duì)內(nèi)卻呈現(xiàn)出貶值的貨幣現(xiàn)象,偏離傳統(tǒng)理論。人民幣內(nèi)外價(jià)值偏離涉及匯率問題,涉及國(guó)內(nèi)物價(jià)穩(wěn)定問題,這些都是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的大問題。因此,該現(xiàn)象引發(fā)學(xué)者們的廣泛關(guān)注。為了深入分析該現(xiàn)象給我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)帶來的負(fù)面影響及如何規(guī)避這些影響,文章首先展開了對(duì)該現(xiàn)象產(chǎn)生原因的分析梳理,指出經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、國(guó)際收支雙順差、貨幣供給等因素直接作用于人民幣價(jià)值變化,而經(jīng)濟(jì)體制不均衡、內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不均衡則是人民幣價(jià)值變化的深層原因。完成原因梳理后,文章展開分析了該現(xiàn)象對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展可能的影響,發(fā)現(xiàn)該現(xiàn)象的存在將限制我國(guó)貨幣政策操作空間、惡化出口型企業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境、削弱我國(guó)對(duì)外投資吸引力,最終影響我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。針對(duì)該現(xiàn)象產(chǎn)生的負(fù)面影響,文章最后從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、擴(kuò)大人民幣波動(dòng)幅度、擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需等方面著眼提出了若干建議,并在結(jié)尾指出:只要采取積極措施,最終人民幣內(nèi)外價(jià)值定將實(shí)現(xiàn)變動(dòng)趨勢(shì)的一致性,削弱并最終消除內(nèi)貶外升現(xiàn)象對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展所產(chǎn)生的不良影響。
[Abstract]:The internal value and the external value are two different forms of the monetary value of a country, in which the purchasing power of the money in the domestic is the embodiment of the internal value, and the purchasing power depends on the number of goods and services that the unit currency can buy; The exchange ratio between domestic currency and foreign currency is the embodiment of external value, and the exchange rate is called "exchange rate". Under purchasing power parity, the external value of a country's currency can be obtained by converting the internal value of the country's currency to the internal value of another's currency. Therefore, the internal and external value of the currency should always be consistent, at least in the same direction, that is, appreciation or depreciation at the same time. However, after analyzing the internal value and external value of RMB in recent years, it is found that the RMB is devaluating at the same time, which deviates from the traditional theory. The internal and external value deviation of RMB is related to the exchange rate and the domestic price stability, which are the major problems in the economic development of our country. Therefore, this phenomenon has aroused the widespread concern of scholars. In order to deeply analyze the negative effects of this phenomenon on our country's economy and how to avoid these effects, the article first analyzes the causes of this phenomenon, and points out that economic growth, balance of payments and double surplus. Money supply and other factors directly affect the change of RMB value, while the imbalance of economic system and internal and external economic development is the deep reason for the change of RMB value. After combing the reasons, the paper analyzes the possible impact of this phenomenon on China's economic development, and finds that the existence of this phenomenon will limit the operational space of China's monetary policy, worsen the development environment of export-oriented enterprises, and weaken the attraction of China's foreign investment. The final impact on China's sustained economic growth. In view of the negative effects of this phenomenon, the article finally puts forward some suggestions from the aspects of industrial structure adjustment, increasing the fluctuation range of RMB, expanding domestic demand and so on, and points out at the end: as long as positive measures are taken, In the end, the internal and external value of RMB will realize the consistency of the changing trend, weaken and eliminate the negative influence of the phenomenon of internal devaluation and excursion on the economic development of our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6

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