目的國制度對中國出口和對外投資區(qū)位選擇影響研究
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved unprecedented sustained and rapid growth. The total economic output in 2012 has ranked second in the world for three consecutive years. China is a big importer and exporter of the world's third capital. China has become a real trading and investment country. According to macro-statistics, China's export trade mainly distributes in countries or regions with high institutional quality, and exports less to countries or regions with poor institutional quality. Effective institutional arrangements can reduce transaction costs and enhance product competitiveness. Institutional factors are the most fundamental factors for national prosperity, far more important than resources, population and capital. Institutions are the key factors affecting the location choice of China's export trade and foreign direct investment. China's export of commodities and capital not only prefers countries or regions with high economic development level, but also prefers countries or regions with high institutional quality. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the impact of destination country system on China's export trade and FDI location choice.
Based on the analysis of the history and current situation of China's export trade and foreign investment, this paper divides the system into formal and informal systems, explains the mechanism of the impact of the system on export trade and foreign investment, establishes the evaluation index system of the system, establishes the institutional arrangements and China's export trade and foreign investment by setting relevant indicators. Based on the mathematical model of the relationship between investment and China's export trade, this paper makes quantitative analysis from the aspects of institutional quality and institutional distance by using the relevant statistical data of China's export trade and foreign investment, respectively studies the effects of institutional arrangements on the location distribution of China's export trade and foreign investment, and synthesizes the institutional arrangements on the selection of China's export trade and foreign investment patterns. The study of synergistic effects is a supplement and development to the interdisciplinary theories of international trade and institutional economics.
Firstly, based on the microscopic foundation of the trade gravity model, this paper deduces the system variable embedded in the extended trade gravity model by utilizing the utility function, and then constructs the econometric model to study the overall system quality, the single system quality and the single system quality by using the macroscopic statistical data of representative countries or regions. In this paper, the classification of the system is more detailed, and the research on the impact of the system on China's export trade is more comprehensive and in-depth.
Secondly, by embedding institutional variables into the extended investment gravity model, this paper constructs an econometric model and makes use of macro-statistical data of representative countries or regions to empirically study the impact of overall institutional quality, individual institutional quality and a single institutional quality on the location choice of China's FDI. In order to explore the inherent law of the location distribution of China's FDI, this paper makes a more comprehensive and in-depth study on the impact of the system on the location choice of China's FDI.
Thirdly, from the perspective of transaction cost, this paper explores the location choice relationship between China's export trade and foreign direct investment. China's export trade and foreign investment are distributed in nearly 200 countries or regions in the world, but this distribution is relatively concentrated and has certain internal laws. The existing literature mainly focuses on the impact of economic factors. This paper attempts to analyze the relationship between China's export trade and foreign direct investment. The influence of institutional factors on the choice of export and investment mode of transnational business operators.
Fourthly, a theoretical model of the impact of language on China's export trade and foreign investment is constructed based on the theory of tariff union. Manpower and capital input of language are used as proxy variables of language cost. The influence of language transaction cost on the location choice of export trade and foreign investment is empirically studied, and linguistic economics and international trade are combined. Together, the study is complementary to the existing international trade theory.
Through theoretical analysis and empirical test, the main conclusions of this paper are:
First, China's export trade favours countries or regions with high system quality.
The higher the quality of the importing country's system, the higher the efficiency of the government's work, the stricter the supervision of the country's market, the greater the political guarantee for China's export trade, and the greater the attraction of China's goods. Good legal environment can effectively punish the breach of contract, guarantee the normal performance of the contract and protect the interests of importers and exporters. Export trade should take into account not only the economic development level of the importing country but also the institutional quality of the importing country. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the fact that the world ranking of China's system quality is still relatively backward, there is still a certain gap compared with the more developed countries or regions, China's comparative advantage of the system still has great potential to play, in the future we should further deepen the reform of the system, improve and perfect the relevant laws and regulations, improve the quality of the system, and promote the system ratio. The transformation from comparative advantage to competitive advantage can bring into play the role of the system in promoting our national economy.
Second, China's foreign direct investment is preferred to countries or regions with high system quality.
The overseas investment of multinational corporations in export trade is more affected by the institutional environment of the host country than that of the multinational corporations in export trade. The legality of the production and operation system of multinational corporations is an important determinant of successful operation. The host country with higher institutional quality can guarantee the free flow of capital. If the host country can provide institutional support for the production and operation of the investors, it will be beneficial to reduce transaction costs and conform to the operating strategy of maximizing the profits of the investors. The poor host country not only can't provide good institutional support for investors, but also the existence of political risks even makes investors face the risk of capital loss. After more than 30 years of reform and opening up, China's socialist market economic system has been gradually improved and perfected, but the system is still relatively low, which is a heavy boost to China's capital export. At present, China's capital export is still in a low-level development stage, the target area is not very clear, there is blindness of "fixed-fixed" and the domestic driving force is greater than the foreign attraction.
Thirdly, when making transnational business decisions in countries or regions with high institutional quality, enterprises tend to export to countries or regions with higher institutional quality and invest in countries or regions with lower institutional distance.
The countries or regions with higher institutional quality have great attraction to China's export trade and foreign direct investment. The higher institutional quality of the target country means that the various systems are relatively perfect, which can provide institutional guarantee for the transnational operation of enterprises and reduce transaction costs. To maximize operating profit, the higher institutional quality of the target country may also mean a greater institutional difference from China. The greater institutional differences will make operators face a more unfamiliar institutional environment. Transnational transactions are different from domestic transactions. Only when the operators are familiar with and adapt to this environment can they successfully operate in the target country. In developing transnational business, the industry first determines the region with high institutional quality, and then chooses the export operation mode and the investment operation mode. This decision is closely related to the institutional distance. When the institutional distance is large, it means that the transaction cost of the operator may be large. In this case, the export trade mode is more favorable. When the institutional distance is small, it means that the transaction cost of the operator may be small. In this case, the transnational investment model may be the optimal decision of the operator. In transnational decision-making of high institutional quality countries or regions, they tend to export to high institutional quality countries or regions with relatively large institutional distance and invest in high institutional quality countries or regions with relatively small institutional distance.
Fourth, informal institutional language has an important impact on export trade and foreign investment.
Since the reform and opening up, especially after China's accession to the WTO, China's export of goods and capital has increased rapidly. The volume of export trade of goods ranks first in the world, the flow of foreign investment ranks third in the world, the huge volume of export trade and foreign investment have made great contributions to China's economic growth. At present, Chinese is not an international language, so we often use English or other languages when we trade with major countries in the world. Therefore, we bear a lot of language learning costs. Under the open economy, small countries are the main bearers of the cost of language. With the increase of the number of people studying international languages in their own countries, the development of foreign economic and trade relations will be faster, but there is a limit on the proportion of people learning common languages. If the limit is exceeded, it will be counter-productive. Language learning capital investment can also promote the development of foreign economic and trade relations, but there is still a certain degree of unreasonable investment in language learning in China. International promotion of language is conducive to reducing transaction costs, if the world has a unified international language, international economic and trade exchanges. There is no need to learn more than one language, the cost of language learning will be greatly reduced, communication between countries will be more convenient, conducive to transnational transactions and the development of the global economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6;F752.62
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