中國煤制天然氣產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力分析及合理產(chǎn)能布局研究
本文選題:煤制天然氣 + 競爭力; 參考:《中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:迫于環(huán)境壓力和能源利用效率的問題,中國正在逐漸改變原有的以煤炭為主其他能源礦產(chǎn)作為輔助的能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)。天然氣作為潔凈高效的能源在中國的消費面不斷擴大,使得我國天然氣的供需缺口不斷擴大。我國煤炭資源豐富,發(fā)展煤制天然氣是解決天然氣供應(yīng)問題的一個重要途徑。但是,在發(fā)展過程中,煤制天然氣也存在著一定的問題,包括經(jīng)濟性問題,輸氣管網(wǎng)的問題,對環(huán)境的影響問題以及國內(nèi)多種氣源的統(tǒng)籌規(guī)劃問題等。這些問題不同程度地影響和限制了煤制天然氣的發(fā)展。 本文采用層次分析法,首先對常規(guī)化石能源(石油、煤炭和天然氣)產(chǎn)業(yè)進行比較分析,得出天然氣相對于石油和煤炭具有較強的競爭力,未來中國能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)中,天然氣所占據(jù)比重將大幅提高。然后對目前中國煤制天然氣發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及存在問題進行分析,結(jié)合中國能源供需形勢及未來趨勢的研究成果,為國內(nèi)氣源(常規(guī)天然氣、頁巖氣、煤層氣和煤制天然氣)產(chǎn)業(yè)進行評分,分析中國煤制天然氣產(chǎn)業(yè)在國內(nèi)各氣源產(chǎn)業(yè)中的競爭力,得出,在國內(nèi)各氣源產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中,煤制天然氣的競爭力較好,僅次于常規(guī)天然氣的競爭力,要高于頁巖氣和煤層氣的競爭力。最后研究分析其未來的合理產(chǎn)能及產(chǎn)業(yè)布局。 綜合考慮未來國內(nèi)各氣源的供應(yīng)、需求情況及產(chǎn)能利用率的問題,建議到2020年國內(nèi)煤制天然氣合理產(chǎn)能控制在800-1000億立方米,這樣的產(chǎn)能規(guī)模既可以對我國天然氣供應(yīng)起到較好的補充,緩解供應(yīng)緊張,又可以規(guī)避產(chǎn)能過度擴張帶來的產(chǎn)業(yè)風(fēng)險。 綜合考慮煤炭資源量、水資源量、天然氣消費量及污染物排放量等因素,在未來煤制天然氣規(guī)劃方面,,新疆和內(nèi)蒙古鼓勵發(fā)展煤制天然氣,山西和陜西適度發(fā)展,安徽可以少量發(fā)展,四川、云南和貴州可以作為煤制天然氣未來發(fā)展的潛力區(qū),其余區(qū)域較為不適宜發(fā)展煤制天然氣產(chǎn)業(yè)。
[Abstract]:Due to the problems of environmental pressure and energy utilization efficiency, China is gradually changing the existing energy consumption structure with coal as the main source of other energy minerals. As a clean and efficient energy, the consumption face of natural gas is expanding in China, which makes the gap between supply and demand of natural gas in China expanding. Coal natural gas is an important way to solve the problem of natural gas supply. However, in the process of development, there are some problems in coal natural gas, including economic problems, the problems of gas transmission pipeline network, the environmental impact and the overall planning of various domestic gas sources. These problems have been affected and restricted in varying degrees. The development of coal natural gas.
In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to compare the conventional fossil energy (petroleum, coal and natural gas) industry. It is concluded that natural gas has a strong competitiveness relative to oil and coal. In the future, the proportion of natural gas in China's energy consumption structure will be greatly raised. On the basis of the analysis of the problems, combining with the research results of China's energy supply and demand situation and future trend, the paper points out the domestic gas sources (conventional natural gas, shale gas, coal bed gas and coal natural gas) industry, and analyzes the competitive power of China's coal natural gas industry in domestic gas source industries, and concludes that coal is natural in the development of domestic gas source industries. The competitive power of gas is better than that of the conventional natural gas, which is higher than the competitiveness of shale gas and coal bed gas. Finally, the reasonable production capacity and industrial layout of its future are studied and analyzed.
Considering the supply, demand and productivity utilization of domestic gas sources in the future, it is suggested that in 2020, the reasonable production capacity of coal natural gas in China should be controlled at 800-1000 billion cubic meters. This capacity can be a good supplement to the supply of natural gas in China, alleviate the stress and avoid the excessive expansion of capacity. Industrial risk.
Considering the coal resources, the amount of water resources, the consumption of natural gas and the emission of pollutants, in the future coal based natural gas planning, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia encourage the development of coal natural gas, Shanxi and Shaanxi are moderately developed, Anhui can develop a small amount, Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou can be the potential areas for the future development of coal natural gas. The rest of the region is not suitable for the development of coal to natural gas industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F426.22
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