發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-09 10:25

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 工業(yè)部門(mén) 能源效率 節(jié)能減排 DEA模型 Malmquist指數(shù)　出處：《天津大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：工業(yè)化的推進(jìn)極大促進(jìn)了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)的發(fā)展。在2010年,中國(guó)超越日本成為世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體。然而,在巨大的發(fā)展成就背后,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與資源供給、生態(tài)環(huán)境之間的矛盾正日益嚴(yán)重。中國(guó)已成為世界上最大的二氧化碳排放與能源消費(fèi)國(guó)家。面對(duì)日益嚴(yán)峻的碳減排壓力,中國(guó)政府已經(jīng)認(rèn)識(shí)到目前的發(fā)展方式難以維持經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)。工業(yè)部門(mén)是我國(guó)最大的能源消耗終端部門(mén),同時(shí)也是最大的碳排放部門(mén)。在2007-2009年間,工業(yè)部門(mén)的能源消耗一直占到能源消耗總量的70%左右。因此,控制工業(yè)部門(mén)的能源消耗以及二氧化碳排放則是我國(guó)目前提高能源效率以及節(jié)能減排工作的關(guān)鍵所在。本文以中國(guó)30個(gè)省市的工業(yè)部門(mén)為研究對(duì)象,構(gòu)建一非徑向DEA模型衡量各地區(qū)2004至2011年間的工業(yè)能源效率狀況。在研究過(guò)程中,從靜態(tài)能源效率與動(dòng)態(tài)能源效率兩個(gè)角度進(jìn)行了相關(guān)分析。在了解各地區(qū)樣本期間的能源效率狀況后,又從能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的角度,探究決策制定單元的能源節(jié)約與二氧化碳減排的潛力。研究結(jié)果表明:在2004至2011年間,全國(guó)的工業(yè)能源效率水平不高。并且工業(yè)部門(mén)的能源效率存在明顯的區(qū)域差異性。無(wú)論是從評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果有效的地區(qū)數(shù)、還是樣本期間的效率平均值,東部地區(qū)的能源效率狀況都明顯好于中、西部地區(qū)。這與我國(guó)目前的工業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀也是一致的。在運(yùn)用Malmquist指數(shù)方法對(duì)各地區(qū)動(dòng)態(tài)能源效率進(jìn)行研究過(guò)程中,在樣本期間內(nèi),中國(guó)工業(yè)部門(mén)的能源效率持續(xù)保持上升的趨勢(shì),工業(yè)部門(mén)的能源效率都發(fā)生著積極的變化。就具體增速而言,中部地區(qū)的能源效率改善的程度最高。在研究能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)于降低能源消耗減少二氧化碳排放的作用時(shí),發(fā)現(xiàn):降低煤炭資源在總能源消耗中的比例可以有效減少各類(lèi)能源消耗以及降低二氧化碳的排放量。但是,能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整是一長(zhǎng)期的過(guò)程,為了使能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整達(dá)到更好的效果,需要同時(shí)提高各類(lèi)能源的運(yùn)輸能力。
[Abstract]:In 2010, China overtook Japan to become the second largest economy in the world. However, behind the tremendous development achievements, economic development and resource supply. The contradiction between ecological environment is becoming more and more serious. China has become the largest carbon dioxide emission and energy consumption country in the world. The Chinese government has recognized that the current development approach is difficult to sustain steady economic growth. The industrial sector is the country's largest energy consumption terminal sector and also the largest carbon emission sector. In 2007-2009, Energy consumption in the industrial sector has always accounted for about 70% of the total energy consumption. Controlling the energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission in the industrial sector is the key to improving energy efficiency and energy saving and emission reduction in China. This paper takes the industrial sector of 30 provinces and cities in China as the research object. A non-radial DEA model was constructed to measure the industrial energy efficiency in various regions from 2004 to 2011. This paper analyzes the correlation between static energy efficiency and dynamic energy efficiency. After understanding the energy efficiency of each region during the sample period, it also analyzes the energy structure from the perspective of energy structure adjustment. Explore the potential for energy conservation and carbon dioxide emissions reduction in decision making units. The results show that between 2004 and 2011, The level of industrial energy efficiency in China is not high, and there are obvious regional differences in energy efficiency in the industrial sector. Whether from the number of regions where the evaluation results are valid, or from the average efficiency of the sample period, The energy efficiency in the eastern region is obviously better than that in the central and western regions. This is consistent with the present industrial development situation in China. In the course of studying the dynamic energy efficiency in each region by using the Malmquist index method, during the sample period, The energy efficiency of China's industrial sector continues to maintain an upward trend, and there are positive changes in the energy efficiency of the industrial sector. The central region has seen the greatest improvement in energy efficiency. In studying the role of energy restructuring in reducing energy consumption and reducing carbon dioxide emissions, It is found that reducing the proportion of coal resources in total energy consumption can effectively reduce all kinds of energy consumption and reduce carbon dioxide emissions. However, energy restructuring is a long-term process. In order to achieve better effect of energy structure adjustment, it is necessary to improve the transportation capacity of all kinds of energy at the same time.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：X322;F424

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