本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國有色金屬消費與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系研究　出處：《哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 有色金屬消費 經(jīng)濟增長 消費需求 消費規(guī)律

【摘要】：隨著我國工業(yè)化進程的加快，金屬消費尤其是作為支撐國民經(jīng)濟的有色金屬消費對于經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的作用越來越明顯，作為有色金屬消費第一大國，我國的有色金屬還存在著供需不平衡的問題，當(dāng)前我國正處于工業(yè)化中期階段，，有效把握有色金屬消費規(guī)律，掌握有色金屬消費需求，有利于我國調(diào)整好有色金屬供需關(guān)系，科學(xué)的制定有色金屬產(chǎn)業(yè)政策，加快工業(yè)化過程的實現(xiàn)。 本文著重選取了銅鋁鋅作為對有色金屬的研究對象，通過對它們消費數(shù)據(jù)以及經(jīng)濟增長數(shù)據(jù)的整理分析，找出了我國有色金屬的消費規(guī)律以及有色金屬消費與我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系。文章在對前人研究文獻的基礎(chǔ)上，首先從理論上對我國有色金屬消費規(guī)律做了相關(guān)的鑒定，選用美日發(fā)達(dá)國家的工業(yè)化期間的有色金屬消費規(guī)律作為參考與借鑒，并分析了我國的有色金屬消費規(guī)律。其次，研究了我國當(dāng)前的有色金屬產(chǎn)業(yè)消費狀況，包括有色金屬應(yīng)用現(xiàn)狀，消費現(xiàn)狀，有色金屬凈出口現(xiàn)狀以及有色金屬消費的影響因素。接著，運用excel與eviews從實證角度對我國有色金屬消費與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系進行了分析，選取的指標(biāo)包括有色金屬消費率、有色金屬經(jīng)濟增長貢獻率、以及有色金屬經(jīng)濟增長率貢獻率、有色金屬消費強度以及有色金屬消費彈性。在此基礎(chǔ)上，選取美德日韓意五國先期工業(yè)化國家作為研究樣本，預(yù)測了我國未來30年工業(yè)化進程中的有色金屬消費。最后，為我國當(dāng)前的有色金屬產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展提出了相關(guān)政策建議。 本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，有色金屬的消費并不是經(jīng)濟增長的原因，但是經(jīng)濟增長是驅(qū)動有色金屬消費的原因，這說明，消費并不一定能帶來經(jīng)濟增長，適度的合理的消費才能帶來經(jīng)濟增長。本文還發(fā)現(xiàn)，我國的有色金屬增長平緩點將在2036年左右出現(xiàn)，這將意味著我國的工業(yè)化進程能夠在20年后完成。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of China's industrialization, especially non-ferrous metal consumption as consumer support for the national economy more and more significant role in economic development, as the non-ferrous metal consumption superpower, China Nonferrous Metals there is imbalance between supply and demand, at present our country is in the middle stage of industrialization, effectively grasp the consumer behavior of colored master metal, non-ferrous metal consumption demand, is conducive to China's adjustment of nonferrous metal supply and demand relations, the establishment of scientific policy of non-ferrous metal industry, speeding up the industrialization process.
This paper selects the copper aluminum and zinc as the research object of non-ferrous metals, through analysis of their consumption data and economic growth data, find out the relationship between consumption of China's non-ferrous metals and non-ferrous metal consumption and economic development in China. Based on the previous research literature, first of all to do the relevant the identification from the theory of law of China's non-ferrous metal consumption, non-ferrous metal consumption of selected developed countries during industrialization as reference, and analyzes the law of China's non-ferrous metal consumption. Secondly, study the current consumption situation of nonferrous metal industry, including the current situation of nonferrous metal consumption, application status, factors nonferrous metal net export status and influence of non-ferrous metal consumption. Then, using the excel and Eviews of non-ferrous metal consumption and economic growth in China from the perspective of empirical The relationship was analyzed, the selected indicators including non-ferrous metals non-ferrous metal consumption rate, the contribution rate of economic growth, economic growth rate and non-ferrous metal contribution rate, non-ferrous metal consumption intensity and non-ferrous metal consumption elasticity. On this basis, select the virtues of Italy advanced industrialized countries Japan and South Korea as the research sample, the prediction of non-ferrous metals consumption in the next 30 years in the process of industrialization of our country. Finally, we put forward some policy recommendations for China's current non-ferrous metal industry development.
This study found that the reason of non-ferrous metal consumption is not economic growth, but economic growth is driven, non-ferrous metal consumption which shows that consumption does not necessarily bring economic growth, economic growth can bring moderate and reasonable consumption. This paper also found that China's nonferrous metals will slow growth appear in around 2036. This means that China's industrialization process can be completed in 20 years.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.32;F124

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