【摘要】：文章通過建立國際投入產(chǎn)出模型分析了中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對雙方GDP的影響及其途徑,以7個產(chǎn)業(yè)合作部門為研究對象,利用2011年ADB-MRIO表的數(shù)據(jù)分別測算了在兩種極端情形下,中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對各個國家GDP的拉動效應(yīng),并對總的影響效果做了綜合評價。文章的研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)中國與東盟產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對于雙方而言都是有利的,但對于東盟國家GDP的拉動效應(yīng)更加明顯,從長期來看,對東盟國家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也更為有利;(2)中國與印尼、菲律賓的產(chǎn)業(yè)合作能夠最大程度地拉動雙方GDP增長,而中國與越南產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對于雙方GDP的拉動效應(yīng)最弱;(3)中國與東盟國家產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對GDP拉動效應(yīng)最明顯的部門是其他非金屬礦物制品業(yè),其次是機械設(shè)備制造業(yè)和皮革與制鞋業(yè),而紡織業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)合作對GDP的影響最小。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the influence of industrial cooperation between China and ASEAN on GDP and its ways by establishing international input-output model. Taking seven industrial cooperation departments as the research object, the pulling effect of industrial cooperation between China and ASEAN on GDP of each country in two extreme cases is calculated by using the data of ADB-MRIO table in 2011, and the overall influence effect is comprehensively evaluated. It is found that: (1) the industrial cooperation between China and ASEAN is beneficial to both sides, but the pulling effect is more obvious for ASEAN countries, and more beneficial to the economic growth of ASEAN countries in the long run. (2) the industrial cooperation between China and Indonesia and the Philippines can stimulate the GDP growth of both sides to the greatest extent, while the pulling effect of industrial cooperation between China and Vietnam on both sides is the weakest. (3) the most obvious pulling effect of industrial cooperation between China and ASEAN countries on GDP is other non-metallic mineral products industry, followed by mechanical equipment manufacturing industry and leather and shoe industry, while the industrial cooperation of textile industry has the least impact on GDP.
【作者單位】： 中國人民大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;國家發(fā)改委國土開發(fā)與地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;重慶大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院管理學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F125.4

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