內(nèi)蒙古對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系研究
本文選題:內(nèi)蒙古 + 對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)。 參考:《內(nèi)蒙古財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:近年來,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增速下降,主要表現(xiàn)為工業(yè)生產(chǎn)低速增長、對外貿(mào)易持續(xù)低迷、金融市場動蕩加劇、大宗商品價格大幅下跌。中國作為貿(mào)易大國,面對西方主要貿(mào)易伙伴需求疲軟和發(fā)達(dá)國家再工業(yè)化的現(xiàn)實(shí)狀況,加快實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級和優(yōu)化對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu),既是推動國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)健康發(fā)展的內(nèi)在要求,也是適應(yīng)國際市場、引領(lǐng)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的必然選擇。內(nèi)蒙古作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展強(qiáng)勁的民族地區(qū),受全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響,自2012年開始,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度放緩,而經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)息息相關(guān)。隨著全面深化改革的穩(wěn)步推進(jìn),供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的全面實(shí)施,以建設(shè)“中蒙俄”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊為契機(jī),內(nèi)蒙古應(yīng)把握住新的發(fā)展機(jī)遇,在宏觀政策指引下,努力實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級以及對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化,并形成二者良性互動機(jī)制,這樣才能夠突破原有經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式,培育經(jīng)濟(jì)增長新動能,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)跨越式發(fā)展。本文基于內(nèi)蒙古對外貿(mào)易和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的實(shí)際狀況,通過分析內(nèi)蒙古對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變發(fā)展,著重研究對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)關(guān)系,深入剖析進(jìn)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響以及三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化對內(nèi)蒙古進(jìn)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的作用。得到的結(jié)論為,內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)存在長期相關(guān)關(guān)系;內(nèi)蒙古產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)存在互為格蘭杰因果的雙向關(guān)系;進(jìn)口商品結(jié)構(gòu)是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的格蘭杰原因,為單向關(guān)系;在分類商品進(jìn)出口對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化影響的實(shí)證分析以及產(chǎn)業(yè)因素對分類商品進(jìn)出口結(jié)構(gòu)變化的實(shí)證研究發(fā)現(xiàn),分類商品進(jìn)出口與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展變化存在一定的錯位發(fā)展現(xiàn)象,二者關(guān)聯(lián)度低,相互促進(jìn)作用不足。根據(jù)研究結(jié)論并結(jié)合內(nèi)蒙古對外貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,從外貿(mào)發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展兩個方面提出針對性對策建議。
[Abstract]:Global economic growth has slowed in recent years, mainly in the form of slow growth in industrial production, a sustained downturn in foreign trade, increased volatility in financial markets and sharp falls in commodity prices. In the face of weak demand from major trading partners in the West and the reindustrialization of developed countries, China, as a big trading country, is speeding up the transformation and upgrading of its industrial structure and optimizing the structure of foreign trade commodities. It is not only the internal requirement of promoting the sustainable and healthy development of domestic economy, but also the inevitable choice of adapting to the international market and leading the development of global economy. As an ethnic region with strong economic development, Inner Mongolia has been affected by the global economic development. Since 2012, the economic development has slowed down, and the economic development is closely related to the industrial structure and the commodity structure of foreign trade. With the steady progress of comprehensive deepening reform and the comprehensive implementation of supply-side structural reform, Inner Mongolia should seize the new development opportunities and take the construction of the "China-Mongolia-Russia" economic corridor as an opportunity, under the guidance of macro policies. To realize the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure and the optimization of commodity structure of foreign trade, and to form a benign interactive mechanism between the two, we can break through the original mode of economic development, cultivate new kinetic energy of economic growth, and realize the leap-forward development of economy. Based on the actual situation of foreign trade and industrial development in Inner Mongolia, this paper analyzes the evolution and development of commodity structure and industrial structure of foreign trade in Inner Mongolia, and focuses on the relationship between commodity structure and industrial structure of foreign trade. The influence of the structure of import and export commodities on the industrial structure and the effect of the three changes of the industrial structure on the structure of import and export commodities in Inner Mongolia are analyzed in depth. The conclusions are as follows: there is a long-term correlation between the commodity structure and industrial structure of foreign trade in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, and there is a two-way relationship between industrial structure and export commodity structure of Inner Mongolia that is Granger causality. The structure of import commodities is the Granger cause of industrial structure, which is a one-way relationship, the empirical analysis of the impact of classified commodity import and export on the industrial structure changes and the empirical study of industrial factors on the structural changes of classified commodities import and export. There exists a certain dislocation development phenomenon between the import and export of classified commodities and the development and change of industrial structure. According to the conclusion of the study and the present situation of the development of foreign trade commodity structure and industrial structure in Inner Mongolia, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from two aspects: the development of foreign trade and the development of industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F752.8;F121.3
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