發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-27 14:45

  本文選題：長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶 + 地區(qū)專業(yè)化　； 參考：《華中師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：金融危機(jī)后,美、德等發(fā)達(dá)國家倡導(dǎo)工業(yè)回歸以促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,中國也隨之發(fā)布了制造強(qiáng)國戰(zhàn)略——《中國制造2025》。隨著長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶上升為國家戰(zhàn)略,如何有效依托長江這樣一條黃金水道,促進(jìn)長江流域的工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級,成為了長江沿線省市產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的重要著力點(diǎn)。本文整體研究思路是通過梳理相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),結(jié)合產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷和區(qū)域不均衡增長的相關(guān)經(jīng)典理論,在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷及其對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的機(jī)理分析基礎(chǔ)上,對長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶金融危機(jī)后的工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的特征和效果,以及變遷效果與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系展開實(shí)證分析。首先通過對產(chǎn)業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢(區(qū)位商指數(shù))、地區(qū)專業(yè)化(地區(qū)專業(yè)化指數(shù)和地區(qū)間專業(yè)化指數(shù))和產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚(產(chǎn)業(yè)集中度和產(chǎn)業(yè)相對集中度)這三個(gè)典型的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷過程中的特征現(xiàn)象進(jìn)行綜合考察,從而了解金融危機(jī)后長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶的工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的過程。然后通過對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化(經(jīng)過變形之后的泰爾指數(shù))、高級化(高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)與工業(yè)的產(chǎn)值之比)和高效化(工業(yè)企業(yè)的成本費(fèi)用利潤率和總資產(chǎn)貢獻(xiàn)率)三個(gè)常用的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級指標(biāo)來綜合評價(jià)長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的效果。最后利用合理化、高級化和高效化指標(biāo)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率之間的關(guān)系構(gòu)建一階差分面板廣義矩估計(jì)模型,并根據(jù)模型計(jì)算的結(jié)果給出相應(yīng)的政策建議。本文的主要研究結(jié)論有:1、長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的地區(qū)專業(yè)化水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高效化水平在2011年之前持續(xù)上升,但是隨著2011年之后經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率開始下滑,地區(qū)專業(yè)化水平略有下降,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的高效化水平迅速回落。2、地方政府競相引進(jìn)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的舉動(dòng)和地方保護(hù)主義,促使長江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的高級化程度不斷提高的同時(shí),產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚水平持續(xù)降低,技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)相對其它產(chǎn)業(yè)而言,比較優(yōu)勢變化幅度最小。3、工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化水平不斷提升,各省市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷效果分化加劇。長江下游的上海最先走出金融危機(jī)的影響,工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)處在一個(gè)較高層級的合理化進(jìn)程中,而長江上游的云南等地則在一個(gè)較低層級的合理化進(jìn)程之中。4、在2008-2015年期間,工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化、高級化和高效化均對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有影響,但具體表現(xiàn)不同。合理化與高級化對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的抑制作用,出現(xiàn)在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率較高時(shí),而當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率較低時(shí),則表現(xiàn)為促進(jìn)作用,且高級化的影響更顯著;高效化的影響則正好相反。
[Abstract]:After the financial crisis, the United States, Germany and other developed countries advocated the return of industry to promote economic development, China also released the manufacturing strategy-"made in China 2025". With the rise of the Yangtze River economic belt as a national strategy, how to effectively rely on the Yangtze River as a golden waterway to promote the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure of the Yangtze River basin has become an important focus of the industrial policy of provinces and cities along the Yangtze River. Through combing the relevant literature and combining the classical theories of industrial structure change and regional unbalanced growth, the whole research idea of this paper is based on the analysis of industrial structure change and its mechanism of economic growth. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the characteristics and effects of the changes in industrial structure after the financial crisis in the Yangtze economic belt and the relationship between the changes and economic growth. First of all, through the industrial comparative advantage (location quotient index), regional specialization (regional specialization index and inter-regional specialization index) and industrial agglomeration (industrial concentration and industrial relative concentration) three typical industrial integration The characteristic phenomena in the process of structural change are comprehensively investigated. In order to understand the financial crisis after the Yangtze River economic belt industrial structure changes. Then, through the rationalization of the industrial structure (the transformed Tyr index, the ratio of the output value of the high-tech industry to the industry) and the high efficiency (the cost-cost profit margin and the contribution rate of the total assets of the industrial enterprise) To evaluate the effect of industrial structure change in the Yangtze economic belt. Finally, the generalized moment estimation model of the first order difference panel is constructed by using the relationship between the rational, advanced and efficient indexes and the economic growth rate, and the corresponding policy suggestions are given according to the results of the model calculation. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1, the level of regional specialization and the level of high efficiency of industrial structure in the industrial zone of the Yangtze River Economic Belt continued to rise before 2011, but with the economic growth rate beginning to decline after 2011, The level of regional specialization has declined slightly, and the level of high efficiency of the industrial structure has dropped rapidly. The local governments have rushed to introduce high-tech industries and local protectionism. While promoting the upgrading of the industrial structure of the Yangtze Economic Belt, the level of industrial agglomeration continues to decrease, and technology-intensive industries are compared to other industries. The range of comparative advantage is the smallest. 3. The rationalization level of industrial structure is continuously improved, and the effect of industrial structure change of provinces and cities is intensified. Shanghai, in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, was the first to emerge from the impact of the financial crisis. The industrial structure was in the process of rationalization at a higher level, while Yunnan and other places in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River were in the middle of a lower-level rationalization process. In the period 2008-2015, The rationalization, high level and high efficiency of industrial structure all have influence on the economic growth, but the concrete performance is different. The inhibitory effect of rationalization and higher level on economic growth appears when the economic growth rate is high, but when the economic growth rate is low, the effect of high grade is more obvious, and the effect of high efficiency is just the opposite.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F427

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