本文選題：技術選擇 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級��； 參考：《經(jīng)濟經(jīng)緯》2017年05期

【摘要】：利用1997—2013年31個省份的面板數(shù)據(jù),通過構建半?yún)?shù)空間面板向量自回歸模型(SSPVAR)及時空脈沖響應函數(shù),實證檢驗我國技術選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級和經(jīng)濟增長之間的時空傳導效應,并探討對外開放度對三者的異質性影響。結果發(fā)現(xiàn),技術選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級及經(jīng)濟增長受到彼此的沖擊后,大部分都呈現(xiàn)出正向的響應特征。其中,技術選擇推進本省份及周邊省份的產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級,并在短期阻礙了經(jīng)濟增長,但長期內促進整體區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長;產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級不僅推進整體區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級,還促進本省份及周邊省份經(jīng)濟增長;經(jīng)濟中心的拉動效應較強且持久,經(jīng)濟增長會促進整個區(qū)域的技術選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級。此外,對外開放度對技術選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構升級的效應呈現(xiàn)出"N"形特征,對外開放度對經(jīng)濟增長的效應前期較為平穩(wěn),隨后呈現(xiàn)出"倒U"形特征。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 1997 to 2013, a semi-parametric spatial panel vector autoregressive model (SSPVARs) and a spatio-temporal impulse response function are constructed to test the spatiotemporal conduction effect between technology selection, industrial structure upgrading and economic growth in China.The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the heterogeneity of the three is also discussed.The results show that the technological choice, industrial structure upgrading and economic growth are impacted by each other, most of them show positive response characteristics.Among them, technology choice promotes the upgrading of the industrial structure of our province and its surrounding provinces, and in the short term hinders economic growth, but in the long run, it promotes the overall regional economic growth; the upgrading of industrial structure not only promotes the upgrading of the overall regional industrial structure, but also promotes the overall regional economic growth in the long run.It also promotes the economic growth of our province and its surrounding provinces; the pulling effect of economic center is strong and lasting. Economic growth will promote the technology choice of the whole region and upgrade the industrial structure.In addition, the effect of the degree of opening on the choice of technology and the upgrading of industrial structure shows the "N" shape characteristic, the effect of opening degree on the economic growth is relatively stable in the early stage, and then shows the "inverted U" shape characteristic.
【作者單位】： 湖南大學經(jīng)濟與貿易學院;福州大學經(jīng)濟與管理學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金項目(71571046) 教育部高等學校博士點基金項目(20120161110034)
【分類號】：F121.3;F124.1;F124.3

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