本文選題：技術(shù)選擇 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)�。� 參考：《經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)緯》2017年05期

【摘要】：利用1997—2013年31個(gè)省份的面板數(shù)據(jù),通過(guò)構(gòu)建半?yún)?shù)空間面板向量自回歸模型(SSPVAR)及時(shí)空脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù),實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)我國(guó)技術(shù)選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的時(shí)空傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng),并探討對(duì)外開(kāi)放度對(duì)三者的異質(zhì)性影響。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),技術(shù)選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)及經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)受到彼此的沖擊后,大部分都呈現(xiàn)出正向的響應(yīng)特征。其中,技術(shù)選擇推進(jìn)本省份及周邊省份的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí),并在短期阻礙了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),但長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)促進(jìn)整體區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng);產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)不僅推進(jìn)整體區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí),還促進(jìn)本省份及周邊省份經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng);經(jīng)濟(jì)中心的拉動(dòng)效應(yīng)較強(qiáng)且持久,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)會(huì)促進(jìn)整個(gè)區(qū)域的技術(shù)選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)。此外,對(duì)外開(kāi)放度對(duì)技術(shù)選擇、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的效應(yīng)呈現(xiàn)出"N"形特征,對(duì)外開(kāi)放度對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的效應(yīng)前期較為平穩(wěn),隨后呈現(xiàn)出"倒U"形特征。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 1997 to 2013, a semi-parametric spatial panel vector autoregressive model (SSPVARs) and a spatio-temporal impulse response function are constructed to test the spatiotemporal conduction effect between technology selection, industrial structure upgrading and economic growth in China.The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the heterogeneity of the three is also discussed.The results show that the technological choice, industrial structure upgrading and economic growth are impacted by each other, most of them show positive response characteristics.Among them, technology choice promotes the upgrading of the industrial structure of our province and its surrounding provinces, and in the short term hinders economic growth, but in the long run, it promotes the overall regional economic growth; the upgrading of industrial structure not only promotes the upgrading of the overall regional industrial structure, but also promotes the overall regional economic growth in the long run.It also promotes the economic growth of our province and its surrounding provinces; the pulling effect of economic center is strong and lasting. Economic growth will promote the technology choice of the whole region and upgrade the industrial structure.In addition, the effect of the degree of opening on the choice of technology and the upgrading of industrial structure shows the "N" shape characteristic, the effect of opening degree on the economic growth is relatively stable in the early stage, and then shows the "inverted U" shape characteristic.
【作者單位】： 湖南大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易學(xué)院;福州大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(71571046) 教育部高等學(xué)校博士點(diǎn)基金項(xiàng)目(20120161110034)
【分類號(hào)】：F121.3;F124.1;F124.3

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本文編號(hào)：1737251