本文關(guān)鍵詞： 人民幣ODI 逆向技術(shù)溢出 理論邏輯 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)　出處：《南昌大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：國(guó)際金融危機(jī)之后,美國(guó)等發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家發(fā)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)“空心化”對(duì)本國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的嚴(yán)重危害性,因而提出了重塑制造業(yè)以優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的再工業(yè)化戰(zhàn)略,這為我國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資提供了難得的發(fā)展機(jī)遇。近些年來(lái),隨著我國(guó)“走出去”戰(zhàn)略的深化發(fā)展,我國(guó)ODI規(guī)模大幅提升,增長(zhǎng)速度超過(guò)外資流入。如何計(jì)算與評(píng)價(jià)人民幣ODI對(duì)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化調(diào)整的影響程度,已日漸成為國(guó)內(nèi)學(xué)者關(guān)注的熱點(diǎn),因而本文研究具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先梳理了現(xiàn)有的國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于對(duì)外直接投資影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化以及對(duì)外直接投資逆向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的相關(guān)概念和內(nèi)涵的理論基礎(chǔ)之上,從對(duì)外直接投資的母國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整正、負(fù)效應(yīng)兩個(gè)方面入手,初步分析人民幣ODI對(duì)本國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響。其次,對(duì)人民幣ODI的歷史演進(jìn)和現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行歸納分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)人民幣ODI的資金流向存在行業(yè)和區(qū)域分布不均的特點(diǎn)。接著文章從對(duì)外直接投資的動(dòng)因視角,演繹人民幣ODI促進(jìn)本國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的內(nèi)在邏輯機(jī)理。在前文的理論基礎(chǔ)之上,本文實(shí)證部分構(gòu)建了人民幣ODI影響中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的計(jì)量模型,以Eviews 6.0計(jì)量軟件為依托,通過(guò)協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、回歸分析和脈沖響應(yīng)回歸等研究方法,實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)了人民幣ODI對(duì)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化這一衡量指標(biāo)的影響。最終發(fā)現(xiàn)人民幣ODI與中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系,且從從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,人民幣ODI是中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化進(jìn)程的格蘭杰原因,人民幣ODI對(duì)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)具有正向促進(jìn)作用。最后,在理論分析、實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)之上,本文就如何發(fā)揮人民幣ODI對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響,推動(dòng)中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)提出了相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:After the international financial crisis, the developed countries, such as the United States, discovered the serious harm of industrial hollowing to their economic development, and put forward the strategy of reindustrializing the manufacturing industry in order to optimize the industrial structure. In recent years, with the deepening development of China's "going out" strategy, China's ODI scale has greatly increased. The growth rate exceeds the inflow of foreign capital. How to calculate and evaluate the impact of RMB ODI on the optimization and adjustment of China's industrial structure has become a hot topic for domestic scholars. Therefore, the study of this paper has important practical significance. Firstly, this paper combs the existing literature on the influence of foreign direct investment on industrial structure at home and abroad. Based on the theory of industrial structure optimization and the related concepts and connotations of reverse technology spillover effect of FDI, this paper starts with the positive and negative effects of the adjustment of the home country's industrial structure of FDI. This paper preliminarily analyzes the impact of RMB ODI on the upgrading of domestic industrial structure. Secondly, the historical evolution and current situation of RMB ODI are summarized and analyzed. It is found that the capital flow of RMB ODI is uneven in industry and region. Then, from the perspective of the motivation of OFDI, This paper deduces the internal logical mechanism of RMB ODI promoting the upgrading of China's industrial structure. On the basis of the previous theories, the empirical part of this paper constructs the econometric model of RMB ODI influencing the upgrading of China's industrial structure, which is based on the software of Eviews 6.0. Through cointegration test, regression analysis and impulse response regression, This paper empirically tests the impact of RMB ODI on China's industrial structure elevation. Finally, it is found that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between RMB ODI and China's industrial structure elevation, and in the long run, RMB ODI is the Granger cause of China's industrial structure upgrading. RMB ODI has a positive effect on the upgrading of China's industrial structure. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, RMB ODI plays a positive role in promoting the upgrading of China's industrial structure. This paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to exert the influence of RMB ODI on the industrial structure and promote the optimization and upgrading of China's industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南昌大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6

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本文編號(hào)：1543229