山西省對外直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級效應(yīng)研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:山西省對外直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級效應(yīng)研究 出處:《山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 對外直接投資 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級 傳導(dǎo)機制
【摘要】:在開放型經(jīng)濟條件下,通過跨國投資可以在全世界范圍內(nèi)實現(xiàn)資源的合理配置,促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不斷向合理化與高度化演進,推動經(jīng)濟體實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級和經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展,這已得到國際國內(nèi)實踐的充分驗證。當(dāng)前國內(nèi)許多省份大力發(fā)展外向型經(jīng)濟,以期實現(xiàn)本地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型。山西省作為資源型省份,長期以重工業(yè)為主的發(fā)展模式正遭遇著產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、經(jīng)濟增長動能不足的瓶頸。隨著對外開放程度的提高,貿(mào)易、外商投資以及對外直接投資都是經(jīng)濟全球化趨勢帶來的新工具和新選擇。多年來,山西省立足于通過擴大貿(mào)易和吸引外資來促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級,但收效甚微。對外直接投資在產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型中所能貢獻的巨大力量,尚未引起足夠的重視。因此,如何更好地運用對外直接投資,充分利用外部市場倒逼產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級,是當(dāng)前山西省開放型經(jīng)濟建設(shè)亟需解決的重要問題。本文基于山西省對外直接投資與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的現(xiàn)實狀況,構(gòu)建了包含貿(mào)易升級、技術(shù)升級、國內(nèi)投資升級、就業(yè)升級四個方面的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級評價體系,系統(tǒng)分析對外直接投資對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的作用機制,通過構(gòu)建時間序列模型,實證檢驗對外直接投資對山西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級總體水平的影響,并通過脈沖響應(yīng)分析貿(mào)易路徑、技術(shù)路徑、投資路徑及就業(yè)路徑這四個傳導(dǎo)機制的作用。結(jié)果表明,山西省對外直接投資對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級短期內(nèi)作用并不明顯,但長期來看具有持續(xù)的優(yōu)化促進作用。對外直接投資的貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo)路徑、技術(shù)傳導(dǎo)路徑、投資傳導(dǎo)路徑及就業(yè)傳導(dǎo)路徑貢獻程度不同,但貢獻度總體較小。本文認(rèn)為,應(yīng)建立并完善境外投資戰(zhàn)略體系,在政策引導(dǎo)、金融體系、人才吸引等方面為跨國投資企業(yè)提供長期的支持。其次,在貿(mào)易往來的基礎(chǔ)上,通過對外投資實現(xiàn)更為深入的雙邊經(jīng)濟合作,并加大對發(fā)達(dá)國家的技術(shù)獲取型投資,在與他國經(jīng)濟深度融合的基礎(chǔ)上實現(xiàn)自身的轉(zhuǎn)型升級。另外,還應(yīng)積極推進富余產(chǎn)能的對外轉(zhuǎn)移,積極發(fā)展與周邊國家的產(chǎn)能合作,為產(chǎn)業(yè)升級騰出資源、留足空間。通過提高對外直接投資的水平和質(zhì)量,使貿(mào)易路徑、技術(shù)路徑、投資路徑及就業(yè)路徑充分發(fā)揮其作用,實現(xiàn)山西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級。
[Abstract]:Under the condition of open economy, the rational allocation of resources can be realized in the whole world through transnational investment, and the industrial structure can be continuously rationalized and advanced. Promoting the economy to realize the upgrading of industrial structure and economic transformation and development, which has been fully verified by international and domestic practice. At present, many domestic provinces vigorously develop export-oriented economy. Shanxi Province, as a resource-based province, is experiencing unreasonable industrial structure for a long time. With the increase of the degree of opening to the outside world, trade, foreign investment and foreign direct investment are the new tools and new choices brought about by the trend of economic globalization. Shanxi Province based on expanding trade and attracting foreign capital to promote the upgrading of industrial structure, but little effect. Foreign direct investment in the industrial transformation can contribute a huge force, has not attracted enough attention. How to make better use of foreign direct investment and make full use of the external market forces the upgrading of industrial structure. It is an important problem that needs to be solved in the construction of Shanxi's open economy. Based on the reality of Shanxi's outward direct investment and upgrading of industrial structure, this paper constructs an upgrade of trade and technology. Domestic investment upgrading, employment upgrading four aspects of the industrial structure upgrade evaluation system, systematically analyze the role of foreign direct investment in industrial structure upgrading mechanism, through the construction of a time series model. Empirical analysis of the impact of FDI on the overall level of industrial structure upgrading in Shanxi Province, and through the impulse response analysis of trade path, technical path. The results show that the impact of FDI on the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure is not obvious in the short term. But in the long run, it has the continuous optimization and promotion function. The contribution degree of the foreign direct investment trade transmission path, technology transmission path, investment transmission path and employment transmission path is different. But the overall contribution is small. This paper believes that we should establish and improve the foreign investment strategy system, in the policy guidance, financial system, talent attraction and other aspects to provide long-term support for multinational investment enterprises. On the basis of trade exchanges, we should realize deeper bilateral economic cooperation through outward investment and increase technology-acquisition investment in developed countries. In addition, we should actively promote the transfer of surplus capacity, actively develop capacity cooperation with neighboring countries, and release resources for industrial upgrading. By improving the level and quality of foreign direct investment, the trade path, technical path, investment path and employment path can be brought into full play, and the industrial structure of Shanxi Province can be optimized and upgraded.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F125;F121.3
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