【摘要】：根據(jù)新經(jīng)濟地理學理論,地理距離是影響區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長收斂的重要因素,本文引入地理距離和技術(shù)進步等變量拓展了傳統(tǒng)索洛模型,分析了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的第三方效應(yīng),并采用空間滯后模型(SAR)、空間誤差模型(SEM)和空間杜賓模型(SDM),實證分析了1997—2013年間中國280個主要城市的經(jīng)濟增長收斂特征及其空間溢出效應(yīng)。結(jié)果表明:經(jīng)濟環(huán)境因素對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的影響較為顯著,其中儲蓄率、外商直接投資、人口增長率和技術(shù)進步均與經(jīng)濟增長存在顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系;同時地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長速度與該區(qū)初期產(chǎn)出負相關(guān),即初期產(chǎn)出較低的地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長速度較快,說明經(jīng)濟落后的地區(qū)比經(jīng)濟發(fā)達地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長速度相對更快,可見在全國范圍內(nèi)各大城市經(jīng)濟增長滿足條件收斂規(guī)律。研究還表明,地理距離是影響區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長收斂的重要因素,區(qū)域內(nèi)宏觀變量對周邊城市經(jīng)濟增長存在較強的溢出效應(yīng),即區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長存在較強的第三方效應(yīng)。分地區(qū)研究還表明,東部及中部地區(qū)的空間溢出效應(yīng)明顯高于西部地區(qū),但后者較前兩者經(jīng)濟增長的收斂速度相對更快。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文針對促進城市經(jīng)濟互動增長提出對策建議。
[Abstract]:According to the new economic geography theory, geographical distance is an important factor influencing the convergence of regional economic growth. In this paper, the traditional Solow model is extended by introducing geographical distance and technological progress, and the third party effect of regional economic growth is analyzed. Using spatial lag model (SAR),) and spatial error model (SEM) and spatial Dobbin model (SDM), the paper empirically analyzes the convergence characteristics and spatial spillover effects of economic growth in 280 major cities in China from 1997 to 2013. The results show that the influence of economic environment on regional economic growth is significant. Among them, savings rate, foreign direct investment, population growth rate and technological progress have significant positive correlation with economic growth. At the same time, the regional economic growth rate is negatively correlated with the initial output, that is, the economic growth rate of the region with lower initial output is faster, which indicates that the economic growth rate of the economically backward areas is relatively faster than that of the economically developed regions. Can be seen in the country-wide major cities to meet the economic growth conditions convergence law. The study also shows that geographical distance is an important factor affecting the convergence of regional economic growth, and that there is a strong spillover effect of regional macro variables on the economic growth of surrounding cities, that is, regional economic growth has a strong third-party effect. Regional studies also show that the spatial spillover effect in the eastern and central regions is significantly higher than that in the western region, but the convergence rate of the latter is faster than that of the former two regions. On this basis, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the interactive growth of urban economy.
【作者單位】： 華南師范大學經(jīng)濟與管理學院、(香江)國際金融研究中心;華南理工大學計算機科學與工程學院;華南師范大學經(jīng)濟與管理學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金青年項目“不同基礎(chǔ)條件下資本賬戶開放的金融風險及管理研究”(71303081) 全國統(tǒng)計科研計劃項目“非線性動態(tài)面板平滑轉(zhuǎn)換回歸模型:理論建模與金融應(yīng)用”(2013LY084) 中國博士后基金面上項目“資本賬戶開放的金融風險及管理研究”(2013M540669) 教育部人文社會科學研究青年基金項目“匯率調(diào)整之謎和我國經(jīng)常賬戶失衡研究:微觀基礎(chǔ)與動態(tài)效應(yīng)”(12YJC790006) 廣東省軟科學研究計劃項目“廣東省區(qū)域資本配置效率驅(qū)動高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級的動力和路徑研究”(2016A070705046)、廣東省軟科學研究計劃項目“廣東省高科技制造業(yè)產(chǎn)融結(jié)合效率及轉(zhuǎn)型升級方向研究”(2014A070704011) 華南師范大學哲學社會科學決策研究項目“國家一路一帶戰(zhàn)略中港澳的地位與作用研究”(JCYJ1507))資助
【分類號】：F224;F299.2

【相似文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 施炳展;冼國明;逯建;;地理距離通過何種途徑減少了貿(mào)易流量[J];世界經(jīng)濟;2012年07期

2 符淼;;地理距離和技術(shù)外溢效應(yīng)——對技術(shù)和經(jīng)濟集聚現(xiàn)象的空間計量學解釋[J];經(jīng)濟學(季刊);2009年04期

3 張浩然;衣保中;;地理距離與城市間溢出效應(yīng)——基于空間面板模型的經(jīng)驗研究[J];當代經(jīng)濟科學;2011年03期

4 林常青;;文化和地理距離對中國引進FDI的影響分析[J];現(xiàn)代商貿(mào)工業(yè);2014年13期

5 許和連;張萌;吳鋼;;文化差異、地理距離與主要投資國在我國的FDI空間分布格局[J];經(jīng)濟地理;2012年08期

6 綦建紅;楊麗;;中國OFDI的區(qū)位決定因素——基于地理距離與文化距離的檢驗[J];經(jīng)濟地理;2012年12期

7 肖慧敏;劉輝煌;;地理距離、企業(yè)異質(zhì)性與中國對外直接投資——基于“新”新經(jīng)濟地理視角[J];經(jīng)濟管理;2012年10期

8 張浩然;;地理距離、集聚外部性與勞動生產(chǎn)率——基于城市數(shù)據(jù)的空間面板計量分析[J];南方經(jīng)濟;2012年02期

9 李丹丹;汪濤;周輝;;基于不同時空尺度的知識溢出網(wǎng)絡(luò)結(jié)構(gòu)特征研究[J];地理科學;2013年10期

10 O淳癢，

本文編號：2357724