本文選題：蘭州市 + 商品房價格　； 參考：《蘭州財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：伴隨著我國城市化進(jìn)程的不斷加快,房地產(chǎn)市場尤其是商品房市場得到了快速的發(fā)展,作為國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),其發(fā)展?fàn)顩r不僅影響著一個城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展活力,更重要的是其深刻改變了人們的居住條件和居住環(huán)境。近年來我國商品房價格迅速上漲,從2010年至2016年,蘭州市商品房市場得到了長足的發(fā)展,銷售面積由242.51萬平方米增至676.55萬平方米,商品房銷售額從88.13億元增至427.26億元,竣工面積已達(dá)231.16萬平方米,城區(qū)最高均價已達(dá)9000元/平方米。但在蘭州市商品房市場日趨成熟的過程中,仍存在諸多問題,如商品房供給結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、保障性住房制度不完善,商品房價格偏高等等。然而查閱相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),關(guān)于商品房價格的研究多集中于東部沿海地區(qū),西部城市的相關(guān)研究較少,甘肅省省會蘭州市是絲綢之路經(jīng)濟(jì)帶上的重要節(jié)點城市,其經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況對于西部地區(qū)的發(fā)展具有較強(qiáng)的帶動作用,因此,對蘭州市商品房價格的影響因素進(jìn)行研究是有一定的積極意義。本文以國內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究為基礎(chǔ),對商品房市場的運行機(jī)制和價格波動研究進(jìn)行闡述,從內(nèi)部決定因素和外部影響因素兩個方面對影響商品房價格的主要因素進(jìn)行詳細(xì)分析。結(jié)合蘭州市城市概況以及蘭州市商品房市場發(fā)展歷程等理論分析依據(jù),對近些年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行選取和預(yù)處理,建立影響商品房價格的理論模型,利用相關(guān)分析、逐步回歸分析、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度分析,探究蘭州市商品房價格變動的內(nèi)在規(guī)律和發(fā)展趨勢,得出如下結(jié)論:推動蘭州市商品房價格上漲的影響因素排序為城鎮(zhèn)人口可支配收入、GDP、竣工面積、人均GDP、商品房銷售面積、商品房投資總額以及人口數(shù)量。最后本文根據(jù)研究結(jié)果和蘭州市社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展基本狀況,從發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)、提高居民收入、強(qiáng)化土地市場的管理、發(fā)展城市公共交通等方面提出一些合理化的建議與對策。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of urbanization in China, the real estate market, especially the commercial housing market, has been developed rapidly. As an important pillar industry of the national economy, its development not only affects the vitality of the economic development of a city. More importantly, it has profoundly changed people's living conditions and living environment. In recent years, the price of commercial housing in China has risen rapidly. From 2010 to 2016, the market of commercial housing in Lanzhou City has been greatly developed. The area of sale has increased from 2.4251 million square meters to 6.7655 million square meters, and the sales volume of commercial housing has increased from 8.813 billion yuan to 42.726 billion yuan. Completed area has reached 2.3116 million square meters, the highest average city price has reached 9000 yuan / square meter. However, there are still many problems in Lanzhou commercial housing market, such as unreasonable supply structure of commercial housing, imperfect system of affordable housing, high price of commercial housing and so on. However, according to the relevant documents, most of the studies on the price of commercial housing are concentrated in the eastern coastal areas, and the related studies of the western cities are relatively few. Lanzhou, the capital of Gansu Province, is an important node city in the Silk Road economic belt. Its economic situation has a strong driving effect on the development of the western region, therefore, it is of certain positive significance to study the influencing factors of the commercial housing price in Lanzhou. Based on the domestic and foreign related research, this paper expounds the operation mechanism and price fluctuation of the commercial housing market, and analyzes the main factors that affect the commodity housing price from two aspects: internal determinants and external factors. Based on the general situation of Lanzhou city and the development course of Lanzhou commercial housing market, this paper selects and preprocesses the relevant data in recent years, establishes the theoretical model that affects the commodity housing price, and makes use of the correlation analysis. Stepwise regression analysis, grey relational degree analysis, to explore the inherent law and development trend of the price changes of commercial housing in Lanzhou, The following conclusions are drawn: the influencing factors to promote the rise of commodity housing prices in Lanzhou are as follows: the disposable income of urban population (GDP), the completed area, the per capita GDP, the sales area of commercial housing, the total investment of commercial housing and the number of population. Finally, according to the research results and the basic situation of Lanzhou's social and economic development, this paper puts forward some reasonable suggestions and countermeasures from the aspects of developing economy, raising residents' income, strengthening the management of land market, developing urban public transportation and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F299.23

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