本文選題：能源效率 + 時空分異��； 參考：《華東師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：在全球性金融、環(huán)境和能源等危機的大背景下,"全球綠色新政及綠色經(jīng)濟計劃"的實施和"G20峰會"的召開,使能效議題真正進入了全球視野。目前,中國能源效率整體偏低、能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)不合理等傳統(tǒng)能源問題日益凸顯,成為約束中國經(jīng)濟綠色和低碳發(fā)展的最大障礙。而長三角城市群作為中國城市群的典型代表,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展長期嚴重依賴傳統(tǒng)能源、能源效率低下、能源供需矛盾尖銳都造成長三角城市群未來可持續(xù)發(fā)展堪憂的瓶頸。本文通過厘清能源效率內(nèi)涵、梳理能源效率相關(guān)研究進展,依據(jù)區(qū)域空間結(jié)構(gòu)理論和能源—經(jīng)濟—環(huán)境3E系統(tǒng)等理論,運用非期望產(chǎn)出SBM模型(與傳統(tǒng)的DEA-C2R對比),對長三角城市群26個城市的能源效率進行全面測度,從地理視角探討其時空分異特征,并運用Tobit模型分析各相關(guān)因子對長三角城市群能源效率的影響和作用,以期為長三角能源效率水平的提升、以及長三角城市群整體能源效率的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提供可資參考的建議。通過對長三角城市群能源效率的時空分異及影響因素進行分析,本文得到以下能源效率的模型運用與時空分異等若干結(jié)論:(1)與傳統(tǒng)DEA-C2R模型相比,充分考慮環(huán)境因子的非期望產(chǎn)出SBM模型所得結(jié)果更全面、更符合實際狀況;(2)從時間尺度來看,長三角城市群26個城市在2005-2014年間能源效率總體呈不斷提升態(tài)勢,但城市間能源效率差異隨著時間的推移呈現(xiàn)波動擴大狀態(tài);(3)從空間尺度來看,長三角城市群城市能源效率從2005年和2008年的以上海、蘇州為中心的極核式分布格局演變成為2011年和2014年的"南北普遍偏高、中部塌陷"的馬鞍式分布格局,說明在整個區(qū)域內(nèi),能源效率演變態(tài)勢由單中心向多中心轉(zhuǎn)變;長三角城市群在2005到2014年間,城市年均能源效率初步形成"以能源中效區(qū)大面積分布為主導(dǎo),低效區(qū)偏居西南一隅,能源較高效區(qū)分布于東部、南部"的空間分布格局。本文還重點探討了長三角城市群能源效率的影響因素,結(jié)果表明,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對長三角城市群能源效率提升具有至關(guān)重要的推動作用,資本深化和對外開放程度的加深不利于長三角城市群能源效率的改善。基于以上研究結(jié)果,本文提出五點建議:(1)因勢利導(dǎo)地繁榮和發(fā)展城市經(jīng)濟,實現(xiàn)"發(fā)展提效";(2)因地制宜地調(diào)整和優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),實現(xiàn)"轉(zhuǎn)型提效";(3)協(xié)同并進地優(yōu)化對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),實現(xiàn)"開放提效";(4)多措并舉地解決城市群中部區(qū)域能效低位問題,實現(xiàn)"分區(qū)提效";(5)循序漸進地健全城市群協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展機制,實現(xiàn)"協(xié)同提效"。本文共分為六個章節(jié):第一章主要闡述本文的研究背景和意義、研究內(nèi)容和思路框架、研究方法及研究特色;第二章重點厘清能源效率內(nèi)涵,梳理相關(guān)的理論基礎(chǔ)和國內(nèi)外研究進展,并針對現(xiàn)有文獻研究取向提出本文的研究視角;第三章在簡要概括長三角城市群這一研究范疇及其整體能源—經(jīng)濟—環(huán)境現(xiàn)狀基礎(chǔ)上,基于非期望產(chǎn)出SBM模型和傳統(tǒng)的DEA-C2R模型的對比分析,對長三角城市群能源效率進行測度;第四章從時間和空間角度對長三角城市群2005-2014年城市能源效率進行分析,探討其時空分異特征;第五章運用Tobit模型,定量分析各相關(guān)因子對長三角城市群能源效率的影響和作用;第六章為結(jié)論、政策建議及進一步的思考。
[Abstract]:In the context of global financial, environmental and energy crises, the implementation of the "global green new deal and green economic plan" and the "G20 summit" have made the energy efficiency issues really into the global vision. At present, China's energy efficiency is on the low side, the energy consumption structure is not reasonable and other traditional energy problems become increasingly prominent, and it has become a constraint on the Chinese economy. As the typical representative of green and low-carbon development, the Yangtze River Delta city group is a typical representative of the Chinese urban agglomeration. The economic development depends on the traditional energy for a long time. The energy efficiency is low and the contradiction of energy supply and demand is sharp. This article clarifies energy efficiency and combs energy efficiency by clarifying the connotation of energy efficiency. Based on the theory of regional spatial structure and the theory of energy economic environment 3E system and other theories, using the undesired output SBM model (compared with the traditional DEA-C2R), the energy efficiency of the 26 cities in the Yangtze River Delta city group is comprehensively measured, and the spatial and temporal characteristics of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta are discussed from the geographical perspective, and the correlation of each correlation is analyzed with the Tobit model. The effect of factors on the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is expected to provide a reference for the promotion of energy efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta and the coordinated development of the overall energy efficiency of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta. Compared with the traditional DEA-C2R model, the results of the unexpected output SBM model, which fully consider the environmental factors, are more comprehensive and more in line with the actual situation compared with the traditional DEA-C2R model. (2) from the time scale, the energy efficiency of the 26 cities of the Yangtze River Delta city group in the period of 2005-2014 years has been constantly improving, but the city is in the city. The difference of energy efficiency varies with time; (3) from the spatial scale, the urban energy efficiency of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta has evolved from the polar core distribution pattern centered on Shanghai and Suzhou in 2005 and 2008 as the saddle type distribution pattern of "the north and South high, the central collapse" in 2011 and 2014. In the whole region, the evolution trend of energy efficiency is changed from single center to multi center. In the period of 2005 to 2014, the annual average energy efficiency of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta has initially formed the spatial distribution pattern of "large area distribution of energy medium effect area, low efficiency zone in Southwest corner, more energy efficient area distributed in the East and South". The influence factors of the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration are discussed. The results show that the economic development level and the industrial structure have a vital role in promoting the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. The deepening of capital and the deepening of the opening to the outside world are not conducive to the improvement of the energy efficiency of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta. Based on the above research results, this paper proposes Five suggestions: (1) to promote the prosperity and development of the urban economy in the light of the situation, and to realize the "development efficiency"; (2) adjust and optimize the industrial structure in the light of local conditions and achieve "the effect of transformation"; (3) optimize the structure of the foreign trade and realize the "open effect" in cooperation and advance, and (4) to solve the problem of low energy efficiency in the central region of the urban agglomeration and realize the "partition efficiency"; (5) Step by step to improve the coordinated development mechanism of urban agglomeration and achieve synergy. This article is divided into six chapters. The first chapter mainly expounds the background and significance of the research, the content and thinking framework, the research methods and the research characteristics; the second chapter focuses on the definition of energy efficiency, combing the relevant theoretical basis and the research progress at home and abroad, In the third chapter, based on a brief summary of the research category and the overall energy economic environment status of the Yangtze River Delta city group, the third chapter measures the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration Based on the comparison and analysis of the unexpected output model and the traditional DEA-C2R model; and the fourth chapter is the analysis of the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. From the point of view of time and space, the energy efficiency of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta for 2005-2014 years is analyzed and its spatial and temporal characteristics are discussed. The fifth chapter uses the Tobit model to quantitatively analyze the influence and effect of the relevant factors on the energy efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration; the sixth chapter is the conclusion, the policy suggestion and the further thinking.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F426.2;F299.27

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