基于分形理論的南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)演變與優(yōu)化
本文選題:城鎮(zhèn)體系 + 南昌大都市區(qū) ; 參考:《東華理工大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:在這區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的時(shí)代,城市化進(jìn)程較快的地區(qū)城市逐漸聚集,同發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的城市群形成一樣,越來(lái)越多的發(fā)展中國(guó)家形成了大都市區(qū)、都市圈并迅速成長(zhǎng)。在面對(duì)國(guó)家“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略和推進(jìn)長(zhǎng)江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶及長(zhǎng)江中游城市群建設(shè)的重大機(jī)遇,江西省全面融入長(zhǎng)江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶,積極打造建設(shè)南昌大都市區(qū)。因此,對(duì)南昌都市圈城鎮(zhèn)體系等級(jí)規(guī)模、空間結(jié)構(gòu)等方面展開(kāi)研究是有很大的必要性和可行性的,對(duì)南昌都市圈的城鎮(zhèn)體系發(fā)展具有一定的借鑒意義。本文以南昌大都市區(qū)為研究對(duì)象,將研究單元細(xì)化到建制鎮(zhèn)級(jí)別,利用ArcGis、SPSS、Excel等軟件,采用城市首位度、分形方法測(cè)算了2000年、2010年、2013年南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系的規(guī)模級(jí)別分維數(shù)、空間結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)維數(shù)等,從中分析南昌大都市區(qū)空間結(jié)構(gòu)的演變特征;從自然地理?xiàng)l件、產(chǎn)業(yè)狀況、交通狀況、政策制度等方面分析南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)的影響因素,并提出優(yōu)化南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間布局的對(duì)策建議,推動(dòng)南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。主要結(jié)論有:(1)南昌市大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系等級(jí)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)育不均衡。首先城鎮(zhèn)體系首位度高,等級(jí)規(guī)模差異過(guò)大,結(jié)構(gòu)不完善,2013年,核心城鎮(zhèn)南昌市區(qū)城區(qū)常住人口達(dá)到223.74萬(wàn)人,占絕對(duì)主導(dǎo)地位,2000年、2010年大都市區(qū)內(nèi)中心城鎮(zhèn)缺位,2013年僅有的一個(gè)中心城鎮(zhèn)撫州市區(qū)常住人口50.69萬(wàn)人;其次中間序位城鎮(zhèn)發(fā)育薄弱,2013年重點(diǎn)城鎮(zhèn)有22個(gè),城區(qū)常住人口合計(jì)140.87萬(wàn)人,約占南昌大都市區(qū)總常住人口的14.35%,而一般城鎮(zhèn)共130個(gè),城區(qū)常住人口合計(jì)354.63萬(wàn)人,約占南昌大都市區(qū)總常住人口的36.13%;最后是小城鎮(zhèn)發(fā)展提升較快,中心城市缺位現(xiàn)象仍顯著,2000年、2010年中心城鎮(zhèn)個(gè)數(shù)均為零,2013年則出現(xiàn)一個(gè)中心城鎮(zhèn),而重點(diǎn)城鎮(zhèn)變化最大由2000年的9個(gè)增加到2013年的22個(gè);(2)2000年、2010年、2013年南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系規(guī)模分維值D分別為1.3403、1.2517、1.2998,均大于1,表明南昌大都市區(qū)內(nèi)城鎮(zhèn)規(guī)模級(jí)別結(jié)構(gòu)較為集中,首位城市壟斷水平較高,演變過(guò)程中極化作用明顯;將2000年、2010年、2013年南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系規(guī)模分維值D進(jìn)行比較,可得出分維整體呈現(xiàn)遞減趨勢(shì)。雖然分維值均大于1,但是呈現(xiàn)遞減趨勢(shì),表明南昌大都市區(qū)雖呈極核結(jié)構(gòu),但其聚集作用和輻射作用有所降低;以南昌市區(qū)為測(cè)算中心測(cè)得的聚集維數(shù)是0.7395,其分維數(shù)均符合D2,且偏小小于1,表明隨著核心聚集發(fā)展,空間布局演變一直處于不平衡發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài);南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系容量維和信息維分別為1.5653、1.5055,測(cè)定系數(shù)分別為0.9914、0.9978,容量維和信息維均處于1D2,D值略微偏小,演變過(guò)程中空間分布均衡性有所改善,目前均衡性仍屬于偏中低;南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)聯(lián)維數(shù)為0.2778趨近于0,發(fā)展過(guò)程中核心都市區(qū)聚集度高,而非核心區(qū)域關(guān)聯(lián)度低。(3)南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)演變的影響因素:南昌大都市區(qū)中部地區(qū)地勢(shì)平坦,水系發(fā)達(dá),城鎮(zhèn)規(guī)模較大且空間分布密集,而西北部山體較多,東北部水水域面積大,城鎮(zhèn)規(guī)模小且空間分布松散;區(qū)域內(nèi)鐵路、高速網(wǎng)絡(luò)分布不均勻,交通通達(dá)性以南昌市區(qū)為核心往四周逐漸降低,核心城鎮(zhèn)交通壓力大,小城鎮(zhèn)通達(dá)性及區(qū)域聯(lián)系較弱;2012-2015年南昌大都市區(qū)的三產(chǎn)水平均為“二、三、一”,但服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)相持平或超越的趨勢(shì)性愈發(fā)明顯,大都市區(qū)內(nèi)各城市產(chǎn)業(yè)支柱上出現(xiàn)了大比例重合,且產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間布局存在交叉重疊化,對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展產(chǎn)生反作用力;相關(guān)的發(fā)展規(guī)劃促進(jìn)了南昌市一些周邊地方抱團(tuán)發(fā)展,積極融入南昌經(jīng)濟(jì)圈,但各地政府為了追求本地區(qū)利益最大化而忽略區(qū)域內(nèi)專(zhuān)業(yè)化分工,造成了大都市區(qū)內(nèi)的重復(fù)建設(shè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)趨同。(4)南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)演變過(guò)程中存在的問(wèn)題:首位城市一極極化現(xiàn)象顯著,即城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)呈現(xiàn)結(jié)核結(jié)構(gòu);城鎮(zhèn)體系結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展不均衡,城市體系空間分布較為松散;核心城鎮(zhèn)發(fā)展優(yōu)勢(shì)突出,但大都市區(qū)內(nèi)城際聯(lián)系不強(qiáng);大都市區(qū)處于初級(jí)極核發(fā)展階段,且核心城鎮(zhèn)吸引力呈下降趨勢(shì)。(5)南昌大都市區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)體系空間結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的對(duì)策與建議:加快核心城鎮(zhèn)的發(fā)展,加速大都市區(qū)城市化進(jìn)程;培育有潛力的次級(jí)中心城市,發(fā)展區(qū)域新增長(zhǎng)極;優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化;建立健全交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,加強(qiáng)區(qū)域交通體系的網(wǎng)絡(luò)性建設(shè);加強(qiáng)形成網(wǎng)絡(luò)化與極化共同發(fā)展的遠(yuǎn)景空間結(jié)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of the regional economy, gradually gathered the process of rapid city areas of the city, the city group formed with the developed countries, more and more developing countries formed the metropolitan area, metropolitan area and the rapid growth in the face of the country. "The Belt and Road" strategy and promote the construction of the Yangtze River economic belt and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River City Group The major opportunity, Jiangxi Province integrated into the Yangtze River Economic Zone, and actively build the construction of the Nanchang metropolitan area. Therefore, it is necessary and feasible to study the scale scale and spatial structure of the urban system of Nanchang metropolitan area. It has certain reference significance to the development of the urban body system of the Nanchang metropolitan area. This paper takes Nanchang as a big part. The urban area is the research object, and the research unit is refined to the town level. Using ArcGis, SPSS, Excel and other software, the fractal method is used to calculate the scale dimension of the urban system in 2000, 2010 and 2013, and the correlation dimension of the spatial structure in the metropolitan area of Nanchang in 2013. The evolution of the spatial structure of the metropolitan area in Nanchang is analyzed. Characteristics of the urban system spatial structure in Nanchang metropolitan area from the aspects of natural geographical conditions, industrial conditions, traffic conditions, policy and system, and put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to optimize the spatial distribution of urban system in Nanchang metropolitan area, and promote the coordinated development of the urban system space structure in the metropolitan area of Nanchang. The main conclusions are: (1) South The urban system level structure of Changshi metropolitan area is unevenly developed. First of all, the urban system has high priority, the scale and scale are too big and the structure is not perfect. In 2013, the resident population of Nanchang urban district of the core town reached 2 million 237 thousand and 400 people, which accounted for the absolute dominant position. In 2000, the central town was absent in the metropolitan area in 2010 and the only center in 2013. There are 506 thousand and 900 permanent residents in urban Fuzhou urban area; secondly, the middle sequence towns are weak in development. There are 22 key cities and towns in 2013. The total urban resident population is 1 million 408 thousand and 700, accounting for 14.35% of the total permanent residents in the Nanchang metropolitan area. There are 130 general towns and 3 million 546 thousand and 300 urban permanent residents, accounting for 36 of the total resident population in the Nanchang metropolitan area. .13%, in the end, the development of small cities and towns is rising rapidly, and the absence of central cities is still significant. In 2000, the number of central towns in 2010 was zero, and in 2013 a central town appeared, while the largest change in key towns increased from 9 in 2000 to 22 in 2013; (2) 2000 and 2010, the scale fractal value of urban system in Nanchang metropolitan area was D points. 1.3403,1.2517,1.2998, which is more than 1, shows that the scale structure of cities and towns in Nanchang metropolitan area is more concentrated, the first urban monopoly level is higher and the polarization effect is obvious in the process of evolution. The fractal dimension of urban system in Nanchang metropolitan area in 2000, 2010 and 2013 can be compared, although the overall dimension of fractal dimension can be reduced. The fractal dimension value is more than 1, but it shows a decreasing trend. It shows that although the metropolitan area in Nanchang is polar nuclear structure, its aggregation and radiation effects are reduced, and the aggregation dimension measured by Nanchang city as a measuring center is 0.7395, and its fractal dimension is in accordance with D2, and it is less than 1. Unbalanced development state; the urban system capacity of urban system in Nanchang metropolitan area is 1.5653,1.5055, the measurement coefficient is 0.9914,0.9978 respectively, the capacity dimension and information dimension are all in 1D2, the D value is slightly smaller, the spatial distribution equilibrium in the process of evolution is improved, and the equilibrium still belongs to the middle and low level; the urban system of the metropolitan area of Nanchang is empty. The correlation dimension of the inter structure is 0.2778 near 0, the core metropolitan area is high in the development process, but not in the core area. (3) the influence factors of the spatial structure evolution of the urban system in Nanchang metropolitan area: the central area of the Nanchang metropolitan area is flat, the water system is developed, the size of the town is large and the spatial distribution is dense, and the Northwest Mountain Area In the northeast, the water area of the northeast is large, the size of town is small and the spatial distribution is loose; the railway in the region is not evenly distributed at the high speed network. The traffic accessibility takes Nanchang as the core to decrease gradually, the traffic pressure of the core towns is great, the accessibility and regional connection of the small towns are weak; the three production level of the metropolitan area in 2012-2015 years is all "three" Two, three, one ", but the tendency of service industry and manufacturing industry to be flat or transcendent is becoming more and more obvious. There is a large proportion of reclosing on the industrial props in metropolitan areas, and the spatial distribution of the industry is overlapping and overlapping, which has a negative effect on the development of the urban system space structure; the related development planning has promoted some surrounding Nanchang. The local government has developed into the Nanchang economic circle, but the local governments ignore the specialized division of labor in the region in order to maximize the interests of the region, which has caused the repeated construction in the metropolitan area and the convergence of the industrial structure. (4) the problems in the evolution process of the urban system spatial structure in the metropolitan area of Nanchang: the first polar polarization phenomenon Significant, that is, urban system spatial structure presents the structure of tuberculosis; urban system structure development is not balanced, urban system space distribution is relatively loose; the development advantages of the core towns are prominent, but the intercity links in the metropolitan area are not strong; the metropolitan area is in the primary stage of nuclear development, and the attraction of the core cities and towns is declining. (5) Nanchang metropolitan area city The countermeasures and suggestions for the optimization of the spatial structure of the town system are as follows: accelerating the development of the core towns, accelerating the urbanization process in the metropolitan area, cultivating the potential secondary central cities, developing the new regional growth pole, optimizing the industrial structure, promoting the economic integration, establishing and improving the traffic infrastructure, strengthening the network construction of the regional traffic system, strengthening the formation of the formation of the regional traffic system and strengthening the formation of the network. The long-term spatial structure of the joint development of networking and polarization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東華理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F299.27
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