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經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中城市化與大氣污染曲線擬合相關性研究——以內(nèi)蒙古呼和浩特市為例

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-01 20:49

  本文選題:城市化 + 大氣污染。 參考:《干旱區(qū)資源與環(huán)境》2017年11期


【摘要】:呼和浩特市作為我國北方干旱區(qū)主要核心城市之一,其在經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展的同時,特別是城市化進程所帶來的環(huán)境問題亦越來越受到多方關注。文中基于環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線(EKC)理論,分析探討了在1996-2015年時間序列內(nèi),呼和浩特市城市化與大氣污染的曲線擬合相關性關系。結(jié)果表明:呼和浩特市現(xiàn)正處于城市化飛速發(fā)展時期,而在今后一段時期內(nèi)這一趨勢仍將延續(xù);通過構(gòu)建三次多項式模型發(fā)現(xiàn),呼和浩特市城市化與大氣污染的曲線擬合表現(xiàn)為"U型"的特殊曲線關系,其中可吸入顆粒物(PM10)為大氣環(huán)境污染的主要貢獻因子,屬于典型的顆粒物型污染城市,即在城市化發(fā)展較為緩慢的初期,大氣環(huán)境污染降低,而后隨著城市化進程加快,經(jīng)濟持續(xù)快速發(fā)展,大氣環(huán)境污染問題開始凸顯,但行之有效的防治措施使得這種上升趨勢并不十分顯著。
[Abstract]:Hohhot is one of the main core cities in arid areas of northern China. With the rapid economic development, especially the environmental problems brought by the urbanization process, more and more attention has been paid to Hohhot. Based on the EKCtheory of environmental Kuznets curve, the relationship between urbanization and air pollution in Hohhot from 1996 to 2015 is analyzed and discussed. The results show that Hohhot is in the period of rapid development of urbanization, but this trend will continue for some time to come. The curve fitting between urbanization and air pollution in Hohhot shows a special curve relation of "U type", in which inhalable particulate matter (PM10) is the main contributing factor of atmospheric environmental pollution and belongs to a typical particulate pollution city. That is, in the early stage of the slow development of urbanization, the atmospheric environmental pollution decreases, then with the acceleration of the urbanization process and the sustained and rapid development of the economy, the problem of atmospheric environmental pollution begins to highlight. But the effective prevention and cure measure causes this kind of upward trend not very remarkable.
【作者單位】: 內(nèi)蒙古財經(jīng)大學資源與環(huán)境經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】:內(nèi)蒙古高等學?茖W研究"黨的十八大精神研究"重點專項項目(NJZX13) 內(nèi)蒙古高等學校"青年科技英才支持計劃"(NJYT-14-B16)資助
【分類號】:F299.27;X51

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