本文選題：工資水平 + 人口紅利��； 參考：《現(xiàn)代管理科學》2017年11期

【摘要】：文章以我國省際1995年-2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù)為樣本建立動態(tài)面板模型,采用差分GMM和系統(tǒng)GMM兩種方法對模型進行估計,以此分析中國經(jīng)濟增長的實踐經(jīng)驗。研究結果表明:(1)我國工資水平與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在顯著負相關關系;(2)實際利率水平與工資水平存在正向關系,但參數(shù)估計值較小。人民幣匯率的升值降低了勞動者的平均工資水平;(3)壓低勞動力成本的方式來換取經(jīng)濟的高速增長是我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的階段性表現(xiàn)。文章認為,我國目前處于"低工資"向"高工資"轉變的過渡時期。消費主導經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展模式將是未來政策的主要導向。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data from 1995 to 2015, a dynamic panel model is established in this paper. Two methods, differential GMM and systematic GMM, are used to estimate the model so as to analyze the practical experience of China's economic growth. The results show that there is a significant negative correlation between wage level and economic growth in China. (2) there is a positive relationship between real interest rate level and wage level, but the parameter estimate is small. The appreciation of the RMB exchange rate reduces the average wage level of the laborer and reduces the labor cost in exchange for the rapid economic growth which is the stage performance of China's economic development. The article holds that our country is in the transition period of "low wage" to "high wage". The development pattern of consumption leading economy will be the main direction of future policy.
【作者單位】： 對外經(jīng)濟貿易大學國際經(jīng)濟貿易學院;
【分類號】：C924.2;F124;F249.24
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本文編號：1790927