本文選題：人口城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點(diǎn)：土地城鎮(zhèn)化　出處：《湘潭大學(xué)學(xué)報(哲學(xué)社會科學(xué)版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：人口與土地城鎮(zhèn)化異步發(fā)展困局是城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展中的難題,東部土地城鎮(zhèn)化模式能否成功復(fù)制到中西部區(qū)域,從而有效地帶動人口城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展呢?運(yùn)用塞爾指數(shù)從空間和時間兩個維度來分析人口與土地城鎮(zhèn)化的協(xié)調(diào)度,發(fā)現(xiàn)區(qū)域內(nèi)部差異要大于區(qū)域間差異,西部區(qū)域差異明顯要大于東中部區(qū)域,西部地區(qū)土地城鎮(zhèn)化的加速擴(kuò)張并沒有促進(jìn)人口城鎮(zhèn)化的同步增長。并運(yùn)用1990—2012年284個城市面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實證分析,經(jīng)驗研究表明:土地城鎮(zhèn)化顯著拉動了人口城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程,并隨著分位數(shù)的提高影響系數(shù)增大。從區(qū)域來看,東中部地區(qū)土地城鎮(zhèn)化對人口城鎮(zhèn)化具有拉動效應(yīng),而西部地區(qū)并不顯著;從城市規(guī)模來看,大中城市土地城鎮(zhèn)化顯著促進(jìn)了人口城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展,而小城市并不顯著。土地城鎮(zhèn)化對于人口城鎮(zhèn)化的吸納作用存在空間異質(zhì)性,西部城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展不能簡單復(fù)制東部城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展模式,應(yīng)實行差異化的區(qū)域城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,強(qiáng)化大中型城市對于人口的吸納作用,市場與政府雙重合力下的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展更多地要發(fā)揮市場機(jī)制,遵循城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展規(guī)律。
[Abstract]:The asynchronous development of population and land urbanization is a difficult problem in the development of urbanization. Can the model of land urbanization in eastern China be successfully replicated to the central and western regions so as to effectively promote the development of population urbanization?Using Searle index to analyze the coordination degree of population and land urbanization from two dimensions of space and time, it is found that the regional difference is greater than the inter-regional difference, and the western regional difference is obviously greater than that of the eastern and central regions.The accelerated expansion of land urbanization in western China has not promoted the simultaneous growth of population urbanization.The empirical analysis of 284 urban panel data from 1990 to 2012 shows that the urbanization of land has significantly promoted the process of population urbanization and the influence coefficient increases with the increase of quantiles.From a regional point of view, land urbanization in the eastern and central regions has a pull effect on population urbanization, while the western region is not significant. In terms of urban scale, land urbanization in large and medium-sized cities has significantly promoted the development of population urbanization.Small cities are not significant.There is spatial heterogeneity in the role of land urbanization in the absorption of population urbanization. The development of urbanization in the west can not simply replicate the development model of urbanization in the east, but should implement the differentiated regional urbanization development strategy.In order to strengthen the role of large and medium-sized cities in absorbing the population, the development of urbanization under the combination of market and government should give full play to the market mechanism and follow the law of urbanization development.
【作者單位】： 湘潭大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金一般項目“城鎮(zhèn)化背景下糧食結(jié)構(gòu)性失衡應(yīng)對政策研究”(項目編號:16BJY105) 湖南省社會科學(xué)成果評審委員會重點(diǎn)項目“城鎮(zhèn)化結(jié)構(gòu)均衡發(fā)展機(jī)理與實現(xiàn)路徑研究”(項目編號:XSP17ZDI028)
【分類號】：C924.2;F299.23

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