本文選題：克強(qiáng)指數(shù)　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平　出處：《中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：2017年1月,一則"遼寧省政府公開承認(rèn)GDP造假"的新聞在社會(huì)上引起了巨大反響。關(guān)于經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的真實(shí)性再次引發(fā)了社會(huì)公眾的質(zhì)疑。"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"的誕生則是為了消除人們對(duì)于政府公布的GDP的疑慮,更加真實(shí)的還原國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展情況。"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"一詞最早來自于2007年時(shí)任職遼寧省委書記的李克強(qiáng)總理考核遼寧省整體經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況的一種方法,它起初由3個(gè)基礎(chǔ)指標(biāo)——工業(yè)用電量、銀行中長(zhǎng)期貸款發(fā)放量、鐵路貨運(yùn)量構(gòu)成。之后在2015年的政府工作報(bào)告上,李克強(qiáng)總理將3個(gè)基本指標(biāo)變更為:研究與試驗(yàn)發(fā)展經(jīng)費(fèi)支出占GDP比重、銀行中長(zhǎng)期貸款發(fā)放量、能耗強(qiáng)度。本文的主要工作在于借鑒花旗銀行編制第一代"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"的方法和目的,構(gòu)造第二代"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"。本文首先通過Pearson相關(guān)性檢驗(yàn)和回歸理論證明3個(gè)基礎(chǔ)指標(biāo)的可靠性,接著使用主成分分析法、熵權(quán)法、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法3種方法完成初始賦權(quán)工作,之后通過合作博弈的方法完成第二代"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"的最終構(gòu)造,最后以"人均可支配收入"為參照標(biāo)桿,對(duì)第二代"克強(qiáng)指數(shù)"構(gòu)造的可行性加以驗(yàn)證。
[Abstract]:In January 2017, the news that the Liaoning provincial government publicly acknowledged the GDP fraud caused a huge social response.The authenticity of economic data has once again raised questions from the public. "The Keqiang Index was "created to dispel doubts about the government's announcement of GDP and to restore the country's economic development more realistically."The term "Ke Qiang Index" first came from a method used by Premier Li Keqiang, who was secretary of the Liaoning Provincial Party Committee in 2007, to assess the overall economic situation of Liaoning Province. It was initially made up of three basic indicators-industrial electricity consumption and the amount of medium- and long-term loans issued by banks.Railway freight volume composition.Then in the 2015 government work report, Premier Li Keqiang changed three basic indicators to: the proportion of research and experimental development expenditure to GDP, the amount of long-term loans issued by banks, and the intensity of energy consumption.The main work of this paper is to draw lessons from the method and purpose of compiling the first generation "Keqiang Index" by Citibank, and construct the second Generation "Keqiang Index".In this paper, the reliability of the three basic indexes is first proved by Pearson correlation test and regression theory, and then the three methods of principal component analysis, entropy weight and grey correlation analysis are used to complete the initial weighting work.Then the final construction of the second generation "Keqiang Index" is completed by the cooperative game method, and the feasibility of the second generation "Keqiang Index" is verified by taking "per capita disposable income" as the reference bar.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F124

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 趙立昌;;能源價(jià)格、能耗強(qiáng)度與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)[J];企業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年11期

2 張瀟方;張應(yīng)應(yīng);;克強(qiáng)指數(shù)反映中國經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)實(shí)狀況的優(yōu)越性研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2014年22期

3 劉慧;;“克強(qiáng)指數(shù)”與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系研究—基于VAR和VEC模型的實(shí)證分析[J];商業(yè)時(shí)代;2014年01期

4 李永剛;;財(cái)政科技投入對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響——基于研發(fā)(R&D)支出的實(shí)證分析[J];四川師范大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2011年06期

5 陳仲常;謝小麗;;中國GDP能源消耗強(qiáng)度變動(dòng)趨勢(shì)及影響因素解析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家;2011年06期

6 齊秀輝;張鐵男;武志勇;;中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與財(cái)政科技撥款、R&D經(jīng)費(fèi)支出的協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2011年04期

7 劉海鶯;趙瑩;;能源消費(fèi)與中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2011年03期

8 鄒筱;趙鋒;;基于變權(quán)Shapley值的合作博弈賦權(quán)方法[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2010年08期

9 趙立雨;師萍;;政府財(cái)政研發(fā)投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)——基于1989-2007年的數(shù)據(jù)分析[J];中國軟科學(xué);2010年02期

10 韓愛華;;擴(kuò)大信貸投放與GDP增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系:對(duì)上海市的實(shí)證研究[J];上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2009年09期

，

本文編號(hào)：1706290