本文關(guān)鍵詞：“上九小區(qū)”房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究　出處：《東北石油大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：近年來(lái),隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的又好又快發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)正處于快速發(fā)展的過程中。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)作為支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈長(zhǎng),關(guān)聯(lián)度大,能直接或間接地帶動(dòng)多個(gè)上下游產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。因其開發(fā)具有投資周期長(zhǎng)、投資額大、影響因素多等特點(diǎn),被認(rèn)為是一種特殊的商品。在開發(fā)過程中不確定因素較多,項(xiàng)目的收益具有很大的不確定性。面對(duì)繁多的潛在風(fēng)險(xiǎn),開發(fā)商能否及時(shí)地加以識(shí)別并科學(xué)評(píng)估,進(jìn)而制定切實(shí)有效的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范措施,這對(duì)于項(xiàng)目能否順利進(jìn)行、進(jìn)而保障正常收益都是至關(guān)重要的。在項(xiàng)目開發(fā)的整個(gè)生命周期,不同階段存在著不同的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),在不同階段應(yīng)該對(duì)不同的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行識(shí)別、評(píng)價(jià)并采取防范措施,全程監(jiān)控風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài),規(guī)避或者減少風(fēng)險(xiǎn)發(fā)生的概率,降低項(xiàng)目開發(fā)的成本,提高項(xiàng)目開發(fā)效益。因此對(duì)房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行科學(xué)的識(shí)別、評(píng)價(jià)與控制是十分必要的。為了深入研究房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理,本文在系統(tǒng)研究項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,選取“上東九號(hào)”小區(qū)房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目為研究對(duì)象。全文共分六部分:第1部分論述了課題研究背景和研究意義,從國(guó)內(nèi)外角度對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了述評(píng),闡述了論文研究方法、內(nèi)容與結(jié)構(gòu);第2部分闡述了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ),為后文研究做了理論鋪墊;第3部分介紹了項(xiàng)目基本情況;第4部分基于不同階段存在著不同的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),從項(xiàng)目開發(fā)前期、施工階段、銷售階段分別對(duì)“上東九號(hào)”小區(qū)房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別;第5部分運(yùn)用定量和定性相結(jié)合的方法,分階段對(duì)該項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià)分析;第6部分在對(duì)該項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行識(shí)別、評(píng)價(jià)的基礎(chǔ)上,分階段提出了有針對(duì)性的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the sound and rapid development of China's economy, the real estate industry is in the process of rapid development. As a pillar industry, the real estate industry has a long industrial chain and a large degree of correlation. It can directly or indirectly drive the development of many upstream and downstream industries, because of its long investment cycle, large investment, and many influencing factors. It is considered to be a special commodity. In the process of development there are many uncertain factors and the income of the project has great uncertainty. In the face of a variety of potential risks, developers can identify and scientifically evaluate them in time. And then make effective risk prevention measures, which is crucial to the smooth progress of the project, and then ensure the normal income. In the whole life cycle of the project development, there are different risks in different stages. In different stages, different risks should be identified, evaluated and taken preventive measures to monitor the development of risk, avoid or reduce the probability of risk, and reduce the cost of project development. Therefore, it is necessary to identify, evaluate and control the risks of real estate development projects. This paper is based on the systematic study of project risk management theory. The thesis is divided into six parts: the first part discusses the background and significance of the research. From the point of view of home and abroad, this paper reviews the related literature on risk management, and expounds the research methods, contents and structure of the paper. The second part expounds the theoretical basis of risk management, and makes a theoretical foundation for the later research. The third part introduces the basic situation of the project; The fourth part is based on different stages of the existence of different risks, from the project development stage, construction phase, sales phase of the "Shangdong 9" real estate development project risk identification; The fifth part uses the quantitative and qualitative methods to evaluate and analyze the risk of the project in stages. In the sixth part, on the basis of identifying and evaluating the risk of the project, the corresponding risk prevention measures are put forward in stages.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北石油大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23
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本文編號(hào)：1377165