本文關(guān)鍵詞：工資扭曲、種群密度與企業(yè)成長:基于企業(yè)生命周期的動態(tài)分析　出處：《中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟》2017年10期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 工資扭曲 種群密度 企業(yè)成長 生命周期 生存分析

【摘要】：企業(yè)的大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰退構(gòu)成了中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展背后的獨特圖景,與中國經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型背景下的工資扭曲等制度特征緊密相關(guān)。在已有研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文引入企業(yè)生命周期的動態(tài)視角,探討了工資扭曲、種群密度與企業(yè)成長之間的作用機制,并基于中國工業(yè)企業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)庫中的新創(chuàng)企業(yè)樣本,使用生存分析中的Cox PH模型和AFT模型對該機制進(jìn)行了檢驗。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):工資扭曲對企業(yè)成長同時具有促進(jìn)效應(yīng)和抑制效應(yīng),從初創(chuàng)期到成長成熟期,工資扭曲緩解了新創(chuàng)企業(yè)生存資源短缺的困境,對企業(yè)成長表現(xiàn)出較強的促進(jìn)效應(yīng),而同時期的抑制效應(yīng)卻比較弱,工資扭曲在整體上促進(jìn)了企業(yè)成長;進(jìn)入成長成熟期后,工資扭曲對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的擠出效應(yīng)日益增強,其產(chǎn)生的抑制效應(yīng)抵消了原有的促進(jìn)效應(yīng),工資扭曲對企業(yè)成長的整體影響不再顯著;種群密度在工資扭曲對企業(yè)成長的作用機制中具有負(fù)向調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng),但這種調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng)只在企業(yè)的初創(chuàng)期顯著。以上結(jié)論表明,工資扭曲可以提高初創(chuàng)期企業(yè)的生存概率,從而引致低種群密度條件下大量新創(chuàng)企業(yè)進(jìn)入;而工資扭曲對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的抑制效應(yīng)以及種群密度產(chǎn)生的負(fù)向調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng)卻加大了企業(yè)的退出風(fēng)險;工資扭曲和種群密度在一定程度上解釋了中國企業(yè)大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰退的現(xiàn)象。
[Abstract]:The emergence of large numbers of enterprises and rapid recession constitute a unique picture behind the economic development of China, closely related to the system characteristics of wage distortion in the context of China's economic transformation. This paper introduces the dynamic perspective of enterprise life cycle, discusses the mechanism between wage distortion, population density and enterprise growth, and based on the new enterprise samples in the database of Chinese industrial enterprises. Cox PH model and AFT model in survival analysis are used to test the mechanism. It is found that wage distortion has both promotive and inhibitory effects on firm growth. From the initial period to the mature period, wage distortion alleviates the plight of the shortage of survival resources, and has a strong promoting effect on the growth of the enterprise, but the inhibition effect of the same period is relatively weak. The distortion of wages promotes the growth of enterprises as a whole; In the period of growth and maturity, the extrusion effect of wage distortion on technological innovation is increasing day by day, which counteracts the original promotion effect, and the overall effect of wage distortion on the growth of enterprises is no longer significant. The population density has negative regulation effect in the mechanism of wage distortion on firm growth, but this adjustment effect is significant only in the initial stage of enterprise. Wage distortion can increase the survival probability of the start-up enterprises, which leads to the entry of a large number of new enterprises under the condition of low population density. However, the inhibition effect of wage distortion on technological innovation and the negative adjustment effect of population density increase the exit risk of enterprises. Wage distortions and population density partly explain the emergence and rapid decline of Chinese firms.
【作者單位】： 武漢大學(xué)經(jīng)濟與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金面上項目“市場分割狀態(tài)下的中國民營企業(yè)成長機制:非正式制度與國際化的聯(lián)動效應(yīng)”(批準(zhǔn)號71273202)
【分類號】：F249.24;F425
【正文快照】： 一、問題提出在經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型的時代背景下,中國企業(yè)的成長呈現(xiàn)出“大量涌現(xiàn)與快速衰亡”的特征,即“新創(chuàng)企業(yè)大量涌現(xiàn)、原有企業(yè)快速衰亡”。據(jù)有關(guān)資料顯示(1),僅在2002—2012年中國內(nèi)資企業(yè)數(shù)量就增長了近1倍,私營企業(yè)數(shù)量增長了4.1倍;但中國企業(yè)的平均生存時間僅為6.1年,民營企，

本文編號：1372237