本文關(guān)鍵詞：渤海海峽跨海通道建設(shè)對環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心的影響——基于物流GDP增加值測算　出處：《地理研究》2017年08期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 渤海海峽跨海通道 經(jīng)濟(jì)重心 物流GDP增加值 物流經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系強(qiáng)度 環(huán)渤海地區(qū)

【摘要】：將渤海海峽跨海通道與環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心相關(guān)聯(lián),引入時間序列預(yù)測方法、重心理論模型及修正引力模型,收集中國經(jīng)行渤海通道的省際物流交流量數(shù)據(jù)以及環(huán)渤海地區(qū)89座城市1990-2014年的GDP數(shù)據(jù)并加以預(yù)測,根據(jù)物流交流總量、時間節(jié)省成本測算89座城市的物流GDP增加值作為渤海通道建設(shè)的直接經(jīng)濟(jì)效益,在此基礎(chǔ)上對未來環(huán)渤海地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)重心變化進(jìn)行分析。結(jié)論如下:(1)渤海通道建成前,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心的運(yùn)動方向總體為"西南→西北",且隨時間變化,移動距離、變化速率均在減緩,但區(qū)域失衡持續(xù)存在。(2)渤海通道建成后,結(jié)合對有無渤海通道影響的假定分析發(fā)現(xiàn),環(huán)渤海地區(qū)內(nèi)部的經(jīng)濟(jì)平衡性不斷改善,經(jīng)濟(jì)重心延續(xù)向西北方向移動的趨勢但出現(xiàn)小幅滯后,表明僅考慮物流經(jīng)濟(jì),通道建設(shè)暫時不會對環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心變動方向產(chǎn)生根本影響。進(jìn)一步測度城市間物流經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系強(qiáng)度發(fā)現(xiàn),受距離衰減規(guī)律作用,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心向幾何重心的移動速率有所減緩。(3)影響經(jīng)濟(jì)重心變化逐漸放緩的主要因素為城市經(jīng)濟(jì)總量和物流運(yùn)輸?shù)臅r空壓縮效益。(4)引入"力的合成與分解"理論分析重心平移變化機(jī)理及演進(jìn)過程,預(yù)測指出未來環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)重心向東北方向移動的趨勢要受到渤海通道綜合空間經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)的影響,其對東北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇與振興將產(chǎn)生一定的積極作用。
[Abstract]:The Bohai Strait Sea Road and ring economic center Bohai Area Association introduced the time series forecast method, theory of gravity model and modified gravity model, Chinese collected by GDP data exchange data for Bohai provincial logistics channel and ring 89 in Bohai city for 1990-2014 years and to forecast, according to the total logistics exchange, save time cost estimates for the 89 city logistics value added GDP as a direct economic benefit of Bohai channel construction, on the basis of the future economic gravity changes in Bohai area were analyzed. The conclusions are as follows: (1) the Bohai Sea before the completion of the general direction of movement, "southwest, northwest" economic center in Bohai area, and with the time change, moving distance, rate of change were slowing, but the regional imbalances persist. (2) Bohai channel after the completion of a Bohai channel effect assumption analysis found that the Bohai Haiti area economic balance continues to improve, the economic center continues to move northwest trend but a slight lag, that only considering the logistics economy, channel construction will not have a fundamental impact on the direction of the economic center ring Bohai area. To measure the inter city logistics strength of economic ties, by the distance attenuation effect, ring the economic center in Bohai area to the geometric center of moving rate slowed down. (3) the main factors affecting economic center of gravity changes gradually slowed down the compression efficiency for the city economy and space logistics transportation. (4) the focus shift mechanism and analysis of evolution process and the decomposition theory of "force, leading into the prediction that the next economic center ring Bohai area moving to the Northeast trend to be affected by the Bohai channel comprehensive spatial economic effects, the economic recovery and revitalization of Northeast China There will be a positive effect.

【作者單位】： 魯東大學(xué)資源與環(huán)境工程學(xué)院;魯東大學(xué)環(huán)渤海發(fā)展研究中心;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項目(41171096,41501129) 教育部人文社會科學(xué)研究規(guī)劃基金項目(15YJA790053)
【分類號】：F127;F259.27
【正文快照】： 1引言進(jìn)入21世紀(jì),隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)社會的高速發(fā)展,交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施進(jìn)入蓬勃建設(shè)時期,由此所引發(fā)的“時空壓縮”成為交通地理研究的熱點(diǎn)。為了獲得區(qū)際“時空壓縮”效益,整合區(qū)域空間關(guān)系[1],交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)出現(xiàn)兩大特征:(1)交通運(yùn)輸工具“高速化”,以鐵路提速及規(guī)劃開通高鐵、修建

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前3條

1 楊蕾;杜鵬;夏斌;;1979—2007年廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)重心與產(chǎn)業(yè)重心遷移對比研究[J];科技管理研究;2009年07期

2 陳惠雄;資源層次、經(jīng)濟(jì)重心與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的多元合作發(fā)展[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2004年08期

3 袁一丁;翟有龍;;南充市中心區(qū)的轉(zhuǎn)移與形成機(jī)制[J];現(xiàn)代城市研究;2007年11期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 廉瑩;我國經(jīng)濟(jì)重心與人口就業(yè)重心演變軌跡比較分析[D];吉林大學(xué);2007年

2 黃玲玲;1978-2010年廣西經(jīng)濟(jì)重心與人口、就業(yè)重心的空間變化[D];廣西師范學(xué)院;2014年

，

本文編號：1358357