英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長關系的實證研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-11-22 16:40
【摘要】:為了從理論角度探討英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與國民經(jīng)濟增長的內在作用機制,采用協(xié)整關系檢驗、誤差修正模型估計、格蘭杰因果關系驗證等計量方法,對英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間的長期均衡關系和短期動態(tài)關聯(lián)進行實證分析。結果表明:樣本期內英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長的水平時間序列是平穩(wěn)的,英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在長期均衡關系,英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展每提升1%,將帶動本國經(jīng)濟總量水平上升0.83%。英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長的短期拉動效應不可忽視,且英國良好的社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展環(huán)境也為進一步提高體育產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值創(chuàng)造了條件,兩者間存在比較顯著的雙向因果聯(lián)動關系,即短時期內英國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長間已經(jīng)形成了相互促進、彼此帶動、共同制約的作用機制。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the internal mechanism of the development of British sports industry and the growth of the national economy from the theoretical point of view, this paper adopts the measurement methods such as cointegration test, error correction model estimation, Granger causality test, etc. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between the development of British sports industry and economic growth. The results show that the time series of British sports industry development and economic growth in the sample period is stable, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the British sports industry development and economic growth. It will lead to a rise in the country's total economic output by 0. 83 percent. The short-term pulling effect of the development of British sports industry on economic growth can not be ignored, and the favorable social and economic development environment of Britain has created conditions for further raising the output value of sports industry, and there is a relatively significant two-way causal linkage between the two. That is to say, in a short period of time, the development of British sports industry and economic growth have formed a mutual promotion, mutual driving, common constraints mechanism.
【作者單位】: 重慶師范大學體育學院;聊城大學;
【基金】:重慶市教育委員會人文社會科學研究項目(14SKE05) 重慶市體育局科研項目(B201420)
【分類號】:G80-05
[Abstract]:In order to explore the internal mechanism of the development of British sports industry and the growth of the national economy from the theoretical point of view, this paper adopts the measurement methods such as cointegration test, error correction model estimation, Granger causality test, etc. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between the development of British sports industry and economic growth. The results show that the time series of British sports industry development and economic growth in the sample period is stable, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the British sports industry development and economic growth. It will lead to a rise in the country's total economic output by 0. 83 percent. The short-term pulling effect of the development of British sports industry on economic growth can not be ignored, and the favorable social and economic development environment of Britain has created conditions for further raising the output value of sports industry, and there is a relatively significant two-way causal linkage between the two. That is to say, in a short period of time, the development of British sports industry and economic growth have formed a mutual promotion, mutual driving, common constraints mechanism.
【作者單位】: 重慶師范大學體育學院;聊城大學;
【基金】:重慶市教育委員會人文社會科學研究項目(14SKE05) 重慶市體育局科研項目(B201420)
【分類號】:G80-05
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