本文選題：體育產(chǎn)業(yè) + 非線性��； 參考：《中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：本文首先從理論上刻畫了體育產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)影響就業(yè)的理論傳導(dǎo)機(jī)理,并進(jìn)一步選取1980—2015年樣本內(nèi)數(shù)據(jù),通過構(gòu)建體育產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)與失業(yè)率的非線性門檻模型,聯(lián)合包含捕捉結(jié)構(gòu)突變與平滑漸變點(diǎn)的非線性方法對(duì)序列進(jìn)行平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn),并利用完全修正最小二乘法和動(dòng)態(tài)最小二乘法實(shí)證分析了體育產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)對(duì)失業(yè)率的影響,結(jié)果表明,中國(guó)體育產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)能夠顯著降低失業(yè)率,且我國(guó)體育產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)對(duì)失業(yè)率的影響具有顯著的非線性及區(qū)制轉(zhuǎn)換特征,特別是依賴于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的變動(dòng)而產(chǎn)生非線性的影響,而且該區(qū)制轉(zhuǎn)換的位置處于實(shí)際GDP增長(zhǎng)率為5.8%和11.7%。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the theoretical transmission mechanism of sports industry structure upgrading affecting employment is described theoretically, and the data from 1980 to 2015 are selected to construct the nonlinear threshold model between the sports industry structure upgrading and the unemployment rate. The nonlinear method of capturing structural mutation and smoothing gradient points is used to test the smoothness of the sequence, and the influence of sports industry structure upgrading on the unemployment rate is analyzed by using the completely modified least square method and dynamic least square method. The results show that the upgrading of the sports industry structure in China can significantly reduce the unemployment rate, and the impact of the upgrading of the sports industry structure on the unemployment rate is significantly nonlinear and the characteristics of regional system transformation are significant. In particular, the nonlinear influence is caused by the change of economic development, and the position of system transition in this area is at the actual GDP growth rate of 5.8% and 11.7%.
【作者單位】： 商丘師范學(xué)院體育學(xué)院;中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】：F249.2;G80-05
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本文編號(hào)：1841053