【摘要】：近二十年來，氣候變暖給人類造成了巨大的傷害，成為全球關(guān)注的焦點問題。國際排放貿(mào)易機(jī)制、聯(lián)合履行機(jī)制和清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制是《京都議定書》下國際減排合作的三大協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制，旨在幫助各締約國以靈活的方式完成減排目標(biāo)。 在清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制下，中國是最大的核證減排量供給國但無完善的碳交易機(jī)制和市場，交易價格一直由發(fā)達(dá)國家主導(dǎo)，核證減排量國內(nèi)一級市場和國際二級市場價格長期存在大幅差額。在這種情況下，對一二級核證減排量市場價格關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析，可以明晰一二級核證減排量市場反映供求狀況的能力；在此基礎(chǔ)上，探究核證減排量市場價格影響因素，可以更深入具體的了解現(xiàn)階段我國碳交易價格形成機(jī)制，具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實意義。 基于此，本文采取理論分析與實證分析相結(jié)合的方法，對一二級核證減排量市場的價格關(guān)系進(jìn)行考察，并系統(tǒng)分析核證減排量市場價格的影響因素，進(jìn)一步提出完善碳交易的策略。論文主體首先考察了二級核證減排量市場發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、二級市場價格波動狀況及其影響因素；接著以國內(nèi)市場為對象，，對一級核證減排量市場價格進(jìn)行了分析。借助于協(xié)整分析和誤差修正模型等方法，實證分析一二級核證減排量市場價格關(guān)系，在此基礎(chǔ)上，系統(tǒng)分析影響一級核證減排量市場價格的因素。最后基于實證分析的結(jié)論，提出提高一級核證減排量供給質(zhì)量、建立完善的市場交易機(jī)制、優(yōu)化政府調(diào)控方式、培育本土中介和注重碳交易人才培養(yǎng)等發(fā)展完善我國碳交易市場的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the past two decades, global warming has caused great harm to human beings and become the focus of global attention. The international emission trading mechanism, the joint implementation mechanism and the clean development mechanism are the three major coordination mechanisms of the international emission reduction cooperation under the Kyoto Protocol, which aims to help the parties to achieve their emission reduction targets in a flexible manner. Under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), China is the largest supplier of CERs but does not have a sound carbon trading mechanism and market, with prices always dominated by developed countries. There is a large difference between the domestic primary market and the international secondary market price. In this case, an analysis of the market price relationship between the first and second levels of CERs could clarify the ability of the market for CERs to reflect the supply and demand situation; On this basis, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to explore the factors affecting the market price of CERs and to understand the price formation mechanism of carbon trading in China at this stage. Based on this, this paper adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to investigate the price relationship of the first and second level CERs market, and systematically analyzes the influencing factors of CER market price. Further put forward to improve the strategy of carbon trading. Firstly, the paper reviews the current situation of the second level CER market, the price fluctuation of the secondary market and its influencing factors, and then analyzes the market price of the first CER market with the domestic market as the object. With the help of cointegration analysis and error correction model, this paper empirically analyzes the market price relationship between the first and second levels of CERs. On this basis, the factors affecting the market price of CERs are systematically analyzed. Finally, based on the conclusion of empirical analysis, the paper proposes to improve the supply quality of CERs, to establish a perfect market trading mechanism, and to optimize government regulation and control. To develop and perfect China's carbon trading market, such as cultivating local intermediaries and paying attention to the training of carbon trading personnel.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F205;F832.51

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 戚婷婷;魯煒;;核證減排量現(xiàn)貨市場與期貨市場的價格發(fā)現(xiàn)[J];北京理工大學(xué)學(xué)報(社會科學(xué)版);2009年06期

2 黃明皓;李永寧;肖翔;;國際碳排放交易市場的有效性研究——基于CER期貨市場的價格發(fā)現(xiàn)和聯(lián)動效應(yīng)分析[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年11期

3 張云;楊來科;;國際碳排放權(quán)交易價格決定與最優(yōu)出口規(guī)模研究[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2011年07期

4 楊勝剛;成程;;清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制下核證減排量的定價分析[J];金融論壇;2011年05期

5 胡遲;;清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制中的融資模式探討[J];中國科技投資;2009年07期

6 林立;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)背景下國際碳金融市場發(fā)展及風(fēng)險研究[J];當(dāng)代財經(jīng);2012年02期

7 許廣永;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)下我國碳排放定價機(jī)制形成的障礙與對策[J];華東經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2010年09期

8 金樂琴;劉瑞;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)與中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式轉(zhuǎn)型[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)問題探索;2009年01期

9 陳曉紅;王陟昀;;歐洲碳排放權(quán)交易價格機(jī)制的實證研究[J];科技進(jìn)步與對策;2010年19期

10 王修華;趙越;;我國碳交易的定價困境及破解思路[J];理論探索;2010年03期

本文編號：2363041