發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-16 09:09

  本文選題：經(jīng)常賬戶 + 儲(chǔ)蓄��； 參考：《中南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：摘要：在過去的十年中,美國(guó)龐大的經(jīng)常賬戶赤字和中國(guó)的經(jīng)常賬戶盈余已經(jīng)成為世界經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡的一個(gè)重要標(biāo)志,吸引了很多經(jīng)濟(jì)分析家和政策制定者的關(guān)注,成為研究的熱點(diǎn)。 基于以上背景和2000年至2009年中美經(jīng)常賬戶的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),本文詳細(xì)地整理和分析了造成這一經(jīng)濟(jì)失衡現(xiàn)象的因素,來解釋各因素是如何影響經(jīng)常賬戶順逆差和其各自的影響比重；闡述了美國(guó)經(jīng)常賬戶和中國(guó)經(jīng)常賬戶的基本狀態(tài),以及在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)正常發(fā)展的情況下,龐大的赤字和盈余終將消失；闡明了決定經(jīng)常賬戶的兩個(gè)主要內(nèi)部因素——儲(chǔ)蓄和凈出口投資,與經(jīng)常賬戶之間的邏輯關(guān)系。本文的主要工作是運(yùn)用兩期跨期理論模型建立了投資消費(fèi)函數(shù),提出影響經(jīng)常賬戶的變量,分析各變量對(duì)經(jīng)常賬戶的影響并預(yù)測(cè)了中美經(jīng)常賬戶各自的發(fā)展傾向。這一模型能夠解釋經(jīng)常賬戶的變化,一些指標(biāo)尚有不足；本文應(yīng)用了蒙代爾-弗萊明-托賓模型和現(xiàn)金流動(dòng)機(jī)制,基于IS曲線,建立了經(jīng)常賬戶函數(shù),分析外生變量和內(nèi)生變量的短期影響,從而有效地彌補(bǔ)跨期理論模型的不足使模型分析接近現(xiàn)實(shí)市場(chǎng)力量作用下的狀態(tài)；應(yīng)用經(jīng)常賬戶函數(shù)結(jié)合圖形描述了中美經(jīng)常賬戶在市場(chǎng)力量和匯率變動(dòng)下從短期均衡到固定均衡的轉(zhuǎn)變。圖13副,表20個(gè),參考文獻(xiàn)60篇
[Abstract]:Abstract: in the past decade, the huge current account deficit of the United States and China's current account surplus have become an important symbol of the world economic imbalance, which has attracted the attention of many economic analysts and policy makers. Become the hot spot of research. Based on the above background and the current account data from 2000 to 2009, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the causes of this economic imbalance, to explain how each factor affects the current account balance and its respective impact. The basic status of the US current account and China's current account and the large deficits and surpluses will eventually disappear under the normal development of the global economy. The logical relationship between savings and net export investment and current account is clarified. The main work of this paper is to establish the investment consumption function by using the two-period intertemporal theoretical model, to put forward the variables that affect the current account, to analyze the influence of each variable on the current account and to predict the development tendency of the current account in China and the United States. This model can explain the change of the current account, and some indexes are still insufficient. In this paper, the current account function is established based on the is curve by using the Mondal-Fleming Tobin model and the cash flow mechanism. By analyzing the short-term influence of exogenous and endogenous variables, the model can effectively make up for the deficiency of the intertemporal theoretical model and make the model analysis close to the state under the action of real market forces. The current account function is used to describe the transition from short-term equilibrium to fixed equilibrium in the current account of China and the United States under the changes of market forces and exchange rates. 13 pairs, 20 tables, 60 references
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F832.5;F837.12;F224

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