中國(guó)金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易開放的動(dòng)態(tài)影響研究
本文選題:金融發(fā)展 + 貿(mào)易開放; 參考:《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:20世紀(jì)后期,世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)出全球化、一體化的趨勢(shì),一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展越來(lái)越受到全球經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境的影響,而國(guó)際貿(mào)易成為其中重要的一環(huán)。國(guó)際貿(mào)易對(duì)中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展尤為重要,改革開放后我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中貿(mào)易出口的貢獻(xiàn)度直較高,是三駕馬車中的重要組成,國(guó)際貿(mào)易的重要性可見一斑。與此同時(shí),我國(guó)的金融業(yè)也呈現(xiàn)出迅猛發(fā)展的態(tài)勢(shì),主要體現(xiàn)在金融規(guī)模的不斷增長(zhǎng),金融結(jié)構(gòu)的不斷調(diào)整以及金融效率的持續(xù)上升,各地開始重視金融產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。在此背景下,理清我國(guó)及各地區(qū)金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易開放的影響具有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,不僅能夠?yàn)槲覈?guó)以及各地區(qū)的金融發(fā)展、金融改革的提供借鑒,也為我國(guó)各地區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)金融發(fā)展與貿(mào)易開放的關(guān)系,提供了有效的政策建議。 本文作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論的分支,首先系統(tǒng)的回顧了金融發(fā)展和貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系,明確兩者在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中所起的作用,并且梳理了金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易開放影響的重要文獻(xiàn)。隨后,本文從宏觀、微觀和政策三個(gè)層面詳細(xì)剖析了金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易開放的作用機(jī)理。結(jié)合前人文獻(xiàn)的研究以及作用機(jī)理的分析,本文選擇金融規(guī)模、金融結(jié)構(gòu)和金融效率作為度量我國(guó)金融發(fā)展的指標(biāo),利用向量誤差修正模型,分別從全國(guó)視角和區(qū)域視角衡量我國(guó)和各地區(qū)金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易開放的動(dòng)態(tài)影響,進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的實(shí)證分析。 通過對(duì)比我國(guó)整體和各地區(qū)的實(shí)證結(jié)果,本文得出以下結(jié)論:(1)從全國(guó)和區(qū)域來(lái)看,金融規(guī)模都對(duì)貿(mào)易開放水平產(chǎn)生正向影響;(2)金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)貿(mào)易開放也存在著顯著的影響,全國(guó)和東部地區(qū)影響為負(fù)向影響,東北、中西部地區(qū)為正向影響,體現(xiàn)部分區(qū)域的金融市場(chǎng)融資并未對(duì)貿(mào)易開放產(chǎn)生促進(jìn)作用:(3)全國(guó)范圍看,金融效率影響為正向,經(jīng)濟(jì)越不發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)正向影響越大;(4)總體看來(lái),我國(guó)貿(mào)易開放水平受到了金融發(fā)展的顯著影響,其中,金融規(guī)模和金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)貿(mào)易開放的作用較為明顯。 最后,結(jié)合本文的結(jié)論,給出了適合我國(guó)各地區(qū)發(fā)展特點(diǎn)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the late 20th century, the development of the world economy showed the trend of globalization and integration. The economic development of a country was more and more affected by the global economic environment, and international trade became an important part of it. International trade is particularly important to China's economic development. After the reform and opening up, the contribution of trade exports in China's economic development is very high, which is an important component of the troika, and the importance of international trade can be seen. At the same time, the financial industry of our country also presents the swift and violent development situation, mainly manifests in the financial scale unceasing growth, the financial structure unceasing adjustment and the financial efficiency continues to rise, each place begins to attach importance to the development of the financial industry. In this context, it is of practical significance to clarify the impact of financial development in China and other regions on the opening up of trade, not only for the financial development of China and other regions, but also for the reference of financial reform. It also provides effective policy advice for China to coordinate the relationship between financial development and trade opening. As a branch of the theory of economic development, this paper first systematically reviews the relationship between financial development and trade opening and economic growth, and clarifies their roles in economic growth. And has combed the financial development to the trade opening influence important literature. Then, this paper analyzes the mechanism of financial development on trade opening from macro, micro and policy levels. Based on the research of previous literatures and the analysis of the mechanism, this paper chooses financial scale, financial structure and financial efficiency as indicators to measure the development of Chinese finance, and modifies the model by vector error. The dynamic impact of financial development on trade openness in China and other regions is measured from the national and regional perspectives, and a detailed empirical analysis is carried out. By comparing the empirical results of China as a whole and regions, this paper draws the following conclusions: from the national and regional point of view, the scale of finance has a positive impact on the level of trade opening. (2) the financial structure also has a significant impact on the opening up of trade. The national and eastern regions have a negative impact, while the northeast and central and western regions have a positive impact, reflecting that the financial market financing in some regions has not contributed to the opening up of trade.) across the country, the impact of financial efficiency is positive. Overall, the level of China's trade opening is significantly affected by the financial development, among which the financial scale and financial structure play a more important role in the trade opening. Finally, combined with the conclusion of this paper, some policy suggestions suitable for the development characteristics of various regions in China are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號(hào)】:F832.5;F752;F224
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